Glencore
Frontrunning: August 19
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 08/19/2015 06:46 -0500- $1 trillion in Emerging Market outflows in the past 13 months (FT)
- German lawmakers back third Greek bailout (Reuters)
- Dutch government faces test in "junkie" Greece debate (Reuters)
- China c.bank offers selected banks medium term lending facility (Reuters)
- Another "expert network" busted: Promontory settles over StanChart probe (FT)
- Angola to Ship Most Crude in Four Years to Meet Asian Demand (BBG)
- Hackers dump data online from cheating website Ashley Madison (Reuters)
- Yuan’s Devaluation Brings Losses for Some (WSJ)
Chinese Intervention Rescues Market From 2-Day Plunge, Futures Red Ahead Of Inflation Data, FOMC Minutes
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 08/19/2015 05:37 -0500- Bond
- Capital Markets
- China
- Consumer Prices
- Copper
- CPI
- Crude
- Crude Oil
- Equity Markets
- Estonia
- fixed
- Glencore
- Government Stimulus
- Greece
- Hong Kong
- Housing Starts
- Iraq
- Italy
- Japan
- Jim Reid
- Morgan Stanley
- NASDAQ
- Nikkei
- Portugal
- Precious Metals
- RANSquawk
- Real estate
- Reuters
- Reverse Repo
- Shenzhen
- Trade Deficit
- Volatility
- Yen
- Yuan
With China's currency devaluation having shifted to the backburner if only for the time being, all attention was once again on the Chinese stock market roller coaster, which did not disappoint: starting off with yesterday's dramatic 6.2% plunge, the Shanghai Composite crashed in early trading, plunging as much as 5% in early trading and bringing the two-day drop to a correction-inducing 11%, and just 51.2 points away from the July 8 low (when China unleashed the biggest ad hoc market bailout in capital markets history) . And then the cavalry came in, and virtually the entire afternoon session was one big BTFD orgy, leading to a 1.2% gain in the Shanghai Composite closing price, while Shenzhen and ChiNext closed up 2.2% and 2.7%, respectively.
Aug 19 - PBOC injects $48bn into China Development Bank
Submitted by Pivotfarm on 08/18/2015 17:18 -0500The central bank has injected new capital into the China Development Bank (CDB), which provides medium and long term financing to major national projects, in a bid to reinforce its capital adequacy.
Futures Rebound On Ongoing Dollar Strength; Commodities Rise, China Slides, Greek Banks Continue Plunging
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 08/05/2015 05:51 -0500- Apple
- Bond
- China
- Copper
- Creditors
- Crude
- Crude Oil
- Equity Markets
- Eurozone
- Federal Reserve
- France
- Germany
- Gilts
- Glencore
- Global Economy
- Greece
- headlines
- Ireland
- Italy
- Japan
- Jim Reid
- Markit
- Monetary Policy
- Nikkei
- Price Action
- Real estate
- Reality
- recovery
- Shenzhen
- SocGen
- Standard Chartered
- Time Warner
- Trade Balance
- Yen
- Yuan
In many ways the overnight session has been a mirror image of yesterday, with the dollar accelerating its Lockhart-commentary driven rise, which curiously has pushed ES higher perhaps as a result of more USDJPY correlation algos being active and various other FX tracking pairs. Indeed, the weak yen is all that mattered in Japan, where the Nikkei 225 (+0.5%) rose amid JPY weakness, despite opening initially lower as index heavyweight Fast Retailing (-4.5%) reported a 2nd consecutive monthly decline in Uniqlo sales. Elsewhere in mirror images, China slid 1.7%, undoing about half of yesterday's 3.7% jump, and is now down for 4 of the past 5 days.
This Coal Mine Valued At $630 Million In 2011 Just Sold For One Dollar
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 08/01/2015 17:43 -0500To get a sense of the complete devastation in the world of commodities, consider the curious case of Australia's Isaac Plans coking coal mine, which was valued at $630 million in 2011. It sold on Thursday for $1. it gets worse: based on data from Citi Research, 90% of all M&A that miners did since 2007 has been written off. The commodity bubble has officially burst - feel free to thank China.
