Global Economy

The Reasons Why The Globalists Are Destined To Lose

This is what the elites fear most: the possibility that despite all their efforts of surveillance and manipulation, individuals and groups may one day be struck by an unpredictable urge to pick up a rifle and put the the globalists out of everyone’s misery. No chatter, no electronic trail, no warning. This is why they are destined to lose. They can never know all the unknowns. They can never control all the free radicals. There will always be rebellion. There will always be a liberty movement.

"The Resentment Will Explode" - In Dramatic Twist, McKinsey Slams Globalization

In a stunning study released today, one which refutes all its prior conclusions on the matter, McKinsey slams the establishment's status quo thinking and admits that the economic gains of changes in the global economy have not been widely shared lately, especially in the developed world. It finds that between 2005 and 2014, real incomes in the world's most advanced economies were flat or fell for 65 to 70% of households, or more than 540 million people.

3 Things: Bonds, Bulls, & Central Banks

With global rates at zero to negative, money will continue to chase U.S. Treasuries for the higher yield. This will continue to push yields lower as the global economy continues to slow. What would cause this to reverse? It would require either an economic rebound as last seen in 50’s and 60’s or a complete loss of faith in the U.S. to pay its debts such as a collapse of the Government and the onset of the “zombie apocalypse.” We no longer have the drivers of manufacturing, demographics or credit expansion for the former, so I am ready for the latter.

Helicopter Money - The Biggest Fed Power Grab Yet

The Cleveland Fed’s Loretta Mester is a clueless apparatchik and Fed lifer, who joined the system in 1985 fresh out of Barnard and Princeton and has imbibed in its Keynesian groupthink and institutional arrogance ever since. So it’s not surprising that she was out flogging - albeit downunder in Australia - the next step in the Fed’s rolling coup d’ etat...“So it’s my view that [helicopter money] would be sort of the next step if we ever found ourselves in a situation where we wanted to be more accommodative." It’s the ultimate in 'something for nothing' economics.

"It's Prohibited By Law" - A Problem Emerges For Japan's "Helicopter Money" Plans

"Adopting helicopter money in the strict sense is impossible as it's prohibited by law," said one of the officials. "If it's about the BOJ buying huge amounts of bonds and the government deploying fiscal stimulus, we're already doing that." Japan shouldn't make its central bank directly underwrite government borrowing, "or it could suffer the kind of runaway spending and inflation that followed a similar move in the 1930s."

Germany Sells First Ever Negative-Yielding 10Y Treasury, Corporate Bonds

Just hours prior to Germany selling its first ever negative-yield 10Y bund, German railway operator Deutsche Bahn became the first non-financial company to sell a corporate bond with a negative yield in euros on Tuesday. . Joint leads BayernLB and Raiffeisen Bank set the final spread at plus 15bp as orders reached 840m. The deal priced with a negative 0.006% yield and a 0% coupon.

Loonie Surges As BOC Keeps Rate Unchanged, Cuts 2016, 2017 GDP, Blames Brexit, Wildfires, Weak Consumption

The Bank of Canada did not surprise moments ago when it kept the overnight rate at 0.5%, as expected The Bank said that the "current stance of monetary policy is still appropriate" adding that risks to inflation profile are roughly balanced. It also said that "fundamentals remain in place for a pickup in growth over the projection horizon, albeit in a climate of heightened uncertainty." Where the BOC did surprise was in its latest cut to Canada's economic outlook: the central bank now expects GDP to grow 1.3% in 2016, 2.2% in 2017, down from 1.7%, 2.3%, respectively.

Full Text Of Bernie Sanders' Endorsement Of Hillary Clinton

I have known Hillary Clinton for 25 years. I remember her as a great first lady who broke precedent in terms of the role that a first lady was supposed to play as she helped lead the fight for universal health care. I served with her in the United States Senate and know her as a fierce advocate for the rights of children.

Frontrunning: July 12

  • Stocks Advance on Stimulus Bets (BBG)
  • Japan to craft stimulus by end-July, may issue construction bonds (Reuters)
  • May ally says Britain to trigger EU divorce 'when we're ready' (Reuters)
  • Last Woman Standing, Theresa May Offers Calm on Brexit Road (BBG)
  • Merkel urges Britain to quickly clarify relationship with EU (Reuters)

"The World Is Walking From Crisis To Crisis" - Why BofA Sees $1,500 Gold And $30 Silver

The world has been walking from crisis to crisis and we see risks that this may not change. The importance of that dynamic for the precious metals is mirrored by the high correlation between potential US GDP growth and gold quotations. Interest  rates globally are set to remain low, which in turn reduces the opportunity costs of holding a non-yielding asset like gold. We believe gold prices could rise to $1,500/oz near-term. We called a bottom in silver in April on supply and demand dynamics; an overshoot of prices to $30/oz is possible.