High Yield

Tyler Durden's picture

If Price Insensitive Buyers Become Sellers, Will The Entire Market Collapse?





"If circumstances cause these price-insensitive buyers to turn around and become price-insensitive sellers, there are not a lot of candidates to take the other side. Be prepared for the possibility that some of the same assets that have again and again risen to prices that many investors said were impossible show more downside volatility than investors have bargained for."

 
Tyler Durden's picture

"Why Commodities Defaults Could Spread", UBS Explains





"In the wake of the commodity price swoon one of the recurring questions is will the stress in commodity markets spillover to other sectors?," UBS asks. Spoiler alert: the answer is "yes."

 
Tyler Durden's picture

Weak 7 Year Auction Tails 0.8 bps After Foreign Central Bank Buyers Balk





With a When Issued trading at 2.013%, traders were looking for a high yield to print well inside of that. Instead they got a nearly 1 basis point, or 0.8 bps to be price tail, to 2.021%, even though the Bid to Cover was nominally above last month's 2.384, printing at 2.468. The reason for this almost certainly was the steep drop in the Indirect take down, which dipped from 56.64% in June to just 49.15%, which was the lowest foreign central bank demand since October. And with Directs relatively unchanged, at 12.01%, it mean that Dealers had to step up and take 38.8% of the issue, the most since September of 2014.

 
Tyler Durden's picture

"Say A Little Prayer" Bill Gross Warns, "Zombie Corporations Now Roam The Real Economy"





Having exposed the reality that the world's capital markets are a manipulated shell game, Janus' Bill Gross has a message for the perpetual bulls in his latest letter to investors - "say a little prayer." Gross continues, "low interest rates are not the cure – they are part of the problem," warning that ZIRP has enabled, "a host of zombie and future zombie corporations now roam the real economy. Schumpeter’s 'creative destruction' – the supposed heart of capitalistic progress – has been neutered. The old remains in place, and new investment is stifled." As he previously warned, when the central bank manipulation is removed the likely trajectory of prices is downward...

 
Tyler Durden's picture

Record Foreign Central Bank Demand Leads To Blistering 5 Year Auction





If yesterday's 3 Year auction was far stronger than expected, then today's 5 Year auction was an absolute whopper, printing moments ago at a high yield of 1.625%, 0.5bps through the When Issued, but it was the internals that were most impressive, not so much the Bid to Cover which jumped from 2.39 to 2.58, the highest since November, but the real stunner just like in yesterday 3Y auction, was the central bank, aka Indirect, interest because while the foreign central bank bid in yesterday's 3 Year auction were the highest since 2009, today's 67.5% Indirect takedown was the strongest on record!

 
Tyler Durden's picture

When Scary Headlines Don't Scare - Climbing The Wall Of Complacency





The U.S. economy is growing at a painfully slow pace. Greece still threatens the euro. Chinese stocks have just pulled out of a frightening free-fall. Big companies in the U.S. are struggling to boost profits. You might think it's been a rough year for investors, but it's mostly been a smooth ride - and a profitable one. "Things have worked out," scoffs one analyst "and that has emboldened investors." Maybe too much...

 
Tyler Durden's picture

UBS Exposes The "Scary Reality" Of High Yield Energy





"Central bank quantitative easing drove traditional investors seeking mid-to-high single digit yields out of investment grade/ crossover credit into high yield, loan and emerging market debt to satisfy yield bogeys. The problem, however, is some of the tourists underappreciate the exponential loss and mark-to-market functions for low quality high yield assets."

 
Tyler Durden's picture

Howard Marks Interviewed: "There’s No Free Market Today"





"If investors want complete safety, they can't get much income, and if they aim for high income, they can't completely avoid risk. It’s much more challenging today with rates being suppressed by governments. This is one of the negative consequences of centrally administered economic decisions. People talk about the wisdom of the free market – of the invisible hand – but there’s no free market in money today. Interest rates are not natural."

 
Tyler Durden's picture

Add Junk Bonds To The Growing Pile Of Concerns





Because of their credit issues, these bonds often trade more closely with equities than they do with base interest rates. Occasionally, however, junk bonds and stocks will diverge with one another. Such a divergence is occurring at the moment. It is often suggested that when the bond and stock markets diverge, the bonds typically prove to be correct, i.e., the stock market usually ends up going the way of the bonds. Is there evidence to back that up? According to our research there is, and with junk bond yields at s-x month highs while the S&P is within 1% of record highs, for stock bulls, that isn’t necessarily good news.

 
Tyler Durden's picture

Gold "Flash-Crashes" Again Amid Continued Commodity Liquidation As China Manufacturing Slumps To 15-Month Lows





As Bridgewater talks back its now widely discussed bearish position on fallout from China's equity market collapse, Chinese stocks rose at the open (before fading after ugly manufacturing data). However, liquidations continue across the commodity complex in copper, gold, and silver. Though not on the scale to Sunday night's collapse, the China open brought another 'flash-crash' in precious metals. All signs point to CCFD unwinds, and forced liquidations as under the surface something smells rotten in China, which has just been confirmed by the lowest Manufacturing PMI print in 15 months.

 
Tyler Durden's picture

Wall Street Prepares To Reap Billions From Another Main Street Wipe Out





"They are going to be toast. It will be one of our first levels of shorting the moment we start to see cracks, because it’s ripe with retail, emotional investors."

 
Tyler Durden's picture

The Complete Guide To ETF Phantom Liquidity





How the intersection of Fed policy, the post-crisis regulatory regime, and illiquid markets turned ETFs into the new financial weapons of mass destruction.

 
Tyler Durden's picture

Icahn Vs. Fink: Wall Street Legends Clash Over "Dangerous" ETFs





On Wednesday, Carl Icahn and Larry Fink engaged in an epic debate about the role ETFs play in perpetuating systemic risk. Icahn, taking a page from the Tyler Durden playbook, talks phantom liquidity before calling BlackRock "a dangerous company", and opining that Fink and Janet Yellen are "pushing the damn thing off a cliff."

 
Tyler Durden's picture

Tailing, Weak 30 Year Bond Auction Disrupts Treasury Long End





If yesterday's 10 Year auction priced stronger than expected during yesterday's NYSE-trading vacuum, today's 30 Year was the mirror image, with the Treasury selling $13 billion in 30 Year paper far weaker than the When Issued market had expected, resulting in a 3.084% high yield, a tail of 1.6 bps to the When Issued.

 
Syndicate content
Do NOT follow this link or you will be banned from the site!