The most troubling figure in today's JOLTs report was the annual rate of change in hiring, which as shown in the chart below, dropped 2.2% compared to the 5.212 million a year ago. This was the biggest contraction in hiring since March 2013.
Confrming that the US labor market is indeed rolling over, despite the near record (if modestly declining) number of job openings, the pace of hiring has failed to keep up, and slid once again in September, declining by 187,000 to 5.081 million. It was also lower than the September 2014 number of hires which was 5,092 million.
Considered Janet Yellen's "favorite job market indicator", today's JOLTS report revealed an unpleasant headline print: in August the number of job openings tumbled by 388K, the most in 12 months, to 5.443 million, the lowest print since December 2015, and the biggest miss to expectations on record which stood at 5.727MM. One reason for the disappointing print may be that last month's data was revised substantially higher to 5.831MM.
Moments ago the BLS reported Janet Yellen's favorite labor market indicator, the JOLTS survey, which as expected (since it tracked the far stronger than expected July payrolls) showed that in July the number of job opening rebounded from the June drop to 5.643 million, jumping by over 200K jobs to a new all time high of 5.871 million, nearly 300K more than the 5.580 million expected.
With Bernie's introduction of the "Pay Workers A Living Wage Act" the idea of a $15 per hour federal minimum wage is becoming far more real. This study takes a look at how each of the 50 states may be impacted... (spoiler alert - not well)
"Central banks do their master’s bidding and governments tell them ‘stop recession at any price’... So what we have now is a world in whi ch the Have-nots are rising in number and, thanks to the workings of central banks, see the Haves still seemingly enjoying themselves on the back of rising asset prices. It is no wonder that politics are moving fast to the extremes."
To all Americans tonight, in all our cities and towns, I make this promise: We Will Make America Strong Again. We Will Make America Proud Again. We Will Make America Safe Again. And We Will Make America Great Again. THANK YOU.
It wasn't just job opening which disappointed in May: so did the far more important, in our opinion, number of hires. In May, the BLS reported that the number of total hires was only 5.036MM, the third month in a row of declines, and the lowest print since November 2014 as suddenly employers clamped down on new (seasonally-adjusted) hiring.
In its first official easing act, the Financial Policy Committee lowered the countercyclical-capital buffer rate for UK exposures to zero from .5% of risk-weighted assets in a move that it said would raise the capacity for bank lending to households and businesses by as much as £150 billion. "This action reinforces the FPC’s view that all elements of the substantial capital and liquidity buffers that have been built up by banks are to be drawn on, as necessary" the committee said in a statement.