Government Stimulus

Japan GDP Surges 4%, Most In Two Years, On Jump In Government Stimulus Spending

Japan's economy grew by 1% sequentially, and 4% on an annualized basis in Q2, smashing expectations of a 2.5% print and well above the upward revised 1.5% in the first quarter; it was also the the highest quarterly growth since a 5% print in Q2 2015, as some of the public works spending included in last year’s economic stimulus package starting to emerge; meanwhile exports declined.

Ignore OPEC, It's China That Dictates Oil Prices

"If you wanted to know where the downside risk is, it is not in OPEC's decision or in U.S. driving demand or in global inventories rebalancing. I think China is the big source of concern,"

Productivity Myths Shattered: Is Productivity Rising Or Falling? Why?

Those who are baffled by productivity never bothered to put their theories to rudimentary tests. Greenspan is correct that social benefits crowd out genuine investment; thus, those proposing some sort of guaranteed minimum living wage are totally off base. Entitlements are already a massive problem, let’s not make them worse.  Massive handouts have never solved any economic problems, and never will.

It's The Dollar, Stupid!

We expect global monetary authorities to protect the dollar as long as they can and we expect them to fail. Stocks and bonds will react violently; stocks and weak credits falling, treasuries prices rising (at first). That failure will lead to hyperinflation – not driven by demand, but rather by central bank money printing. A new global monetary understanding will then emerge.

The Shocking Truth About How Barack Obama Was Able To Prop Up The U.S. Economy

Barack Obama is one of the biggest “Keynesians” of all time, but unfortunately most Americans don’t even understand what that means. By propping things up in the short-term, he has absolutely demolished our long-term economic future. But like most politicians, Obama has been willing to sacrifice the future for short-term political gain.

China’s First Half “Credit Deluge” Is At Risk In The Second Half Of 2016

China’s Failed Efforts to Limit Runaway Growth in Home Prices Buoyed by Cheap Credit Reflect Policies of Monetary Tightening – These Efforts, Coupled w/ A Likely Slowdown in Bank Asset Growth, We Believe, Will Undermine Key Pillars Supporting China’s Economic “Rebound” in 2H16 & Rekindle Volatility in Risky Asset Classes.

With All Eyes On The ECB, Catatonic Global Markets Remain In State Of Near Paralysis

As the market's comatose trading range continues with no notable moves for nearly 40 consecutive days, there is some hope volatility may return after today's main event, the ECB's announcement due in just two hours, when Mario Draghi may surprise the market in either direction. As of today, the S&P500 has held in a band of 1.5% for 39 days, the narrowest ever for that length of time.