"Controlling Today's Perception Of Tomorrow's Economic Strength" Is THE Fed Mandate
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 02/09/2015 17:46 -0500Controlling (stabilizing) today’s perception of tomorrow’s economic strength attached to (and thus backing) the USD is the Fed mandate. For if we lose control of today’s false perception well then god only knows what tomorrow’s given value may be. This is the absolute ‘mandate’ of central banking.
Who Really Cares About Grexit Anyway?
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 02/09/2015 15:02 -0500Google Trends and Bloomberg News Counts show that interest in "Grexit" is at its highest since mid-2012 - the peak of the previous European crisis before Draghi said "whatever it takes" and Juncker said everything is awesome. However, as the following chart shows, not everyone cares about Grexit (especially when there's Kim Kardashian on TV)...
Frontrunning: February 9
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 02/09/2015 07:28 -0500- Afghanistan
- B+
- Bank of England
- Barclays
- Berkshire Hathaway
- Cameco
- CBOE
- China
- Citigroup
- Comcast
- Credit Suisse
- Creditors
- Crude
- Department of Justice
- Deutsche Bank
- Dubai
- Federal Reserve
- Fitch
- Germany
- goldman sachs
- Goldman Sachs
- GOOG
- Italy
- Keefe
- Keycorp
- Lehman
- Market Conditions
- Merrill
- Miller Tabak
- Monetary Policy
- Morgan Stanley
- Motorola
- OPEC
- President Obama
- Private Equity
- Prudential
- Puerto Rico
- Regions Financial
- Reuters
- Saxo Bank
- Swiss Franc
- Time Warner
- Ukraine
- Warren Buffett
- Greek Risk Draws Global Concern on Lehman Echo Warnings (BBG)
- Merkel to urge caution in U.S. as pressure builds to arm Ukraine forces (Reuters)
- West Races to Defuse Ukraine Crisis (WSJ)
- German-French Push Yields Ukraine Summit Plan With Putin (BBG)
- Swiss Leaks lifts the veil on a secretive banking system (ICIJ)
- Italy Lenders Seen Cleansing Books Amid Bad-Bank Plans (BBG)
- G-20 Finance Chiefs Face Tough Test in Istanbul (WSJ)
- Demand for OPEC Crude Will Rise This Year, Says Group (WSJ)... or rather prays
- U.S. Banks Say Soaring Dollar Puts Them at Disadvantage (WSJ)
The End Of Guitar Center (And An Irrational Addiction To Growth & The Scourge Of Unregulated Structured Finance)
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 02/05/2015 20:15 -0500- Bain
- Bankruptcy Code
- Bond
- Citibank
- Company Preferred
- Corporate Finance
- Covenants
- Creditors
- default
- Dumb Money
- Fail
- General Electric
- Institutional Investors
- Market Conditions
- Martial Law
- None
- Private Equity
- Prudential
- Real estate
- Reality
- Same Store Sales
- Securities and Exchange Commission
- Structured Finance
- Too Big To Fail
The fact is, the die is cast. In a couple of weeks, Guitar Center will need to report its Christmas performance to its bondholders. If things do not look good, its bonds will be ripped apart like RadioShack’s. Here’s what this really means: it’s the end of big box retail, an irrational addiction to growth, and the scourge of unregulated structured finance. For a few years, unwise urban planning and unregulated banks created a new bubble in the American suburbs. The objective truth is that the growth of the last decade was financed by banking fraud, and that financial trickery of this sort only fools people in the short-term. Eventually, you must have a product people demand, sold by competent people who care about the business, financed in a way that makes sense.
Frontrunning: February 4
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 02/04/2015 07:38 -0500- Apple
- Barclays
- British Bankers' Association
- China
- Citigroup
- Commodity Futures Trading Commission
- Credit Suisse
- Creditors
- Crude
- European Central Bank
- Evercore
- Ford
- France
- GOOG
- Greece
- India
- Italy
- Japan
- Keefe
- Lloyds
- Markit
- Merrill
- Mexico
- Middle East
- Morgan Stanley
- Natural Gas
- New York City
- Newspaper
- Private Equity
- ratings
- RBS
- Reuters
- Royal Bank of Scotland
- Saudi Arabia
- Toyota
- Tronox
- World Bank
- Yen
- Arab World Unites to Condemn ‘Barbaric’ Death of Jordanian Pilot (BBG)
- Jordan hangs two Iraqi militants in response to pilot's death (Reuters)
- As Oil Prices Climb, Some Harbor Doubts (WSJ)
- Taiwan plane cartwheels into river after take-off, killing at least 19 (Reuters)
- Seven dead as commuter train hits car near New York City (Reuters)
- Apollo’s 600% Profit on Oil Company Leaves Rivals Behind (BBG)
- Greece's rock-star finance minister Yanis Varoufakis defies ECB's drachma threats (Telegraph)
PBOC Cuts Reserve Requirement By 0.5%, Joins 15 Other Central Banks Easing In 2015
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 02/04/2015 06:18 -0500Moments ago the number of central banks who have eased so far in 2015, most of them unexpeted, rose by one more from 15 to 16, when in addition to Singapore, Europe, Switzerland, Denmark, Canada, India, Turkey, Egypt, Romania, Peru, Albania, Uzbekistan and Pakistan, Russia and, most recently, Australia it was China's turn to do what so many banks had said was inevitable, even if meant backtracking on all its blustery talk about limiting bad debt expansion, and cut its reserve requirement ratio for bank by 0.5% effective Thursday, to boost liquidity and support the economy.