China Stocks Soar To 7 Year High After Collapse In Exports; US Futures Slip On Continuing Dollar Surge
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 04/13/2015 05:55 -0500- Bank of America
- Bank of America
- Barack Obama
- Beige Book
- Bond
- Carry Trade
- China
- Citigroup
- Consumer Sentiment
- Copper
- CPI
- Creditors
- Crude
- Crude Oil
- DE Shaw
- Eurozone
- fixed
- France
- General Electric
- Germany
- Glencore
- goldman sachs
- Goldman Sachs
- Greece
- headlines
- Hong Kong
- Housing Market
- Housing Starts
- Iran
- Italy
- Japan
- Jim Reid
- Market Conditions
- Michigan
- NAHB
- Newspaper
- NFIB
- Nikkei
- Precious Metals
- Price Action
- Recession
- recovery
- Richmond Fed
- Trade Balance
- University Of Michigan
- Wells Fargo
If there was any doubt that global trade is stalling, it was promptly wiped out following the latest abysmal Chinese trade data which saw exports tumble by 15% - the most in over a year - on expectations of a 8% rebound, with the trade surplus coming in at CNY18.2 billion, far below the lowest estimate. While unnecessary, with the Chinese GDP growth rate this Wednesday already expect to print at a record low, this was further evidence of weak demand both at home and abroad. Weakness was seen in most key markets, and the strength of China's currency was partly to blame, which again brings up China's CNY devaluation and ultimately QE, which as we wrote some time ago, is the ultimate endgame in the global reflation trade which, at least for now until the CBs begin active money paradropping to everyone not just the 0.01%, is only leading to inflation in stocks and deflation in everything else.v
Frontrunning: April 6
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 04/06/2015 06:35 -0500- Political Battle Ramps Up Over Iran Nuclear Deal (WSJ)
- Greece moves to quell default fears, pledges to meet 'all obligations' (Reuters)
- Isolated Greece pivots east to Russia, China and Iran. But will it work? (Telegraph)
- Frustrated officials want Greek premier to ditch Syriza far left (FT)
- Greek political unrest and deepening debt crisis fuel talk of snap election (Guardian)
- Rand Paul’s Challenge: Charting His Own Course (WSJ)
- In Greenspan Conundrum Redux, Odds Are on Bond Traders’ Side (BBG)
- Yemen's Aden suffers amid clashes, aid deliveries delayed (Reuters)
- Record Gasoline Output to Curb Biggest U.S. Oil Glut in 85 Years (BBG)
The Greek Austerity Myth
Submitted by Pivotfarm on 02/11/2015 13:07 -0500Since the anti-austerity Syriza party's victory in Greece's recent general election, the “Greek problem" is again preoccupying markets and policymakers throughout Europe. Some fear a return to the uncertainty of 2012, when many thought that a Greek default and exit from the eurozone were imminent.
Is Aluminum The Next Commodity To Crash?
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 01/16/2015 14:34 -0500As the charts below show, while copper has plunged in recent weeks, aluminum has been surprisingly stable, even though like copper aluminum is one of the key metals behind Commodity Financing Deals. That is about to change, because according to a source at Metal Bulletin the aluminum trickle (at first, then flood) out of warehouses and into the market, is about to be unleashed.
