Global Economy

El-Erian Warns Of America's CONfidence Economy

Financial markets seem convinced that the recent surge in business and consumer confidence in the US economy will soon be reflected in “hard” data, such as GDP growth, business investment, consumption, and wages. But economists and policymakers are not so sure. (To some outside the US, it is an assumption that sometimes looks a lot like blind faith.)

David Stockman Offers "More Proof Of Janet Yellen's Idiocy"

"Anyone buying stocks based on confidence that the Fed has their back notwithstanding Wednesday’s action surely deserves the pounding just ahead. What Yellen had to say doesn’t even reach the status of babbling; it was flaming incoherence..."

It's Time To Get Painfully Honest: Banks Are Evil

"I've increasingly come to see the financial industry - with the big banks at its core - as the root cause of injustice in today's society." Whether it's social equity, the security of your job or retirement, your day-to-day existence, or the fairness of the laws we live under - our fate is currently in the hands of the banks.

Row Breaks Out At G-20 Over Future Of Global Trade

A row appears to have broken out during today's G-20 meeting in Baden Baden, Germany - the first for the Trump administration - where the dominant topic is trade, and specifically how the "globalization vs protectionism" debate will look in a world where Donald Trump is president of the world's biggest economy.

Why China Unexpectedly Hiked Rates 10 Hours After The Fed

The PBOC stressed that its interbank rate hikes simply followed the market's development, thus are not "true" policy rate hikes. Nevertheless, it also listed four classical rate-hike reasons for the interbank rate changes: the economic recovery, rising inflation (particularly that of housing), strong credit growth and Fed's rate hikes.

Paul Brodsky: "Stagflation On The Horizon"

Logic and current trends suggest that declining output growth accompanied by higher prices will begin hitting economies and facing policy makers in the coming years. Markets should begin sniffing out this stagflationary macroeconomic setup this year.

Frontrunning: March 15

  • What to watch at the Fed meeting (FT)
  • Dutch vote in test of anti-elite sentiment in Europe (Reuters)
  • Where Are the Battlegrounds in the Dutch Election? (BBG)
  • Erdogan says Dutch have ‘rotten character’ as row escalates (FT)
  • How the Fed Convinced Markets It’ll Raise Rates This Week (BBG)
  • GOP Senators Say Health Bill Won’t Pass Unless Changed (WSJ)