Hershey

Frontrunning: August 31

  • Treasuries Extend Drop in August on Fed Outlook as Dollar Gains (BBG)
  • Oil slips on dollar strength, still set for monthly gain (Reuters)
  • Trump to make dramatic trip to Mexico before immigration speech (Reuters)
  • Rep. Debbie Wasserman Schultz Beats Back Florida Primary Challenge (WSJ)
  • Ban cash because... SWIFT discloses more cyber thefts, pressures banks on security (Reuters)

Futures Flat, Global Stocks Rise As Treasury Yields See Biggest Monthly Jump In Over A Year

The August market doldrums were on display on the last day of the month as S&P futures were fractionally lower on non-existent volume, while both Europe and Asia were modestly in the green; ten-year Treasury yields headed for the biggest monthly jump in more than a year while the dhe dollar gained for a sixth day against the yen in the longest winning streak since March. European stocks advanced for a second day, adding to a monthly gain as oil trimmed its advance in the best month since April.

Frontrunning: August 30

  • EU demands Apple pay Ireland up to 13 billion euros in tax (Reuters)
  • Dollar Advances as Treasuries Drop on Rate Outlook; Stocks Rise (BBG)
  • Chinese embassy in Kyrgyzstan hit by suspected suicide car bomb (Reuters)
  • France, joining German Economy Minister, urges halt to trade talks with U.S. (Reuters)
  • Euro zone monthly economic sentiment falls more than expected (Reuters)

Futures Flat, Global Stocks Higher As Dollar Resumes Rise

The quiet overnight market had been focused on the upcoming comments by Stanley Fischer, who is set to give a Bloomberg TV interview at 6:30am ET, where he was expected to expand on his recent hawkish comments. Heading into Fischer's appearance, the dollar strengthened, global stocks rose, oil hovered around $47, while US index futures were largely flat and Treasuries fell.

Hershey Plunges After Mondelez Pulls Offer To Buy Company

Three months after Mondelez shocked the world with the latest proposed mega-merger, when it offered $23 billion to acquire Pennsylvania's iconic Hershey, in a bid to make the world's biggest candy maker combining the candy industry’s second- and fifth-largest players by revenue, moments ago, the snack giant, which makes Oreo cookies and Cadbury chocolate bares, announced it was no longer pursuing the combination.

Frontrunning: July 14

  • BoE surprises markets by keeping rates on hold, signals August move (Reuters)
  • Bank of England Signals August Stimulus as Rate Kept at 0.5% (BBG)
  • JPMorgan results boost futures, but BoE move trims gains (Reuters)
  • Bernanke Floated Japan Perpetual Debt Idea to Abe Aide Honda (BBG)
  • Oil bounces after big losses but glut persists (Reuters)

Frontrunning: July 1

  • Bond yields sink as central banks head for easier policy (Reuters)
  • PM hopeful Gove says UK leader must believe in Brexit (AP)
  • U.K. Can’t Bank on EU’s Rationality in Talks (WSJ)
  • Gove Makes Case for U.K. Premiership After Johnson Betrayal (BBG)
  • ECB not debating abandoning capital key in QE buys (Reuters)

The First Casualty Is Truth

The US, in its own decline, is showing this same self-destructive tendency. The worse things get, the greater the inclination of the citizenry to say, “Carry on, everything’s fine.”

Frontrunning: April 26

  • The Fed Is Meeting in April to Talk About June (BBG)
  • Global stocks, oil prices climb as investors ready for Fed (Reuters)
  • Apple Results to Show How Far iPhone Sales Have Fallen  (BBG)
  • On Election Eve for five states, Trump rips Cruz and Kasich (Reuters)
  • President Xi Jinping’s Most Dangerous Venture Yet: Remaking China’s Military (WSJ)
  • Oil's Recovery Inches Higher as 'Fracklog' Awaits Price Trigger (BBG)

Are Governments Running Out of Candy?

Much of the world is now running out of candy. The latest version of Bread and Circuses is reaching its inevitable end. Each of us has the opportunity to make a choice as to whether we wish to be Takers, Payers, or Preparers. The choice we make may define our future.

Frontrunning: December 8

  • Anti-Trump Effort Launches Super PAC (WSJ)
  • Muslims decry Trump's proposal to keep them out of US (AP)
  • Debate Heats Up Over No-Fly List, Gun Sales (WSJ)
  • OPEC Takes Down Oil Majors as Lower-for-Even-Longer Kicks In (BBG)
  • Chinese Companies Are Trapped in IPO Logjam (WSJ)
  • Republican Ted Cruz vaults into first place in new Iowa poll (Reuters)

4 Charts Show Why This Rally May Become A Rout!

Now that we’re in the classic “crash season,” the situation only looks worse. This season technically started in mid-August, and won’t end until mid-October. This is not to say the chaos won’t continue later on into the end of this year. It just means the worst decline, this first wave down, is likely to come in the next several weeks. So consider this current bounce a gift. The signs are all there that this global bubble is done. Use this time to get out of any passive investments in stocks.