Central-Bankers Have Their Hands Full As 30 Year Yield Falls Below 2014 Lows
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 12/11/2014 07:17 -0500- Bank of England
- Barclays
- Bloomberg News
- Bond
- Budget Deficit
- CDS
- Central Banks
- China
- Consumer Prices
- Continuing Claims
- Copper
- Crude
- Crude Oil
- default
- Deutsche Bank
- Equity Markets
- France
- Germany
- Glencore
- Greece
- Initial Jobless Claims
- Italy
- Jim Reid
- LIBOR
- Nikkei
- Norges Bank
- OPEC
- Price Action
- RANSquawk
- Swiss National Bank
- Yuan
Not quite as many fireworks overnight, in another session dominated by central banks. First it was revealed that China had injected CNY400 billion into the banking system to add liquidity as the economy slows, which is ironic because on the other hand China is also seemingly doing everything in its power to crash its nascent stock market bubble mania, following the latest news that China’s CSRC approved 12 IPOs ahead of schedule which is seen as a pre-emptive step to tighten interbank liquidity amid the recent rise in margin trading. Another central bank that was busy overnight was Russia's, which proceeded with its 5th rate hike of the year, pushing the central rate up by 100 bps to 10.50% as expected. Elsewhere, the Bank of England wants to move to a Fed-style decision schedule and start releasing immediate minutes as Governor Mark Carney overhauls the framework set up more than 17 years ago. The Swiss National Bank predicted consumer prices will drop next year and said the risk of deflation has increased as it vowed to defend its cap on the franc. Finally Norway’s central bank cut its main interest rate for the first time in more than two years and signaled it may ease again next year as plunging oil prices threaten growth in western Europe’s biggest crude exporter.
Depression-Level Collapse In Demand: In Historic First, Glencore Shuts Coal Mines For 3 Weeks
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 11/14/2014 21:25 -0500In a historic move showing just how profound the collapse in global commodity demand and trade is, earlier today the Sydney Morning Herald reported that Australia's biggest coal exporter Glencore, which last year concluded its merger with miner Xstrata creating the world's fourth largest mining company and world's biggest commodity trader, will suspend its Australian coal business for three weeks "in a move never before seen in the Australian market, to avoid pumping tonnes into a heavily oversupplied market at depressed prices." Putting this shocking move in context, it is something that was avoided even during the depths of the global depression in the aftermath of Lehman's collapse, and takes place at a time when the punditry will have you believe that the US will decouple from the rest of the world and grow at 3% in the current quarter and in 2015.
Futures Fail To Surge On European Commission Slashing Growth Outlook As Crude Plunge Continues
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 11/04/2014 06:58 -0500- Apple
- Aussie
- Bank Lending Survey
- Bear Market
- Bond
- Central Banks
- China
- Copper
- Crude
- Equity Markets
- Eurozone
- Fail
- Fisher
- fixed
- France
- Germany
- Glencore
- Greece
- Gross Domestic Product
- Hong Kong
- Italy
- Japan
- Jim Reid
- Market Share
- Natural Gas
- Nikkei
- OPEC
- Portugal
- Price Action
- Real estate
- Reality
- Reuters
- Saudi Arabia
- Trade Balance
- Trade Deficit
- Ukraine
- Unemployment
- Volatility
- Yen
what is strange is that while traditionally such a major downward growth revision would have been sufficient to send futures soaring - why: because in a world where only central banks are left, it means more central bank global bailouts of course - this time the adverse update actually had the impact of sending futures to their lows of the session, granted just a few tiny points since the market is clearly disconnected with even the most pro forma, non-GAAP version of reality, but the reaction direction was clearly unexpected. Perhaps this is explained by the ongoing devastation in both WTI and Brent, which were trading at $76.70 and $82.50 at last check, both down almost 3% as the plan to use Saudi Arabia to crush Russia has instead backfired and the Saudi princes are now openly looking at destroying the US shale infrastructure, as we forecast in the worst, for Obama, scenario.
