Gross Domestic Product

Janet Yellen Explains How Dovish Her Rate Hike Is - Fed Press Conference Live Feed

Just as Mario Draghi exlained how his reduced bond buying was not a taper, we suspect the narrative espoused by Janet Yellen in her press conference today will be just how dovish this rate hike is.. and how the rate of normalization will be very gradual. The big question is, how will she respond to question about Trump's fiscal stimulus plan? Of course, this also may be her last flourish as Fed head, so anything goes.

US Budget Deficit Doubles As November Spending Hits All Time Monthly High

The U.S. budget deficit soared last month, highlighting the growing mismatch between government spending and revenues. The government ran a $136.7 billion deficit in November, more than double that reported one year ago. The reason for the spike: outlays rose roughly 25% compared with November 2015, and hit an all time high of $226.5 billion for the month of November.

Longest Winning Streak For Global Stocks Since September On Monte Paschi Bailout Hopes, ECB Optimism

Global stocks extended the longest winning streak since September, with Asia up 0.8% and Europe rising 0.7% while bonds and credit markets strengthened amid hopes that the European Central Bank will prolong quantitative easing, while optimism an Italian bailout of Monte Paschi will prevent European bank contagion, has pushed European financial stocks higher. US equity futures were little changed.

3 Things: Exuberance, Small Caps, & 6% Realities

"...there is a long way to go between President-elect taking office, drafting bills and getting them passed. There is even a further period of time before any actions actually passed by the Trump administration actually create perceivable effects within the broader economy. In the meantime, there are many concerns, from a technical perspective, that must be recognized within the current market environment."

OECD Boosts Global Growth Forecasts On Trump Optimism

The details of any Trump growth plan may not be available for a long time, but the general sentiment that Trump's fiscal spending boost will be good for global growth was enough for the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development which on Monday said that U.S. and global economic growth would be boosted by increases in spending and tax cuts promised by the President-elect.

Who Pays What Taxes In The US

Why does every election bring renewed focus on the taxes paid by the rich? Simple: while those American who declare $500,000 and above in income represent less than 1% of total tax returns, they account for a quarter of taxable income and - more importantly - are responsible for 37% of government revenues collected through individual income taxes.

Fed's Kashkari Releases Plan To End "Too Big To Fail", Compares Banks To Terrorists

In the latest reminder that 7 years after the financial crisis, the US banking system still remains a systemic risk, Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari today released four-step plan to end too-big-to-fail problem. The reason for the proposal: America's "biggest banks continue to pose a significant, ongoing risk to our economy" and "One analogy that helps highlight the trade-off of costs and benefits is the risk of terrorism."

Trump Or No Trump - Why The Next 8 Years Will Be The Worst Economic Period In US History

Regardless who was chosen as president for the next two terms, 80% of the population growth in the US will come from 65+yr/olds. This is the inverse from Bill Clinton's presidency which was the benefactor of the strongest demographic and population changes. The Fed has been dropping rates ever since to incentivize the decelerating growth among the young to spend more... but the population growth to consume(r) our way out of this debt bubble is never coming.