Great Depression

Tyler Durden's picture

"I Used To Be A Big Deal... And Then A Billion Dollars Walked Out The Door" - Hugh Hendry's Sad Story





"A funny thing happened at the end of 2013 I wrote a letter to my new clients and I began with the preface "what if I was to tell you that I'd become bullish on equities; is that something you'd be interested in." The resounding message no. A billion dollars walked out the door.... "What, really, you're bullish?" - Hugh Hendry

 
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These 2 Charts Show The Next Recession Will Blow Out The US Budget





Only during the halcyon economic days of the 1960s have we seen a longer recovery; but that record, too, will be eclipsed sometime in 2019—if we don’t see a recession first. And note that we were growing at well over 3% in the 1960s, not the anemic 2% we have averaged during this recovery and certainly not the positively puny 1.5% we have endured lately. Global growth is slowing down. Given the limited number of arrows left in the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy quiver, the US is going to have a difficult time dealing with the fallout from a recession. Even worse, a number of factors are coming together that will require serious crisis management.

 
Tyler Durden's picture

Weekend Reading: The Fourth Turning





“The typical investor has usually gathered a good deal of half-truths, misconceptions, and just plain bunk about successful investing.” With the month of April winding up the seasonally strong time of the year, earnings season just ahead and economic growth weak, the risks to the downside far outweigh “hope” of higher prices.  Or, is “bad news” still the bear market deterrent?

 
Tyler Durden's picture

Lost Faith In Central Banks And The Economic End Game





If the IMF is engineering a financial crisis in Europe in order to gain more power and influence, why wouldn’t the Fed be doing the same for the IMF in America? Just as the international bankers use stimulus and rate policy as tools, so, to, do they use chaos.

 
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In Historic First, Four Fed Chairs Sit Together To Share Their "Philosophy" - Live Webcast





Today at 5:30pm, the four people who have done more to shape the U.S. and global economy in the past four decades more than anyone else, will sit down to discuss their respective philosophies and explain how they see the present and future of the world. At that time, Janet Yellen will appear with her predecessors Ben S. Bernanke, Alan Greenspan and Paul Volcker for a round table discussion. The event at the International House marks the first time the four Fed chiefs have gathered for a joint public appearance.

 
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Is Trump's "Recession Warning" Really All Wrong?





There is currently no evidence of a recession now, or even in the few months ahead. There never is. While Trump’s call of a “massive recession” may seem far-fetched based on today’s economic data points, no one was calling for a recession in early 2000 or 2007 either. By the time the data is adjusted, and the eventual recession is revealed, it won’t matter as the damage will have already been done.

 
Tyler Durden's picture

Why FINRA’s Private Court Just Got Served





While this story reads like a Hollywood movie, my hope is that it shines a light and ignites some much needed discussion on the oft hidden, and thus ignored, graft that permeates our most fundamental societal institutions.  In this intricate account I describe the incestuous relationship between FINRA and the Banks.  The affects of which can be seen in the cocksure culture of management across the entire sector and that is about to get far worse. However, this is but one root in a forest of consequences impacting everyday people.

 
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Doug Casey Warns "We're Exiting The Eye Of The Giant Financial Hurricane"





As this unfolds, your biggest risk isn’t the crashing stock market or the crashing bond market. Your biggest problem, and also the one most people just don’t see, is political. Your government is by far the most serious threat to your money and wellbeing.

 
Gold Money's picture

Rebutting Matt O'Brien's and the Washington Post's Misguided Attack on Gold





It is our mission to rebut any mainstream article that spreads misinformation about gold and/or shows a gross misunderstanding of monetary history. Matt O’Brien argues in the Washington Post that a “gold-backed dollar would have been a much more volatile one” and that “[gold]…has nothing to do with the price of food or housing.“ We show in a few simple charts why Matt O’Brien’s arguments are misguided, misinformed and just plain wrong.

 
Tyler Durden's picture

The Rebellion Will Not Go Away





The Sanders- and Trump-led (for now) political rebellion is not going to go away. Why is this rebellion permanent, at least until conditions improve? Because life in the U.S. is getting worse in a way that can be felt by a critical mass of people, by enough people to disrupt the Establishment machine with their anger. And because that worsening is seen to be permanent. Bottom line, people are reaching the breaking point, and we're watching that play out in the 2016 electoral race.

 
Tyler Durden's picture

2016: The End Of The Global Debt Super Cycle





The credit markets are signaling that the debt fueled expansion that began in 2010 is turning to bust. This is the most precarious moment in financial market history because as the world slides into recession global central banks have no ability to soften the oncoming recession with debt creation. The world economy is on the precipice of another Great Depression.

 
Tyler Durden's picture

The End Of Europe As We Know It?





Amid secular stagnation, the Eurozone's old fiscal, monetary and banking challenges are escalating, along with new threats, including the Brexit, demise of Schengen, anti-EU opposition and geopolitical friction. Brussels can no longer avoid hard political decisions for or against an integrated Europe, with or without the euro.

 
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WTI Crude Tumbles Into 'Correction' To 2-Week Lows





The greatest short-squeeze on record is over and now the great global oil glut in history, largest inventories since The Great Depression, and global growth demand collapsing fundamentals are being priced back in. WTI Crude is now down 10% from its highs a week ago, back to near 2-week lows and near a $37 handle. Can we just get another random 'Doha' meeting headline...

 
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