Frontrunning: August 1

  • Global stocks hit highest in a year but banks take shine off Europe (Reuters)
  • Fed’s Dudley Warns It Is Premature to Rule Out an Interest-Rate Increase This Year (WSJ)
  • Fed’s Kaplan Says September ‘On the Table’ If Data Support (BBG)
  • Europe's stress tests fail to ease investors' bank sector worries (Reuters)
  • Trump’s Attacks on Khan Family Roil Race But May Not Alter It (BBG)

Oil Industry About To Be Burned Again By Fall In Oil Prices

The current oil-price rally led many to believe that a full price recovery was underway. But inventories have been too large for that to happen short of epic supply interruptions. U.S. rig counts have surged as oil prices sink. Capital is driving the oil markets and it enables bad behavior by producers. That is why oil prices will stay low. The oil-price rally that began in February is over.

Previewing The Day's Big Event: What To Expect From The Apple's Earnings Report

When it comes to AAPL, the company is truly in a class of its own. And while in the past it helped propel the S&P500 profitability almost singlehandedly (it was responsible for 7% of total S&P earnings in 2015), this has reverse, and now AAPL is set to be the single biggest detractor from S&P growth. Here is what to look for and what Wall Street expects when AAPL reports earnings at 1:30pm Pacific today...

Frontrunning: July 26

  • Priest killed in French church before police shoot dead hostage-takers (Reuters)
  • On raucous opening night, Democratic stars make a pitch for Clinton (Reuters)
  • Sanders Backs Clinton After Fractious Opening of Convention (BBG)
  • Some in Sanders' army seem determined to march on without him (Reuters)
  • Yen hits two-week high as Japanese stimulus expectations dialled back (Reuters)

Marissa Mayer Blames “Gender-Charged” Reporting Of Yahoo

We all see the things that only plague women leaders, like articles that focus on their appearance, like Hillary Clinton sporting a new pantsuit. I think all women are aware of that, but I had hoped in 2015 and 2016 that I would see fewer articles like that. It’s a shame” Marissa Mayer decried to the Financial Times.

Frontrunning: July 25

  • Democrats in disarray on eve of convention to nominate Clinton (Reuters); After Gloating, Democrats Face Unity Problem of Their Own (BBG)
  • Florida nightclub shooting leaves two dead, up to 16 wounded (Reuters)
  • Yellen Still Waiting for Overwhelming Evidence to Warrant Hike (BBG)
  • Oil Trades Near Two-Month Low as Drilling Increases Amid Surplus (BBG)
  • Fraud Investigation Ricochets Through Hedge Fund Known for Ties to Jewish Community (WSJ)

China Bans Websites From Original Reporting

According to The Paper, major internet portals in China including Sina, Sohu, Netease and have shut down some of their original reporting operations after receiving “harsh criticism” from country’s top industry regulator. As Bloomberg adds, the Cyberspace Administration of China has cited portals for violating China’s internet regulations by carrying plenty of news content obtained through original reporting.

Why Citi Thinks "The Pokemon GO Threat Is Real"

The avg. U.S. iOS user is spending over 33 minutes playing Pokémon GO each day. This places PG ahead of apps such as Facebook, Snapchat, Twitter, and Instagram. Although we believe that PG is adding some incremental time to total smartphone time, we think it would be wrong to assume that the app’s success is not coming at the expense of other players.... , YouTube and TWTR are seeing the largest decreases in avg. time spent per day.