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Frontrunning: March 20

  • Stock futures lower after G20 drops free-trade pledge (Reuters)
  • U.K. to Trigger Brexit on March 29, May’s Spokesman Says (BBG)
  • Comey to Testify on Hill About Russia, Wiretap Allegation (WSJ)
  • Germany, Japan Push Trade Deal as Merkel Seeks Anti-Trump Allies (BBG)
  • North Korea engine test may be prelude to partial ICBM flight (Reuters)
  • Regulators Said to Weigh Appraisal Change That May Spur Lending (BBG)
Monetary Metals's picture

Every week we talk about the supply and demand fundamentals. We were surprised to see an article about us this week. The writer thought that our technical analysis cannot see what’s going on in the market. We don’t want to fight with people, we prefer to focus on ideas. So let’s compare and contrast ordinary technical analysis with what Monetary Metals does.

Technical analysis, in all of its forms, uses the past price movements to predict the future price movements. We are not here to argue for or against technical analysis. We simply want to say that it’s not what we are doing. Not at all.

Our analysis is based on different ideas. The key idea is that there is a connection between the spot and futures market. That connection is arbitrage.

The Debt Ceiling Deadline Has Passed; Now The Biggest Test Of Donald Trump's Presidency Begins...

Barack Obama pushed things right to the brink a couple of times, but he was savvy enough politically to never let things go over the edge. Now it is Trump’s turn, and somehow he has got to find a way to get the debt ceiling raised without making extremely deep compromises that would gut the rest of his agenda. And he had better get to work on this quickly, because time is running out and the clock is ticking…

Frontrunning: March 17

  • Oil Set for First Weekly Gain This Month (BBG)
  • Trump’s Budget Likely to See Major Rewrite in Congress (WSJ)
  • Trump, Germany's Merkel to hold first face-to-face meeting at White House (Reuters)
  • Tillerson Doesn’t Rule Out Preemptive Strike on North Korea (BBG)
  • Trump May Not Want Immigrants, but Rust Belt Mayors Do (BBG)

Violent Threats Against The President Are OK Now?

"The calls by President Obama for “civility” after the 2011 shooting of Congresswoman Gabrielle Giffords were never genuine. The left only uses such efforts as a cudgel to silence their political foes, then turns around to call them Hitler when needed. The selective outrage is deafening."

Frontrunning: March 16

  • Fed's 'dovish hike' sends shares to record highs, dollar dips (Reuters); Markets Rally After Fed Rate Increase Decision (BBG)
  • Yellen Calms Fears Fed’s Policy Trigger Finger Is Getting Itchy (BBG)
  • Europe Gets Reprieve in Dutch Election, But the Center Fragments (BBG); Relief in EU capitals as Dutch PM sees off far-right's Wilders (Reuters)
  • Trump's first budget: military wins; environment, aid lose (Reuters)
  • Trump Says He Based Charge of Obama Wiretapping on Media Reports (BBG)

DOJ Charges Two Russian Spies In Massive Yahoo Hack

The Justice Department is set to announce the indictments of two Russian spies and two criminal hackers in connection with the heist of 500 million Yahoo user accounts in 2014, marking the first U.S. criminal cyber charges ever against Russian government officials.

The US Government Now Has Less Cash Than Google

"Our modern 'experts' tell us that the US government will always pay and that a debt default is impossible. Well, we’re living in a world where the 'impossible' keeps happening."