Great Depression

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Deutsche Bank Is Scared: "What Needs To Be Done" In Its Own Words





"So back to the  original question WHAT NEEDS TO BE DONE. Simple?  Recognize the problem. It is not oil, it is not in the banks..it is a run on central bank liquidity, especially dollar based and there needs to be much more ($) liquidity.... Cash shd be charged interest -- put the micro chip in large denom notes/tax cash withdrawals.. encourage spending not saving."

 
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The Return Of Crisis





Let me be blunt: this next crash will be far worse and more dramatic than any that has come before. Literally, the world has never seen anything like the situation we collectively find ourselves in today. The so-called Great Depression happened for purely monetary reasons. Before, during and after the Great Depression, abundant resources, spare capacity and willing workers existed in sufficient quantities to get things moving along smartly again once the financial system had been reset. This time there’s something different in the story line...

 
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This Is What Hillary Told Wall Street Behind Closed Doors





“It was like, ‘Here’s someone who doesn’t want to vilify us but wants to get business back in the game’”...

 
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Visualizing The World's Most Famous Case Of Deflation, Part 1





The Great Depression was the most severe economic depression ever experienced by the Western world. It was during this troubled time that the world’s most famous case of deflation also happened. The resulting aftermath was so bad that economic policy since has been chiefly designed to prevent deflation at all costs.

 
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All Job Gains Since December 2007 Have Gone To Foreign-Born Workers





Starting with the infamous month when it all started falling apart, December 2007, the US has added just 186,000 native-born workers, offset by 13.5x times more, or 2,518,000, foreign born workers.

 
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Oil Dumps'n'Pumps Despite Crude, Gasoline Inventories Surge





Crude has soared back above $31 as it seems a new bullish narrative around seasonally high crude refining has sparked dreams of demand...

After initial weakness, crude prices have rallied since last night's across the board inventory build reported by API (especially gasoline). Against headline expectations of a 3.8mm build, DOE reported a huge 7.8mm rise with Gasoline also surging 5.9mm barrels. The overnight ramp gains on OPEC rumors have been erased and WTI is back below $30.

 
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Crude Chaotic After API Reports Bigger Than Expected Inventory Build





Against expectations of a 3.75mm expectation (and following last week's massive build), API reports that crude inventories saw a very slightly bigger than expected 3.8mm build. WTI crude had plunged into the data and went entirely chaotic as it hit (swining in a 50c range) before settling lower. The biggest reason for the adverse reaction is not so much the headline build as the jump in gasoline again: gasoline inventories surged 6.6MM in the past week, after dropping in the previous week, on expectations of a far smaller 1.7MM gasoline build, once again hinting that the problem is as much demand as it is supply.

 
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Brazil's Easy-Money Problem





Brazil’s current crisis is nothing but an outcome of government’s meddling with the market. The scenario of the country’s economy is indeed scary, but we have reason to believe that Brazil’s intellectual situation is going through a new and promising change. It may be true, as Lord Keynes said, that “in the long run we are all dead,” but if we are to get out of this terrible crisis, to prosper and to enjoy a constant improvement in our standard of living, “it is high time to transform the country’s state capitalism into a free market system.”

 
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US Crude Inventories Are The Highest Since The Great Depression





In case you were under the impression that oil was stabilizing, we thought this chart might help clarify just how "different" it is this time in the energy complex...

 
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Don't Say You Weren't Warned (Again)





“What The Fed did, and I was part of it, was front-loaded an enormous market rally in order to create a wealth effect… and an uncomfortable digestive period is likely now.” – Former Dallas Federal Reserve Governor Richard Fisher – January 5, 2016.

Deeply concerning to us, and apparently now to Mr. Fisher, is the degree of excessive optimism embedded in current prices.

 
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Bad Loans Pile Up In Alberta, As Oil Bust Weighs On State Lender





Just in case you needed another reason to fear for the worst in Alberta, Moody’s and DBRS are becoming increasingly concerned about crown corporation ATB Financial. “Alberta's debt situation was under the microscope last week, with [the] two rating agencies taking a look at the province's fiscal situation and economy and not liking what they saw,” CBC reports.

 
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The American Dream (Of Institutionalized Serfdom)





The status quo "solution" to the decline of opportunities for meaningful work is predictably top-down: guaranteed income for all, a.k.a. "welfare for all." This is of course a re-hash of the Keynesian Cargo Cult's 1930 fix for the Great Depression, except on a far grander scale. If the "solution" doesn't enable the accumulation of capital in all its forms by individuals and households, it isn't a real solution--it's just another top-down scheme that institutionalizes subsistence serfdom.

 
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Norway's Biggest Bank Demands Cash Ban





"There are so many dangers and disadvantages associated with cash, we have concluded that it should be phased out..."

 
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Recession Signs - 2008 & Now





Is the economy “nowhere near recession?” Maybe. Maybe not. But the charts above look extremely similar to where we were at this point in late 2007 and early 2008. Could this time be “different?” Sure. But historically speaking, it never has been.

 

 
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