High Yield
Bob Janjuah Warns The Bubble Implosion Can't Be "Fixed" This Time
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 01/07/2016 16:25 -0500Having correctly foreseen in September that "China's devaluations are not over yet" it appears Nomura's infamous 'bear' Bob Janjuah has also nailed The Fed's subsequent actions (hiking rates into a fundamentally weakening economy in a desperate bid to "convince markets that strong growth and inflation are on their way back"). In light of this, his latest note today should be worrisome to many as he warns the S&P 500 will trade down around 20% to 25% from current levels in H1, down to the 1500s and for dip-buyers, it's over: "I now feel even more certain that debt-driven asset bubble implosions cannot merely be 'fixed' with even more debt and another round of central bank-driven asset bubbles."
We Have Officially Run Out Of Greater Fools
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 01/07/2016 14:02 -0500Is there any wonder panic has returned to a "market" in which fundamental investing, long forgotten, suddenly matters once more and as we have been showing over the past 7 years - undeterred by the great Copperfieldian act put on by central banks since 2008 - the fundamentals of both the economy and the market have never been worse?
Why Bank Of America Just Said To Go Long "Cash & Volatility", In Charts
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 01/07/2016 10:49 -0500Global Stocks Crash After Spiraling Chinese Devaluation Unleashes Worldwide Chaos And Selling
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 01/07/2016 07:34 -0500- Apple
- Australia
- B+
- Bank of America
- Bank of America
- Bitcoin
- Bond
- Brazil
- China
- Circuit Breakers
- Consumer Confidence
- Continuing Claims
- Copper
- CPI
- Crude
- Crude Oil
- Equity Markets
- fixed
- France
- George Soros
- Germany
- headlines
- High Yield
- Hong Kong
- Initial Jobless Claims
- Italy
- Japan
- KIM
- Kyle Bass
- Kyle Bass
- Market Conditions
- Middle East
- Monetary Policy
- Natural Gas
- Netherlands
- Nikkei
- None
- North Korea
- Oklahoma
- OPEC
- RANSquawk
- San Francisco Fed
- Saudi Arabia
- Shenzhen
- Standard Chartered
- Trade Balance
- Trade Deficit
- Unemployment
- Volatility
- Wells Fargo
- World Bank
- Yen
- Yuan
Once China set the Yuan fixing some 0.5% lower, the biggest drop since the August devaluation, all hell broke loose and unleashed a global selling panic after China's stock market was promptly shut down less than 30 minutes into trading, then European shares dropped the most in more than 4 months as Asian equities plunges, as did US stock futures, the dollar weakened against the euro and the yen; crude plunged to fresh 12 year lows. Gold rose.
A Disturbing Warning From UBS: "Buy Gold" Because A 30% Bear Market Is Coming
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 01/06/2016 13:35 -0500As Wall Street axioms (Santa rally, January effect, as goes January etc.) are rapidly falling by the wayside at the start of 2016, following a chaotic but return-less 2015, the UBS analysts who correctly forecast last year's volatility are out with their forecast for 2016. It's simple - Sell Stocks, Buy Gold... expect a Fed u-turn.
The Carnage Returns: Stocks Tumble After Sharp Chinese Devaluation; Brent At 2004 Lows; Gold Surges
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 01/06/2016 06:55 -0500- Apple
- Bank of Japan
- Bear Market
- Bond
- China
- Citigroup
- Consumer Confidence
- Copper
- CPI
- Crude
- Crude Oil
- France
- Germany
- headlines
- High Yield
- Holiday Cheer
- Hong Kong
- Italy
- Japan
- Jim Reid
- Kyle Bass
- Kyle Bass
- Markit
- Middle East
- NASDAQ
- Nasdaq 100
- Nikkei
- North Korea
- Price Action
- RANSquawk
- Reuters
- Shenzhen
- Trade Balance
- Unemployment
- Wall Street Journal
- Yen
- Yuan
Before we go into details of the overnight carnage, this is where we stand currently: S&P futures now down 33 points or 1.63% while 2Y Treasury rallies pushing its yield back below 1% as EU stocks extend their drop after China weakened its currency, North Korea says it tested a hydrogen bomb; Brent crude falls to lowest level since 2004.
Stocks Resume Rout After Massive Chinese Intervention Fails To Lift Shanghai, Calm Traders
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 01/05/2016 06:52 -0500- Auto Sales
- Barclays
- Bond
- Borrowing Costs
- China
- Cleveland Fed
- Consumer Prices
- Copper
- CPI
- Crude
- Crude Oil
- Economic Calendar
- Equity Markets
- European Central Bank
- Federal Reserve
- fixed
- France
- Germany
- Global Economy
- headlines
- High Yield
- Iran
- Italy
- Jim Reid
- Middle East
- Nikkei
- Non-manufacturing ISM
- Prudential
- RANSquawk
- Real estate
- Recession
- Reuters
- Saudi Arabia
- Shenzhen
- Unemployment
- Volatility
- Yen
- Yuan
After yesterday's historic -6.9% rout in the Shanghai Composite, which saw the first new marketwide circuit breaker trading halt applied to Chinese stocks (on its first day of operation), many were wondering if the Chinese government would intervene in both the once again imploding stock market, as well as China's plunging and rapidly devaluing currency. And, after the SHCOMP opened down -3%, the government did not disappoint and promptly intervened in both the Yuan as well as the stock market, however with very mixed results which global stocks took a sign that the "national team" is no longer focused solely on stocks, and have resumed selling for a second consecutive day.
