Gross Domestic Product

Our Impoverished, Pathological Society

Our inner impoverishment has blinded us to our social impoverishment. In terms of authentic opportunities to contribute and belong, we are poor indeed...

Oil Slide Stalls As Saudi Hints At Massive Budget Cuts

WTI crude has dropped back to a $43 handle this morning - erasing the Saudi-Russia statement hype ramp - after China inventories and disappointing 'freeze' talk but for now the plunge has stalled as Saudi Arabia is set to review thousands of contracts aiming to cancel up to $20 billion of projects. This suggests hope for higher oil prices (improved revenues) are fading.

Death Panel Discussion: Obamacare Costs Skyrocket; When Does It Stop?

Companies are taking advantage of a mix of laws that force insurers to include essentially all expensive drugs in their policies, and a philosophy that demands that every new health care product be available to everyone, no matter how little it helps or how much it costs. Anything else and we’re talking death panels...If Obamacare did not force insurers to provide coverage for every drug, and if Medicare put a cap on costs, prescription drug prices would crash. The same applies to operations and every other aspect of health care. Government is the problem, not the solution.

 

Canadian Economy 'Double-Dip' Crashes In Q2 - Worst GDP Growth In 7 Years

The first half of 2015 saw Canada informally enter 'recession' with two quarters of negative GDP but then, everything bounced back and policy shifts were 'proven' effective. However, that dead-canadian-cat-bounce is over as Q2 2016 GDP growth just slumped 1.6% - double-dipping to the worst since Q2 2009. The problem with this plunge is that oil prices actually had their best quarter in 7 years as the economy tanked.

Just 3 Charts

As the cracks in the vineer of central bank omnipotence grow ever wider, some brief reflection on the following three charts may awaken some 'animal' spirits of a different sort as the gap between fundamental reality and 'market' perception has never been wider...

Frontrunning: August 26

  • Global equities set 2-week low before Yellen speech, dollar dips (BBG)
  • Lochte signs new endorsement deal, legal woes persist in Brazil (Reuters)
  • Blackstone Unleashes Cash Hoard in Texas Shale Oil Land Grab (BBG)
  • China to prosecute former statistics bureau chief for corruption (Reuters)
  • Turkey fires on U.S.-backed Kurdish militia in Syria offensive (Reuters)

Bill Gross Warns "Central Bankers Are Destroying The Engine Of The Real Economy"

In the US the year-on-year trend for productivity has turned negative . Most central bankers dismiss this fact as a short-term aberration. But the Japanese economy provides an example of what interest rates at or near zero can do to a large, developed economy. The answer is not much: not much real growth; not much inflation - and, together, not enough nominal GDP growth to repay historic debt should yields on sovereign debt ever return to normal.

Why Paul Krugman Should Go Back To 5th Grade

Economist Paul Krugman is whining for more fiscal stimulus, his favorite pastime by far. Krugman’s target this time is Japan... "The average 5th grader understands it’s absurd to pay money for something guaranteed to be useless, but the average Keynesian economist doesn’t."