High Yield

David Einhorn Explains How He Is Trading The "Trump Presidency"

1) Long a variety of low-multiple, tax-paying, U.S. value stocks; 2) Long AAPL; 3) Long GM; 4) Short “bubble basket.” 5) Short oil frackers, 6) Short CAT (and other similar industrial cyclicals that have moved much higher post-election).

Why Morgan Stanley Thinks Stocks "Will Do Worse Under The New Administration"

"Returns will likely do worse under the new administration than under the departing one, and where exceptions to this may be. That statement is linked to a simple idea. Good market environments often involve a shift from economic despair to optimism, and a shift in psychology from ‘fear’ to ‘greed’. Both occurred over the last eight years, producing returns well above the long-run average."

BofA Warns Of 'Icarus' Trade: "A Wobble Then A Melt-Up... Followed By A Melt-Down"

"After a Jan/Feb wobble, we believe stocks & commodities will have one last 10% meltup in H1," explains BofA's Michael Hartnett in his latest note, but, he adds, by the end of 2017 we will see a "meltdown." BofA awaits the endgame of the so-called "Icarus Trade" amid unambiguous signs of bullish investor Positioning, bullish Profit expectations & hawkish Policy from Fed/ECB, as well as outperformance from laggard risk assets; before calling for the Big Short.

Why Don't The Dollar And Bitcoin Drop To Their Tangible Value (Zero)?

If we refuse to recognize the high utility value of USD and its global ease of flow, then we will continue to misunderstand the demand for the dollar and its appreciation. Bitcoin is quite different from the USD but it, too, has unique characteristics that drive its demand and thus its valuation.

Treasury Sells 2Y Paper In Poor, Tailing Auction At Highest Yield Since 2008

With today's On The Run 2Y Tsy trading very special in repo, down as much as -1.75% due to the ongoing year-end shortage of collateral across the curve, and which was the most-shorted since the summer we would have expected at least some strength in today's 2Y auction of Cusip U99, with a cash rate of 1.25%. Alas, the auction was jsut short of a disaster.

Here Are The "Costanza Trades" Of 2017

Ask yourself; what are the trades that make complete sense and all your instincts say are right, and then do the opposite.  Basically what you end up constructing is an out of consensus portfolio and we all know how consensus trades work out in this market.

"Trump Trade" Leads To Ninth Biggest Weekly Inflow To Equities, More Bad News For Active Managers

The "Trump Trade" continued with global equity funds receiving $21 billion in inflows in the past week according to Bank of America, as investors rushed into reflation assets, while money flowed out of bonds for seventh week in a row. For one more week news for the "active managed" community was negative: of the $20.7 billion in equity inflows, $31 billion was in the form of ETFs, which meant another $10 billion in outflows from mutual funds and other active vehicles.

China Halts Trading In Bond Futures After Record Bond Market Crash

Chinese authorities halted trading in key bond futures for the first time on Thursday, as panicky investors sold the securities on concern that a long, credit-fueled bull market was coming to an end amid slowing growth, capital outflows and heightened government concern about asset bubbles.