Gross Domestic Product

Why The Fed Destroyed The Market Economy

But after 100-years of mismanagement, the last eight being in the radically extreme, the Fed has scored a big fat rotten tomato.  The data still stinks – GDP’s still anemic.  But the downside of their actions is downright putrid.

Frontrunning: September 16

  • Deutsche Bank to fight $14 billion demand from U.S. authorities (Reuters)
  • Exxon’s Accounting Practices Are Investigated (WSJ)
  • European leaders seek elusive 'road map' after Brexit shock (Reuters)
  • Johnson Said to Tell Italy Exit Talks Likely to Start Early 2017 (BBG)
  • Brexit Bulletin: Merkel Sings the Bratislava Blues (BBG)

US Futures, European Stocks Rebound, Bonds Fall Ahead Of US Data Deluge

The overnight session started with more weakness out of Asia, where chatter that the BOJ may end up doing nothing despite all the trial balloons (as we hinted yesterday), sent the USDJPY sliding, pushing the Nikkei lower, leading to a 7th consecutive decline in the Topix, the longest such stretch since 2014 even though the BOJ is now actively buying a record amount of ETFs. However, the modest dip in S&P futures and European stocks proved too much for BTFD algos, and risk promptly rebounded.

What's The Real Unemployment Rate? That's The Wrong Question

The truth is the unemployment rate is a political number, not an economic one. If we want an accurate snapshot of employment, earned income and the state of small business, we have hard data that is already collected quarterly. Common sense suggests we will get more value from hard data than from politicized guesswork.

GDP - Less Than Meets The Eye

The most common statistic used to measure the size and growth rate of a nation’s economy is Gross Domestic Product (GDP).  However, GDP as most commonly used can be a flawed measurement if one tries to infer that the size or growth of economic activity is well correlated to the prosperity of its people.

Our Impoverished, Pathological Society

Our inner impoverishment has blinded us to our social impoverishment. In terms of authentic opportunities to contribute and belong, we are poor indeed...

Oil Slide Stalls As Saudi Hints At Massive Budget Cuts

WTI crude has dropped back to a $43 handle this morning - erasing the Saudi-Russia statement hype ramp - after China inventories and disappointing 'freeze' talk but for now the plunge has stalled as Saudi Arabia is set to review thousands of contracts aiming to cancel up to $20 billion of projects. This suggests hope for higher oil prices (improved revenues) are fading.

Death Panel Discussion: Obamacare Costs Skyrocket; When Does It Stop?

Companies are taking advantage of a mix of laws that force insurers to include essentially all expensive drugs in their policies, and a philosophy that demands that every new health care product be available to everyone, no matter how little it helps or how much it costs. Anything else and we’re talking death panels...If Obamacare did not force insurers to provide coverage for every drug, and if Medicare put a cap on costs, prescription drug prices would crash. The same applies to operations and every other aspect of health care. Government is the problem, not the solution.

 

Canadian Economy 'Double-Dip' Crashes In Q2 - Worst GDP Growth In 7 Years

The first half of 2015 saw Canada informally enter 'recession' with two quarters of negative GDP but then, everything bounced back and policy shifts were 'proven' effective. However, that dead-canadian-cat-bounce is over as Q2 2016 GDP growth just slumped 1.6% - double-dipping to the worst since Q2 2009. The problem with this plunge is that oil prices actually had their best quarter in 7 years as the economy tanked.