Global Economy

Prepare For A Surge In Volume: Russell Rebalance Day Is Here

Welcome to the one year anniversary of the Brexit vote. Welcome also to the annual Russell rebalance, traditionally one of the busiest trading days of the year: last year's rebalance helped propel a near record turnover of over 15 billion shares. In fact, in four of the last five years, reconstitution day ranked in the 10 busiest trading sessions.

Albert Edwards: "Citizens Will Soon Turn Their Rage Towards Central Bankers"

"In an age of “radical uncertainty” how long will it be before angry citizens tire of blaming an impotent political system for their ills and turn on the main culprits for their poverty – unelected and virtually unaccountable central bankers? I expect central bank independence will be (and should be) the next casualty of the current political turmoil."

One Trader Is Stunned By The "Staggering" Confusion In The Market

"The ability of people to string together utterly inconsistent arguments to describe what’s going on in markets, and the world for that matter, is staggering...what are manifesting themselves as quiet markets are actually highly unstable... "

Europe Slides For Third Day As Oil Attempts A Rebound; US Futures Flat

US equity futures were marginally in the red, while Asian markets rose and European stocks dropped. WTI oil rose 0.61% to $42.79 as some suggest the time to go long has arrived; oil tumbled 2.3% in the previous session. The Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index fell 0.1 percent.

China 'Rescues' Bond Market In Symbolic Move But Yield Curve Remains Inverted

For the 10th day in a row, China's bond yield curve remains inverted (the longest in history). However, in a very symbolic move overnight, China's Ministry of Finance bought 1.26 billion yuan of 1-year bonds for the first time in history via the secondary market. While yields tumbled on the rescue attempt, the curve remains inverted...

What Is The Market Telling Us?

The entire global economy now depends on this stripped-of-information "market" for its stability...It's difficult to see this as healthy or sustainable.

The Illusion Of Declining Debt To Income Ratios

Despite the mainstream media’s belief that surging asset prices, driven by the Federal Reserve’s monetary interventions, has provided a boost to the overall economy, it has really been anything but.. the story remains the same – “if you are wealthy – life is good.”

When Will The Fed Tighten Enough To Cause The Next Recession?

In trying to answer "When will the Fed tighten enough to cause the next recession", Deutsche Bank says that while current market expectations suggest the next recession (or at least the next Fed tightening that would be forceful enough to cause a recession) could still be many years away, the bank "thinks this is too optimistic." Here's why

The Pin To Pop This Mother Of All Bubbles?

"...even more egregious than the misinformation is the complete inappropriateness for the media to praise economic 'strength' while ignoring the role of debt in bringing about the growth being celebrated. If the 'prosperity' is simply due to a drunken debt-binge, it should be criticized, not lauded."