Housing Bubble

China 'Rescues' Bond Market In Symbolic Move But Yield Curve Remains Inverted

For the 10th day in a row, China's bond yield curve remains inverted (the longest in history). However, in a very symbolic move overnight, China's Ministry of Finance bought 1.26 billion yuan of 1-year bonds for the first time in history via the secondary market. While yields tumbled on the rescue attempt, the curve remains inverted...

Moody's Cuts Aussie Bank Ratings Due To "Tail Risk" Concerns

"Whilst mortgage affordability for most borrowers remains good at current interest rates, the reduction in the savings rate, the rise in household leverage and the rising prevalence of interest-only and investment loans are all indicators of rising risks."

Mark Hanson: Housing Bubble 2.0 - The End Is Nigh?

"If, the past 8-years of a Fed in Armageddon-mode created the 'everything bubble', what will shifting monetary policy into reverse do to said asset price levels? ..Remember, a 'house-price recovery' and 'housing market recovery' are two vastly different things."

China's "Ghost Collateral" Arrives In Canada, "Heralding A Crisis"

"We all know that the ghost collateral is a huge deal, and we all know that the shadow banking and other Chinese influence in Vancouver is profound. The issue is that the ghost collateral ends up re-hypothecated and laundered. So by the time it shows up in Vancouver, it will likely just look like a rich Chinese cash buyer with a suitcase of money.“

When Will The Fed Tighten Enough To Cause The Next Recession?

In trying to answer "When will the Fed tighten enough to cause the next recession", Deutsche Bank says that while current market expectations suggest the next recession (or at least the next Fed tightening that would be forceful enough to cause a recession) could still be many years away, the bank "thinks this is too optimistic." Here's why

Reflexivity And Why The Fed Must Sell The Long End

"If the Fed were to just let its balance sheet 'run off', it would cause additional pressure on short-term interest rates even as policy rates are rising. It could also potentially invert or further distort the front-end of the yield curve and destabilize the money markets... It would, therefore, behoove the Fed to sell some of its longer dated Treasury holdings to steepen the yield curve."

China's "Bubble Prophet" Sees Unprecedented Surge In Home Prices

"We’re living through a bubble. We’re kicking the can down the road by buying time not to keep things in check, but to blow the bubble into an even bigger one. What’s happened over the past two years has made any new reforms even more difficult to roll out."

May Day, May Day, May Day

Is it sheer hubris, or is it just incompetence? It’s a question often asked when it comes to politics. And regularly, the answer is both.