Argentine President Arrest Warrant Discovered At Dead Prosecutor's Home
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 02/03/2015 15:32 -0500“It would have provoked a crisis without precedents in Argentina," exclaims a political analyst after, as The NYTimes reports, a draft of a warrant for the arrest of President Cristina Fernández de Kirchner - accusing her of trying to shield Iranian officials from responsibility in the 1994 bombing of a Jewish center - was found at dead prosecutor Alberto Nisman's home. The new revelation has further inflamed theories regarding the heightened tensions between him and the government before he was found dead, as "it would have been a scandal on a level previously unseen."
Frontrunning: February 3
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 02/03/2015 07:44 -0500- 8.5%
- Apple
- Barack Obama
- Barclays
- Bond
- Chemtura
- China
- Credit Suisse
- Crude
- default
- Department of Justice
- Deutsche Bank
- European Central Bank
- Eurozone
- Evercore
- Exxon
- fixed
- General Electric
- General Motors
- Global Economy
- GOOG
- Greece
- Gross Domestic Product
- India
- Iran
- Ireland
- Merrill
- News Corp
- Newspaper
- Nomura
- ratings
- Raymond James
- Reuters
- Student Loans
- Tronox
- Verizon
- Whiting Petroleum
- RBA cuts interest rates to record low of 2.25% (SMH)
- RBI keeps rates on hold (Reuters), India allows banks flexibility on big projects to reboot growth (Reuters)
- BP slashes capital spending by 20% (FT)
- Greek Retreat on Writedown May Move Fight to Spending (BBG)
- Rosneft accounting move helps BP beat profit forecast (Reuters)
- Amazon in Talks to Buy Some of RadioShack's Stores (BBG)
- Behind Obama's budget proposals, a gloomy view of the future (Reuters)
- How the Justice Department, S&P Came to Terms (WSJ)
- Staples, Office Depot in Advanced Talks to Merge (WSJ)
"Warren" Tops "Clinton" & "Bowling" Beats "Facebook" - Social Engagement & Investing In Q1 2015
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 02/01/2015 19:15 -0500Hillary Clinton isn’t a lock for the 2016 Elections: Google searches for US Senator Elizabeth Warren surpassed the former US Secretary of State just last month with a ratio of 6 to 5. Interest in bowling (+85% since October) is growing faster than Facebook (-4%) and Youtube (-2%), and there is a lot more interest in smoking marijuana than tobacco (58 vs. 19 on average). Those are just three of the surprising findings from ConvergEx's latest survey of social engagement using Google Trends.
Invasion Of The "Zombie Crazies"
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 02/01/2015 13:15 -0500With the European Central Bank in QE mode, stocks should be catching a bid. Instead, they seem to be following commodities – down. But who knows? The situation is so crazy that only a disabled person could understand it. Why do we say that? Because a report released last week told us that one out of every three people on Social Security’s disability program is a mental defective. In Washington, DC, the rate of nuttiness among the disabled is even higher – 42%. No surprise there. Who better to understand what is going on in the financial world than a crazy person? Fortunately, America’s zombies are going crazy in ever-greater numbers.
