Great Depression

Stockman: The Trump Reflation Fantasy Ends On Day 100

"In honor of the Donald’s “Mother of All Bomb” (MOAB) attack on the Hindu Kush mountains Thursday, let me introduce MOAD. I’m referring to the “Mother of All Debt” crises, of course... The opening round is coming when Washington goes into shutdown mode on April 28, which happens to be Day 100 of the Donald’s reign."

Is The Deep State Creating Another "Crash Of 1929"?

"In short, the Deep State and their cronies, who were instrumental in creating the economic, social, and political house of cards that now exists, have the perfect opportunity to bring on the collapse and blame the new president for it."

How America And China Could Stumble To War

War between the United States and China is not inevitable, but it is certainly possible. Indeed, as these scenarios illustrate, the underlying stress created by China’s disruptive rise creates conditions in which accidental, otherwise inconsequential events could trigger a large-scale conflict.

Financialization & The Erosion Of Growth

"As fees go up by half-a-percent, we reach into the client’s balance sheet, snatch the half-a-percent, and turn it into income; it’s almost magic - capital into income... but we lower the savings rate of our clients (savings and investment rate) by half-a-percent as our fees go up, so we get short term GDP kick from our income, at the expense of lower long-term growth on the part of the system."

The End Game

"..the debt problem is so pervasive, there is only way one forward - inflate... They will do anything (and everything) to ensure the financial system doesn’t implode on itself... They will keep printing until the bond market takes the keys away."

The Unavoidable Pension Crisis

"A bear market is coming which will be the match that lights the fuse... The real crisis comes when there is a 'run on pensions' when 'fear' prevails benefits will be lost entirely."

Is George Soros Behind This Plot To Topple Trump?

"It smells to me like the CIA and George Soros’ NGOs are trying to start a “color revolution” in the US, just like they’ve done in numerous foreign countries. The Deep State has three main cards to play against Trump. If one doesn’t work, they’ll move on to the next one: The Delegitimization Card, The Herbert Hoover Card, and finally, The John F. Kennedy Card."

The Echo Chamber Of Elite Economists: Often Wrong, Never In Doubt

Despite what appears to be an inflection point of radical change, most of which remains unknown, the consensus opinion of professional economists and markets, in general, are well-aligned, optimistic and seemingly convinced about how the economy and markets will evolve throughout the year.  The consensus forecast based upon an assessment of economic projections from major financial institutions appears to be the result of a Ph.D. echo chamber, not rigorous independent analysis.

What Do These CEOs Know That We Don't?

"...the people at the top of the corporate food chain who have privileged information about their businesses are NOT buying. As the Journal summarized, “These markets know no fear.” There’s an incredible amount of complacency despite obvious warning signs."