Frontrunning: October 24

  • The CEO Behind AT&T’s Huge Time Warner Deal (BBG)
  • AT&T-Time Warner deal sparks calls for scrutiny in Washington (Reuters)
  • Wall Street’s $40 Billion AT&T Pledge Offers Fees and Risks (BBG)
  • Bernie Sanders: Obama Administration “Should Kill” The AT&T-Time Warner Deal (Deadline)
  • Oil prices under pressure as Iraq resists joining output cut (Reuters)

Trump-Clinton III: The Final Sin-City Showdown - Live Feed

Following Pence's pounding of Kaine and Trump's trouncing of Clinton in the last two debates, the final showdown promises fireworks. Trump's arsenal is full after two weeks of embarrassing documents from WikiLeaks and The FBI, and with the news cycle beginning to lose contact with his sexual harrassment allegations, Clinton (having gone dark for a week) will remain focused on temperament, temperament, temperament.. and the fact that Trump is not a woman.

Frontrunning: October 18

  • Commodity stocks lift global shares, inflation in focus (Reuters)
  • FBI Papers Show State Department Fought Clinton Email Classification (WSJ)
  • Russia Declares Pause in Aleppo Bombing so Rebels, Civilians Can Flee (NBC)
  • Syria rebels reject Aleppo withdrawal after Russian statement (Reuters)
  • UK lawmakers will 'very likely' have to ratify final Brexit deal: government lawyer (Reuters)

Global Stocks Rebound As Fed Fears Ease, Dollar Falls From 7 Month High

If yesterday's session was marked by concerns about Fed tightening and rising long-end rates, today concerns about a hawkish Fed have subsided, with European, Asian stocks and S&P futures all rising amid speculation Federal Reserve policy will remain accommodative after yesterday's dovish comments by Fed vice-Chair Stan Fischer, as well as weak economic data helped push the US Dollar off its 7 month highs.

Statisticians Warn Of "Systemic Mainstream Misinformation" In Poll Data

"If you recently glanced at the polls and the election markets, then you would be forgiven to believe that a landslide election is looming.  It's likely not. We - and other academic statisticians - knew that this was faux election probability, and advised thousands to remain vigilant against planned mainstream misinformation..."

"I'm A Bernie Sanders Voter.. Here's Why I'll Vote Trump"

"Even if he’s as bad as he sometimes projects to be, he’s not as bad as Hillary’s policy-record already is." Sometimes, things in politics are the opposite of the way they seem. The Presidential contest between the ‘liberal’ Hillary Clinton’ and the ‘conservative’ Donald Trump is perhaps the most extreme example of this - for these ten reasons...

Just Plain Pathetic

We are speaking, of course, of the Fed’s decision to punt yet again, and for a reason that is not mysterious at all. To wit, our financial rulers are petrified of a stock market hissy fit, and will go to any length of dissimulation and double-talk to avoid triggering a crash of the very bubbles their policies have inflated.

A Messaging Tip For The Donald: It's The Fed, Stupid!

The nation’s rogue central bank is essentially a reverse Robin Hood on steroids. If Donald Trump wants to hit the ball out of the park next Monday evening, therefore, he needs to quickly skip over his dog-eared income tax cut plan and put the wood good and hard to the Fed, Janet Yellen, and our unelected financial rulers.

Bob Farrell's (Illustrated) 10-Investment Rules

Regardless of how many times we discuss these issues, quote successful investors, or warn of the dangers – the response from both individuals and investment professionals is always the same... “I am a long term, fundamental value, investor.  So these rules don’t really apply to me.” No, you’re not. Yes, they do. Individuals are long term investors only as long as the markets are rising.

Frontrunning: September 8

  • Stock futures flat ahead of economic data, ECB meeting (Reuters)
  • Trump in TV event with Clinton, says Putin better leader than Obama (Reuters)
  • 5 takeaways from Trump and Clinton's military forum (The Hill)
  • Matt Lauer Fields Storm of Criticism Over Clinton-Trump Forum (NYT)
  • Vladimir Putin Just Wants to Be Friends (BBG)
  • Hanjin Shipping’s Troubles Leave $14 Billion in Cargo Stranded at Sea (WSJ)

How Does It All End?

[T]he long run meets the present [where] systems that no longer pay their way exhaust their credit and go broke. The Breaking Point is a nonlinear departure on the road to nowhere. It occurs when collateral collapses, burying the public’s faith in fiat money and the institutions that create and regulate it.”