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"Fab 5" US Tech Firms Now Rule Global Stocks

Since the end of QE3 (Oct 2014), the broadest measure of the US equity market (NYSE Composite) is modestly lower (-1.2%). However, 5 US stocks have soared an impressive 35% since then. In fact, as Bloomberg reports, the five biggest companies in the world by market value were all U.S. tech companies (a feat that wasn't even achieved during the exuberant peaks in the dot-com bubble in 2000).

Frontrunning: August 4

  • Bank of England cuts rates for first time since 2009, restarts bond purchases (Reuters)
  • Obama administration denies Iran cash payment was a ransom (Reuters)
  • Mike Pence Endorses Paul Ryan After Donald Trump’s Refusal (WSJ)
  • In slap at Trump, some wealthy Republicans campaign for Clinton (Reuters)
  • Clinton leads Trump by 17 points in NH (The Hill)

World Stocks Drop For Third Day On Growing Concerns About Central Bank Policy, Tumbling Oil

After 7 consecutive drops in the Dow Jones, the Industrial average is set for an 8th decline with US equity futures modestly lower in the premarket as risk-averse sentiment persists overnight. Oil’s continued slide and recent plunge into a bear market, despite some stabilization this morning just south of $40, has finally rekindled global growth concerns, and is keeping a lid on bullishness. European stocks are little changed, while Asian stocks and S&P futures fall.

What Pokémon Go Teaches Us About Capitalism

Though millennials have tended to explicitly reject capitalism at ballot boxes around the world, their embrace with Pokémon Go betrays an unexpected acceptance of inequality as well as a penchant for playing the odds in red-in-tooth-and-claw competition.

Frontrunning: August 2

  • European shares hit two-week lows, yen rises as Japan backs stimulus (Reuters)
  • Australia Rejoins Global Disinflation Fight With Record Low Rate (BBG)
  • Japan Cabinet Approves $274 Billion Stimulus Package (WSJ)
  • Yen Surges to Three-Week High as Japan Stimulus Underwhelms (BBG)
  • Warren Buffett Takes On Donald Trump at Hillary Clinton Rally in Nebraska (WSJ)

Hillary’s Latest Headache: Skolkovo

The subject of Russia’s influence in American politics has been a hot topic of late, particularly as the MSM continues to link Donald Trump to Vladimir Putin and the DNC hack. However, a report published by the Government Accountability Institute presents a new twist in the Kremlin-US political ties. It all started with the 2009 “Russian reset” touted by then-Secretary of State Hillary Clinton.

Visions Of Tomorrow From The Permanently High Plateau

Somewhere, someone first said “bull markets don’t die of old age.”  We suppose this throwaway phrase was first uttered in a time and place much like today.  That is, in the midst of a protracted bull market where stock prices had detached from the assets and earnings of companies their shares represent claim to.

Frontrunning: August 1

  • Global stocks hit highest in a year but banks take shine off Europe (Reuters)
  • Fed’s Dudley Warns It Is Premature to Rule Out an Interest-Rate Increase This Year (WSJ)
  • Fed’s Kaplan Says September ‘On the Table’ If Data Support (BBG)
  • Europe's stress tests fail to ease investors' bank sector worries (Reuters)
  • Trump’s Attacks on Khan Family Roil Race But May Not Alter It (BBG)