Late-Day Buying Panic Saves Stocks From Worst Start To January In 84 Years
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 01/04/2016 17:33 -0500Pretend To The Bitter End
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 01/04/2016 14:45 -0500- Afghanistan
- Bernie Sanders
- Bond
- BRICs
- China
- Corruption
- CRAP
- Detroit
- Donald Trump
- ETC
- Eurozone
- Federal Reserve
- Ford
- France
- Germany
- Global Economy
- Goldilocks
- Great Depression
- Greece
- High Yield
- Iran
- Iraq
- Israel
- Italy
- Japan
- KIM
- Middle East
- NASDAQ
- Nicolas Sarkozy
- Nomination
- North Korea
- Portugal
- Racketeering
- Reality
- recovery
- Saudi Arabia
- SWIFT
- Turkey
- Ukraine
There’s really one supreme element of this story that you must keep in view at all times: a society (i.e. an economy + a polity = a political economy) based on debt that will never be paid back is certain to crack up. Its institutions will stop functioning. Its business activities will seize up. Its leaders will be demoralized. Its denizens will act up and act out. Its wealth will evaporate. Given where we are in human history - the moment of techno-industrial over-reach - this crackup will not be easy to recover from. Things have gone too far in too many ways. The coming crackup will re-set the terms of civilized life to levels largely pre-techno-industrial. How far backward remains to be seen.
Byron Wien's Reveals Top 10 Predictions: Expects Stocks To Decline After Predicting 15% Rise In 2015
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 01/04/2016 12:53 -0500"The United States equity market has a down year. Stocks suffer from weak earnings, margin pressure (higher wages and no pricing power) and a price- earnings ratio contraction. Investors keeping large cash balances because of global instability is another reason for the disappointing performance."
What Really Happened In 2015, And What Is Coming In 2016...
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 01/04/2016 10:36 -0500A lot of people were expecting some really great things to happen in 2015, but most of them did not happen. But what did happen? A global financial crisis began during the second half of 2015 threatens to greatly accelerate as we enter 2016. This is what the early stages of a financial crisis look like, and the worst is yet to come.
Three Reasons Stocks Will Crater in 2016
Submitted by Phoenix Capital Research on 01/04/2016 07:37 -0500The sources of growth for US corporates have all dried up. Stocks have yet to adjust to this, but when they do it’s going to be an all out collapse.
Happy New Year: Global Stocks Crash After China Is Halted Limit Down In Worst Start To Year In History
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 01/04/2016 06:46 -0500- Australia
- Bond
- Carry Trade
- Chicago PMI
- China
- Circuit Breakers
- Copper
- Crude
- Crude Oil
- Equity Markets
- Eurozone
- Federal Reserve
- Ferrari
- fixed
- Flight to Safety
- Germany
- headlines
- High Yield
- India
- Initial Jobless Claims
- Iran
- Jim Reid
- KIM
- Markit
- Meltdown
- Middle East
- NASDAQ
- Nikkei
- RANSquawk
- Saudi Arabia
- Shenzhen
- Swiss Franc
- Yen
- Yuan
It all started off relatively well: oil and US equity futures were buoyant on hopes Iran and Saudi Arabia would break out in a bloody conflict any minute boosting the net worth of shareholders of the military industrial complex, and then, out of nowhere, like a depressed China in a bull shop, the "mainland" crashed the party and it all well south very, very quickly...
The Battle Between Manufacturing And Services
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 01/03/2016 14:00 -0500As we start the new year, there is a debate raging within the market. No the debate isn’t whether there is weakness in the manufacturing economy, that is taken as a given, especially after Friday’s awful Chicago Purchasing Manager number of 42.9. Instead, the debate boils down to this: 'bears' believe the manufacturing economy and the service economy act in conjunction with each other – that one cannot turn, without the other; 'bulls' view each segment of the economy as relatively independent and they highlight the size of the service economy relative to the manufacturing. The answer lies in the missing cog - the 'wealth' economy.
"Tread Lightly" - 2016 Technical Outlook
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 01/02/2016 17:20 -0500Wall Street forecasts for 2015 were largely wrong across the board. Now we have no problem with anybody being wrong, but wwhat we do take issue with is that Wall Street largely insisted on staying wrong even though the facts were changing in 2015. The only thing that really changed was the narrative, i.e. “well if earnings are down so what then markets go up because fund managers have to chase performance”. And hence you end up with overly optimistic forecasts not based on reality. But Wall Street is in the business of selling supply to the public. If there was one key trading lesson to draw from 2015 it is this: Ignore the noise and focus on the technicals.





