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US Trade Deficit In 2016 Was The Biggest In Four Years

While the good news is that for December the US trade deficit narrowed modestly to $44.3 billion, better than expected, the bad news is that for all of 2016, the goods and services deficit was $502.3 billion, up $1.9 billion from $500.4 billion in 2015, and the biggest deficit going back to 2012.

S&P Futures, European Stocks Bounce As Dollar Rises Most In Two Weeks; Gold, Yen Slide

The dollar rebounded from a key support level, strengthening against all major peers, pushing S&P futures higher as European shares rose, led by basic resources and real estate, while Asian stocks fall. Gold fell from its highest level since November as demand for some haven assets ebbed while global bonds declined. Oil dipped, pressured by a stronger dollar.

Canada At 150: Hate Crimes & The Chinese Question

As it turns 150 years old in 2017, Canada faces a surge in hate crimes amid growing nativist anger against Chinese migrants, Muslim refugees, and public officials for their alleged role in worsening the country’s socio-economic conditions, said community leaders and analysts.

India Is Not The Next China

"Intellectuals should engage in some self-reflection on why they have been consistently wrong about India... There is no point in holding out much hope for India. Rather, it is ever easier to conclude that it is on the way to becoming the next banana republic, similar to neighboring countries such as Pakistan, Bangladesh, Sri Lanka, Myanmar or Nepal."

Frontrunning: February 1

  • Fed Unlikely to Make Its Next Rate Move Wednesday (WSJ)
  • Conservative Gorsuch nominated to top court (Reuters)
  • Gorsuch Is Critic of Legal Doctrine That Bolsters Executive Authority (WSJ)
  • The 4 Rules That Will Explain Neil Gorsuch’s Confirmation Fight (Politico)
  • Trump’s Yen Comments ‘Wide of the Mark,’ Says Japan FX Chief (Reuters)
  • A barb at Germany puts Trump administration on collision course with EU (Reuters)

Futures Fall On Rising Trump Uncertainty; Europe Stocks Rise As Euro-Area Inflation Surges

European bonds fell and stocks rose led by banks and retailers as surging inflation data prompted investors to switch into reflationary assets even as speculation about ECB tapering has returned. Asian stocks and US equity futures declined. The Yen and gold advanced after Trump’s firing of the U.S. acting attorney general added to concern over the unpredictability of decisions in the new administration.

Say Hello To China's ICBMs

China's alleged deployment of a DF-41 strategic ballistic missile brigade to Heilongjiang province, bordering Russia, triggered a fascinating spectacle; how to spin – or not to spin - what necessarily represents a milestone in Russia-China's strategic partnership.

Global Stocks, Futures Slide On US Protectionism Worries Following Trump Travel Chaos

European, Asian stocks and S&P futures all drop after traders were left with a sour taste from the potential fallout of Donald Trump’s order halting some immigration and ahead of central bank decisions from the U.S. and Japan.  Markets in Hong Kong, China, Malaysia, Korea, Singapore, Taiwan and Vietnam are all shut due to the Lunar New Year public holiday.

Futures Tumble On Heavy Volume As China Golden Week Begins

As China celebrates the new year and begins Golden Week vacation, it appears US equity futures are off to a rough start on heavy volume as perhaps this weekend's Trump dysphoria finally took the shine off the rally...

Frontrunning: January 26

  • Trump heads to Philly to charm congressional Republicans (Politico)
  • Trump Set to Lay Out Plans for Safe Zones Inside Syria (WSJ)
  • Trump Wants to Build a Wall. Finding Workers Won’t Be Easy (BBG)
  • Sanctuary cities face huge cuts by Trump policy (Reuters)
  • Trump Faces Criticism Over Prospect of Enhanced Interrogation Techniques (WSJ)
  • U.K. Commons to Complete Article 50 Bill Debate in Two Weeks (BBG)

Trump Hotels Locations Set To Triple In US Expansion

Despite passing management of his entitites off to his sons, we suspect Chuck Schumer will be on the verge of a stroke after headlines hit that Trump Hotels CEO Eric Danziger plans to triple the firm's locations in a major US expansion.