Frontrunning: October 8
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 10/08/2014 06:32 -0500- American International Group
- Australia
- B+
- Bank of England
- Bloomberg News
- Bond
- Botox
- China
- Citigroup
- Commercial Real Estate
- Copper
- Corporate Finance
- CSCO
- Deutsche Bank
- Eurozone
- Germany
- Glencore
- goldman sachs
- Goldman Sachs
- Hong Kong
- India
- International Monetary Fund
- Keefe
- Kraft
- LIBOR
- Morgan Stanley
- Pershing Square
- Private Equity
- Puerto Rico
- Raymond James
- Real estate
- recovery
- Reuters
- Sears
- Serious Fraud Office
- Timothy Geithner
- Turkey
- Unemployment
- Wells Fargo
- Turkey says Syria town about to fall as Islamic State advances (Reuters)
- Only now? Growth worries grip stocks, oil (Reuters)
- Hong Kong Protest Leaders ‘Furious’ at Agenda for Talks (BBG)
- Earthquake Damages Thousands of Homes in Southern China (BBG)
- Keystone Be Darned: Canada Finds Oil Route Around Obama (BBG)
- Where Is North Korea's 31-Year-Old Leader? (BusinessWeek)
- Australia to Revise Employment Data (WSJ)
- Americans Living Longer as Fewer Die From Heart Disease, Cancer (BBG)
- A 401(k) Conundrum: Can You Make Cash Pile Last for Life? (BBG)
- China Services Sector Slows in September (WSJ)
Frontrunning: October 7
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 10/07/2014 06:42 -0500- American International Group
- Apple
- BAC
- Bank of England
- Barclays
- Bitcoin
- Carlyle
- CBOE
- China
- Citigroup
- Consumer Credit
- Corporate Finance
- Credit Suisse
- Deutsche Bank
- Eurozone
- Evercore
- Ford
- France
- Germany
- Glencore
- headlines
- Henry Paulson
- Hong Kong
- Ikea
- Institutional Investors
- Iraq
- Japan
- JPMorgan Chase
- Kuwait
- Las Vegas
- LIBOR
- Merrill
- New York Times
- Newspaper
- Private Equity
- Quantitative Easing
- Raymond James
- Recession
- Reuters
- Time Warner
- Volkswagen
- Wilbur Ross
- World Bank
- Yen
- Liberian Rubber Farm Becomes Sanctuary Against Ebola (WSJ)
- The World’s Most Powerful Central Banker: Janet Who? (BBG)
- Islamic State moves into south west of Syrian Kurdish town (Reuters)
- Waldorf to Be Biggest Chinese Property Purchase in U.S. (BBG)
- Spain Seeks People in Contact With Ebola-Infected Nurse (BBG)
- Hong Kong protests at crossroads as traffic, frustration pile up (Reuters)
- Immigration: Grim Caseload at the Border (WSJ)
- China Cuts Thousands of ‘Phantom’ Workers From State Payroll (BBG)
- U.S., U.K. Regulators Push to Settle Deutsche Bank Libor Case This Year (WSJ)
- Wall Street Moles Go to NY’s Top Cop, Spurning SEC Cash (BBG)
- Pimco's outflow headaches only just beginning (Reuters)
- Japan Lawmakers Flag Need for Exit Strategy as Yen Falls (BBG)
Global Equities In "Sea Of Red" After German Industrial Data Horror, Hints Japan May Give Up On Weak Yen
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 10/07/2014 05:44 -0500- Abenomics
- Bank of Japan
- Bloomberg News
- Bond
- Bovespa
- Brazil
- Budget Deficit
- CDS
- China
- Consumer Credit
- Copper
- Crude
- Deutsche Bank
- Eurozone
- fixed
- Germany
- Glencore
- Greece
- headlines
- Japan
- Jim Reid
- LatAm
- Liberal Democratic Party
- Monetary Policy
- New Normal
- New York Times
- Nikkei
- POMO
- POMO
- Price Action
- Recession
- Russell 2000
- Ukraine
- World Economic Outlook
- Yen
While the economic data, especially out of Europe, just keeps getting worse by the day, with the latest confirmation that Europe is now officially in a triple-dip recession coming out of Germany and the previously observed collapse in Industrial Production which tumbled the most since February 2009, it was once again the Dollar and especially the New Normal favorite currency, the Yen, that was in everyone's sights overnight, when it first jumped to 109.20 only to slide shortly after midnight eastern, when Abe repeated once again that a plunging Yen is hurting small companies and consumers - and to think it only took him 2 years to read what we said would happen in late 2012 - but also the BOJ minutes which did not reveal any addition easing, which apparently disappointed algos and triggered USDJPY slel programs, pushing the USDJPY 80 pips lower to 108.40.



