Global Economy

The Truman Show Markets

"Fake news, fake economies (based on fake demand dependent on asset bubbles), fake markets (dependent on QE and low interest rates). It’s the Truman Show, folks."

Bill Blain: There Is A "Last Days Of Rome" Feel To The News These Days...

"I suspect we’re into completely uncharted waters here. The central bankers know we need to normalise and rebuild the broken structures of capitalism and market based economies, without it becoming too apparent they are so broken – which would cause financial panic… On the other hand the cure might prove as painful as the self-inflicted injury of QE."

Eclipse Day Begins With S&P Futures Flat While Industrial Metals Soar

S&P500 futures, as well as Asian and European stocks, started off the week off unchanged after the S&P cash index fell to its lowest level in five weeks on Friday, with the "Bannon rally" fading on growing concerns about the US political situation, while tensions ratcheted up again as the US and South Korea began massive military drills

David Stockman Warns "Don't Forget About The Red Swan"

"...during the last 19 months the Red Ponzi propagated a false upturn in the global economy that is already decisively reversing. This comes at the same time that central banks of the major developed world economies are finally bringing their printing presses to a halt... the morning-after toll will be especially severe and disruptive - this used to be called a 'depression'..."

Weekend Reading: Losing Faith?

"With President Trump embroiled in one entanglement after another and constrained by a deeply partisan legislature, the ability of the Administration to pass legislative agenda seems to be fading... along with investor 'faith' that they will."

Euro Turmoils After ECB Walks Back Draghi Jackson Hole Appearance

The Euro whipsawed after Reuters "Trial ballooned" that contrary to a previous report by theWSJ, the ECB's Mario Draghi will not deliver a new policy message at the upcoming Jackson Hole conference, tempering expectations for the bank to start charting the course out of stimulus, and rallying European bonds as fears of an imminent taper have been pushed back once again.

VIX Tumbles, S&P Futures, Global Stocks Rebound Sharply As Korea Fears Fade

Global stocks and S&P futures rebounded sharply on Monday as tensions over an imminent conflict with Pyongyang receded after U.S. officials played down the likelihood of a nuclear conflict with North Korea, recovering from fears of a U.S.-North Korea nuclear standoff drove them to the biggest weekly losses of 2017, while the dollar too rose off four-month lows it had hit against the yen.

Weekend Reading: On A Cliff's Edge

"...Unfortunately, in the financial markets, irrationality historically prevails and very few investors survive the fall..."

Beware A Second Korean War

There is no way we could be sure that preventive actions would not set off a second Korean War...