Globalization Is Done

The end of growth exposes the stupidity and ignorance of all but (and even that’s a maybe) a precious few (of our) ‘leaders’. We are transcending into an entirely different stage of our lives, our economies, our societies. Growth is gone, it went out the window long ago only to be replaced with debt. And that’s going to take a lot of getting used to. But there’s nothing that says we couldn’t see it coming.

Frontrunning: October 4

  • WikiLeaks' Assange signals release of documents before U.S. election (Reuters)
  • Kaine and Pence Look to Assure (and Attack) at Vice-Presidential Debate (BBG)
  • Pound tumbles to 31-year low, Deutsche Bank bounces (Reuters)
  • Trump Digs In Over Tax Disclosure (WSJ)
  • Oil eases as Iran, Libya output rises hit OPEC deal momentum (Reuters)

Futures Flat With Germany Closed; Sterling Slides On "Hard Brexit" Fears

With China, German and South Korea closed for holiday, it has been a relatively quiet day in overnight equity trading, especially in the one stock everyone is keeping a close eye on, Deutsche Bank, whose ADRs are trading fractionally lower, down under 1% in premarket trading. Cable plunged on "Hard Brexit" fears sending the FTSE100 to fresh 16 month highs.

Foreign Buying Plummets In Vancouver: Sales To Foreigners Crash 96%

Overseas buyers accounted for a paltry 0.7% of the C$6.5 billion of residential real estate purchases in August in Metro Vancouver; this represents a 96% plunge from the seven weeks prior, when foreigners were responsible for 16.5% of transactions by value.

Exposing How China "Cheats On Trade" In The Aluminum Industry

Trump has made international trade a cornerstone of his campaign with promises to go after countries like China which he has labeled a "currency manipulator" that "cheats on trade."  Here is a stunning look into China's effort to "cheat" on aluminum trade.

Frontrunning: August 22

  • Oil falls as China fuel exports jump, U.S. rigs rise (Reuters)
  • Fischer Signals 2016 Rate Hike With Economy Nearing Fed Goals (BBG)
  • Show of European unity: Merkel, Hollande, Renzi meet to discuss gameplan (Reuters)
  • Rainy Rio wraps up challenging Games on upbeat tropical note (Reuters)
  • Japan's Abe Plays Super Mario in Rio to Promote 2020 Tokyo Games (BBG)
  • Donald Trump the Mortgage Broker Was in Trouble From Moment One (BBG)

Germany Sells First Ever Negative-Yielding 10Y Treasury, Corporate Bonds

Just hours prior to Germany selling its first ever negative-yield 10Y bund, German railway operator Deutsche Bahn became the first non-financial company to sell a corporate bond with a negative yield in euros on Tuesday. . Joint leads BayernLB and Raiffeisen Bank set the final spread at plus 15bp as orders reached 840m. The deal priced with a negative 0.006% yield and a 0% coupon.

UK Fund Managers Start Dumping Properties, Admit "Real Estate Needed Re-Pricing"

The uncomfortable moment of truth has arrived for property funds in the UK (and their investors). Following the initial tumble of the post-Brexit dominoes - eight major funds so far either gating redemptions or forcing massive haircuts on to investors who want out - contagion concerns even woke up Britain's regulators (and central bank) as fears of Bear-Stearns-esque forced liquidations spread; and now, as The FT reports, that is what has just started.

First Post-Brexit Bailout Looms As Bank Of England Mulls UK Property Fund 'Measures'

Who could have seen that coming? While many have questioned the "suitability of daily-traded, open-ended property funds that are giving investors access to an illiquid asset," all the time the price is rising, no one wants to rock the boat. However, now that Brexit has rocked the boat, spoiling the party for UK property investors and asset managers alike, it's time for Carney to ride to the tax-payer-funded bailout rescue to ensure Bear Stearns 2.0 does not become Lehman 2.0...