France

Irony Of The Day: Hollande Lectures US About Trump; Two-Way Frexit?

Hollande, whose popularity is in the gutter, lectures the US about Trump when a two-way “Frexit” looms in France: once from the Euro and a second from the EU. “The arguments in the Brexit vote and in the American presidential campaign are about the same,...In a friendly way, may I also give some advice to the American people to make the right choice when the moment comes.”

The Goldman Curse Strikes Again: Congratulations To Euro 2016 Winner Portugal

"France beat Germany 2-0 to advance to the Euro 2016 final against Portugal, against our model's expectations as of yesterday. Prior to the tournament, our model suggested France would take the trophy with a probability of 23.1%. After today's win, France's odds of becoming the next Euro champions jumped to 69.9%." - Goldman Sachs

US Futures Rebound After Volatile Session, All Eyes On June Payrolls

In a session where bleary-eyed traders followed the all-night tragic developments out of Dallas and initially sold off risk assets, it is good to see that some normalcy prevailed with the traditional post Europe-open futures ramp, which was further assisted by the successful resolution of the Dallas standoff, which has pushed futures modestly higher ahead of today's main event for markets, the June payrolls report due in under two hours.

Sweden: Rampant Sexual Assaults Steam On

The police released a report noting that Sweden is at the top of the EU's statistics on physical and sexual violence against women, sexual harassment and stalking. The report stated unequivocally that it is "asylum-seeker boys" and "foreign men" who commit the vast majority of the reported crimes.

In Unprecedented Decision, Europe Will Sanction Spain, Portugal Over Deficits While Ignoring France, Italy

Confirming yet again that just like in the US, "some are more equal than others", moments ago the European Commission announced that it would seek sanctions for Spain and Portugal for breaching limits on budget deficits in an unprecedented step to enforce rules designed to prevent another debt crisis.  Punishing the Iberian countries will be a deeply contentious and divisive issue. That’s because while other countries including France and Italy have all received warnings in recent years after missing targets on deficit or debt, no country has so far been sanctioned. Until now.

Why Citi Sees No Solution For The Italian Banking Crisis Any Time Soon

"Any state intervention will likely be small, in our view, confined to a very small number of lenders and broadly within EU rules. As such, it is unlikely to represent a decisive fix of Italy’s banking problems. Retail investors will probably be protected as fears of a severe market backlash and subsequent deposit outflows may prevail. Such a compromise may limit the negative political fallout for PM enzi, but increased concerns among households about their savings are likely to hit the already-dwindling popularity of the government in any case."

European Stocks Storm Higher As Bank Fears Subside; US Futures Flat

After yesterday's afternoon surge in US stocks, facilitated by the "uncertain" Fed's FOMC Minutes, today the rest of global market are playing catch up with European stocks rebounding from one week lows, snapping the longest losing streak in three weeks, as well as Asia where most stock markets climbed, led by gains among energy producers as crude prices advanced, while a stronger yen weighed on Japanese shares.

"Incredibly Stupid" Juncker Opens Pandora's Box

Someone who’s not known to be overly bothered by accountability or integrity is everybody’s favorite wino, European Commission President Jean-Claude Juncker. But Juncker, whatever else may be wrong with him, is not a stupid man. And unless I’m gravely mistaken, he has just saddled the European Union with a problem that could well trigger its undoing.

World's Biggest Asset Manager Downgrades European Banks To Sell, Expects Global Slowdown

"We have trimmed our global growth expectations, and now expect a modest slowdown over the next 12 months. We see risk of a UK recession and European slowdown, as Brexit uncertainties weigh on sentiment. Our new BlackRock Macro GPS “nowcasting” indicator suggests Brexit-related uncertainty has already started to negatively impact UK and global economic growth. We have downgraded European stocks to underweight, with a negative view of the eurozone banking sector."

Can The EU Survive As A Prison? Who Has The Keys?

Jean-Claude Juncker and Angela Merkel want to make the EU a prison. The Eurozone was designed as a prison from the beginning. But the cat is finally out of the bag. And voters know they have the key.

"We've Never Had A Shock To The System Like This" - Global Selloff Accelerates On Brexit, Italy, "Unknown" Fears

The flight to safety following last week's quarter-end window dressing is accelerating, with constant news and flashing red headlines of record low yields across DM government bonds once the norm, and as of moments ago Denmark's 10Y bonds joined the exclusive club of sub-zero yields; gold has soared to fresh multi-year highs above $1,370, the risk-off currency, the Yen, soaring and sending the USDJPY just above 100, while sterling crashed overnight once again below 1.27, levels not seen since 1985.

Climate, Energy, Economy: Pick Two

“Everything that is not resilient to high energy prices and extreme weather events will become economically unviable... and approach worthlessness. On the other hand,... Investments of time, energy, and money in resilience will become more economically valuable..."