The feud between the FBI and the Department of Justice over whether or not to proceed with charges against Hillary Clinton in the ongoing email investigation just took an unexpected turn: "an anonymous and unauthorized release of FBI investigative materials could result if officials at the agency believed prosecution of Clinton was stymied for political reasons,"said Chuck Grassley.
- Panama Papers: Biggest Banks Are Top Users of Offshore Services (WSJ)
- Panama Papers probes opened, China limits access to news on leaks (Reuters)
- Credit Suisse CEO Distances Bank From ‘Panama Papers’ (WSJ)
- Fed's Evans says market more pessimistic on U.S. rate hikes (Reuters)
- IMF's Lagarde Says Risks to Weak Global Recovery Are Increasing (BBG)
Why Tomorrow's "Secret" Meeting Between Russian, Saudi Oil Ministers Will Not Lead To A Cut In ProductionSubmitted by Tyler Durden on 02/15/2016 19:13 -0400
Tomorrow the endless "headline hockey" will come to an end, following what is now a confirmed "secret" meeting between the two oil superpowers when, as Bloomberg reports, Saudi Arabia’s oil minister will meet with his Russian counterpart in Doha on Tuesday "to discuss the oil market."
It was a relatively calm overnight session in which European stocks wobbled modestly, Japan was up, China was down following its weakest fixing since 2011 as the PBOC continues to aggressively devalue since the SDR inclusion (stoking concerns capital outflows are once again surging), EM stocks stocks were weak and the dollar was unchanged ahead of today's retail sales data and next week's Fed meeting, and then suddenly everything snapped.
Hong Kong's once-upon-a-time raging housing bubble just got its last rites after November home sales sank to a record low as an imminent interest rate in the US this month scared away prospective buyers. According to Land Registry data, reported by SCMP, November saw 2,826 registered residential transactions, down 14.4% from October and 41.7% less than in November last year. This was the lowest print in the history of the series.
- Deutsche Bank Says Rout ‘Very Serious’ as Growth Outlook Dims (BBG)
- Great fall of China sinks world stocks, dollar tumbles (Reuters)
- Global Stocks Fall Sharply Amid Concerns About the Chinese Economy (WSJ)
- Stock Rout Spreads Through Europe After China Plunge (BBG)
- China stocks give up year's gains as 'national team' stays on bench (Reuters)
- The Fed Is Looking at a Very Different Dollar Than Wall Street (BBG)
- French train gunman 'dumbfounded' by terrorist tag (Reuters)
We warned on Friday, after last week's China rout, that the market is getting ahead of itself with its expectation of a RRR-cut by China as large as 100 bps. "The risk is that there isn't one." We were spot on, because not only was there no RRR cut, but Chinese stocks plunged, with the composite tumbling as much a 9% at one point, the most since 1996 when it dropped 9.4% in a single session. The session, as profile overnight was brutal, with about 2000 stocks trading by the -10% limit down, and other markets not doing any better: CSI 300 -8.8%, ChiNext -8.1%, Shenzhen Composite -7.7%. This was the biggest Chinese rout since 2007.
- July job gains may favor September interest rate rise (Reuters)
- It's all about Trump at raucous Republican debate (Reuters)
- The 5 Most Important Takeaways From the First Debate of 2016 (BBG)
- Republican presidential candidate Carly Fiorina wins the Web (Reuters)
- Hedge Fund Losses From Commodity Slump Sparking Investor Exodus (BBG)
- Winners and losers from the first Republican presidential debate (WaPo)
- Bush turns in workmanlike debate performance, but will it be enough? (Reuters)
We previously questioned whether western sanctions imposed on Russia were being regularly breached by E.U. and Asian companies, noting that sanctions only work if all countries unite behind them. Now, only one year after being imposed, the sanctions are eroding as it seems that government and business policies are pulling in opposite directions. A U.S. State Dept. representative may have let the truth slip out recently when he noted, "if you tell us you’re going [to break a sanction], we’ll probably order you not to, but if you go and don’t tell us, we’ll probably do nothing."
As we recently noted, Russia and Saudi Arabia appear oddly allied in recent weeks. What happens when two nations, that together account for more than fourth quarter of global oil production, begin collaborating on future energy projects?
- The Fed Still Wants Easy Money (BBG) - you don't say
- ECB Is Studying Curbs on Greek Bank Support (BBG)
- Banks Paid to Borrow as Three-Month Euribor Drops Below Zero (BBG)
- Baoding Tianwei is first state-owned Chinese enterprise to default (Reuters)
- Major Chinese Developer Says It Can’t Pay Dollar Debts (BBG)
- Wall Street Has No Idea How Much Money Venezuela Has (BBG)
- Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley Find Different Paths to Profits (WSJ)
- Does the Collapse of a Chinese Developer Signal the Start of More Defaults? (BBG)
- Retail Traders Wield Social Media for Investing Fame (WSJ)
- Saudis keep on pumping, oil prices keep on slumping (Reuters)
- Tenet Healthcare Nearing Deal to Buy United Surgical Partners (WSJ)
- Dizzying Pre-IPO Tech Values Spurred by Rush of Hedge-Fund Money (BBG)
- Russia threatens to aim nuclear missiles at Denmark ships if it joins NATO shield (Reuters)
- Torrent of Cash Exits Eurozone (WSJ)
- Draghi Cheerleads for Euro-Area Economy as Greek Risk Looms (BBG)
- Fortescue Mines for More Financing Options (WSJ)
- Topix Charts Evoke Calm Before ’13 Rout as Momentum Gains (BBG)
Paul Krugman may (or may not) know a lot of economic theory and is a very clever writer, but you should never ever trust him to recount tales of battles between Keynesians and other schools of thought. His misrememberings in this realm are so astounding that they would impress Brian Williams.
- Obama Targets Income Gap in Address That Shapes 2016 Election (BBG)
- Republicans Reject Obama’s Main Economic Proposals (WSJ)
- Senate’s Shelby Says White House Bank Tax Is Dead on Arrival (BBG)
- Is Dollar Next? Investors Reassess After Swiss Shock: Currencies (BBG)
- Bank of Japan Cuts Price Forecast, Maintains Record Stimulus (BBG)
- Pound Weakens After BOE Policy Makers Drop Call to Raise Rates (BBG)
- Putin not flinching on Ukraine despite economic crisis (Reuters)
- Indonesia will not make public full preliminary AirAsia crash report (Reuters)
- Party Hasn't Stopped for Russians at Davos Even With Ukraine Sanctions (BBG)
While we await today's update of the Glorious Leader's Hawaiian vacation, here is an update from Nevada on the outgoing senate majority leader's health condition: " Senate Democratic leader Harry Reid was injured today in an accident while exercising at his home in Henderson, Nevada. According to a statement from the Nevada Senator's office, Reid was hurt after a piece of equipment he was using broke, which caused him to fall. He broke a "number of ribs and bones in his face."