Frontrunning: January 30
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 01/30/2015 07:48 -0500- Apple
- B+
- Barack Obama
- Barclays
- Beazer
- Boston Properties
- Chicago PMI
- China
- Consumer Sentiment
- Credit Suisse
- Crude
- Deutsche Bank
- Dubai
- Evercore
- Federal Reserve
- General Motors
- Gilts
- goldman sachs
- Goldman Sachs
- GOOG
- India
- Insider Trading
- Iraq
- Keefe
- Las Vegas
- Merrill
- Middle East
- Monte Paschi
- NASDAQ
- national security
- NBC
- New York Stock Exchange
- Newspaper
- Real estate
- Reality
- Reuters
- Sovereign Debt
- SPY
- Textron
- Verizon
- Wells Fargo
- Yuan
- Falling Prices Spread Pain Far Across The Oil Patch (WSJ)
- ISIS Group Claims Responsibility for Attacks That Killed 27 in Egypt (NBC)
- Russia Unexpectedly Cuts Key Rate as Economy Eclipses Ruble (BBG)
- Greece’s Feisty Finance Minister Tries a More Moderate Message (NYT)
- U.S. homeownership hits 20-year low, but new households growing (Reuters)
- Indian Banks’ Shares Plunge as Bad-Loan Provisions Surge (BBG)
- Underground Terror Network Said to Benefit Would-Be Jihadists in Europe (WSJ)
- Russia warns West support for Kiev could lead to 'catastrophe' (Reuters)
Market Wrap: Treasury-Equity Reallocation Trade Pushes Futures Lower, 10 Year Rises To 1.72%
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 01/30/2015 07:08 -0500- Bond
- Central Banks
- Copper
- Creditors
- Crude
- Economic Calendar
- Eurozone
- fixed
- Greece
- headlines
- HFT
- Initial Jobless Claims
- Italy
- Jim Reid
- Michigan
- Money Supply
- Monte Paschi
- Nikkei
- Personal Consumption
- Portugal
- Precious Metals
- Price Action
- RANSquawk
- Reality
- Recession
- Reuters
- Swiss Franc
- Ukraine
- Unemployment
- University Of Michigan
- Volatility
While the US daytime trading session has lately become a desperate attempt to expand multiples on the declining earnings of the S&P500, thanks to recurring BOJ intervention in the USDJPY, to keep the S&P above the 100 SMA at all costs including generous central banker verbal intervention then it is during the US overnight session when global deflationary reality reasserts itself with a vengeance, and sure enough at last check, the 10 Year has rallied with 10Y yield hitting 1.71% before this morning’s 4Q GDP release, as well as following the latest deflation number of -0.6% out of Europe (worse than the -0.5% expected) which was the biggest price decline on the continent since 2009. "Treasuries remained well bid overnight due to month-end index adjustments. Some talk of a reallocation from equities to bonds trade going through in both Asia and continuing in Europe," ED&F Man head of rates and credit trading Tom di Galoma wrote in a note to explain the latest Great Unrotation, if only until the Virtu HFT algos get the full blessing of the Fed to ramp the USDJPY, and thus the stock market.
Markets Drift Without Direction As Zombified BTFDers Unable To Frontrun Hawkish Fed
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 01/29/2015 07:00 -0500- Bond
- Brazil
- CDS
- Consumer Confidence
- Continuing Claims
- Copper
- CPI
- Creditors
- Crude
- default
- Deutsche Bank
- Equity Markets
- Eurozone
- fixed
- France
- Germany
- Gilts
- Greece
- India
- Initial Jobless Claims
- Italy
- Jim Reid
- Monetary Policy
- Money Supply
- Nikkei
- Portugal
- Precious Metals
- Quantitative Easing
- RANSquawk
- Reuters
- Romania
- Switzerland
- Turkey
- Unemployment
- Uzbekistan
The bottom line is that unfortunately for the BTFDers, with the Fed no longer giving explicit buy signals with the "considerable time" language struck, and with an implicit economic upgrade suggesting a rate hike is still on the table, it is becoming increasingly more difficult to frontrun the Fed's "wealth creation" intentions.
The New Greek Government Arrives In Its Residence: Finds No Power, No Wifi Password And No Toilet Soap
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 01/28/2015 23:29 -0500Things in Greece are bad. So bad, that the outgoing government of Antonis Samaras decided to not only leave the new inhabitants of the official residence of the Greek prime minister, the Maximos Mansion, without power, and without the WiFi password, but they decided to "borrow" all the soap in the toilet as well.
Austrian "Freedom" Party Demands Bailout For Swiss Franc Speculators (From "Monstrous Monetary Policy")
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 01/26/2015 22:10 -0500The phrases "it's just not fair" and "waa waa waa" were not seen in Austria's Freedom Party's statement demanding a bailout for Swiss-Franc-denominated borrowers (i.e. people who were willing to speculate on FX rates with their house as collateral in order to get a lower interest rate in order to afford a bigger home that they really couldn't afford in real risk-adjusted terms). What Austria needs, general secretary Franz Kickl exclaimed is "a general regulation and an offer to all Franc borrowers," adding that "it cannot be that Austrian borrowers are the only ones who keep their losses even they are indemnified in Hungary, Croatia and perhaps even in Poland, the Czech Republic and Slovakia." Which does sound oddly like 'waa waa waa'?


