Housing Bubble

Cheat Or Chump? - You Are Not An Investor

"You are not an investor. One can only be an investor in functioning markets. There have been no functioning markets since at least 2008, and probably much longer. That’s when central banks started purchasing financial assets, for real, which means that is also the point when price discovery died. And without price discovery no market can function."

The World's Worst Market-Timer

Whatever you do, make sure you keep in mind that the world’s worst market timer (the government) just cried “Uncle.” The proper trade is to assume they will make a mess. A big one.

David Stockman On The Anything President And The Everything Bubble

"The remaining bullishness and buy-the-dips robo-trading that temporarily sustained the dotcom bubble through March 2000 and the housing bubble through September 2008 will soon give way...  This century’s third great bubble’s days are numbered and in just a few digits."

Meet The Robots That Will Build Your Next House

The U.S. residential construction industry employs 100's of thousands of people each year in various skilled trades that earn hourly pay rates ranging from minimum wage to $100 per hour, or more.  Of course, just like the auto industry, many of those jobs can be done at a fraction of the cost and with much greater precision by industrial robots.

Chinese Economic Data Beats Across The Board After Record Credit Injection

Overnight China reported a barrage of economic data for March and Q1, that not only showed the first back to back GDP acceleration in seven years, but beat across the board as investment picked up, retail sales rebounded and factory output strengthened, following record credit growth and a fresh rebound in China's property markets which defy Beijing's attempts to taper the country's newest housing bubble.

Why The Bank Of Canada Should "Cease And Desist"

“The BoC should cease and desist with talk of possible further rate cuts, which simply fuel the sense that rates are never going higher, and instead start warning that rates will someday rise.”

UBS Reveals Who Was Responsible For The Global Reflation

"For a spell in Q4 2016 the US was certainly the flag bearer of the reflation trade. However, before and since it was China at the epicentre of the most significant positive growth shock for the global economy."

David Rosenberg: "This Is A Bubble Of Historic Proportions"

"This bubble is on par with what we had in the States back in ’05, ’06, ’07. We have to actually take a look at the situation. The housing market here is in a classic price bubble. If you don’t acknowledge that, you have your head in the sand."

Toronto House Price Bubble Goes Nuts

Residential property sales in Greater Toronto soared 17.7% year-over-year to 12,077 homes, according to the Toronto Real Estate Board (TREB). New listings jumped 15.2% to 17,052. Prices for all types of homes, based on the MLS Home Price Index Composite “Benchmark,” soared 28.6%. The “average” selling price soared 33.2%!

Productivity Myths Shattered: Is Productivity Rising Or Falling? Why?

Those who are baffled by productivity never bothered to put their theories to rudimentary tests. Greenspan is correct that social benefits crowd out genuine investment; thus, those proposing some sort of guaranteed minimum living wage are totally off base. Entitlements are already a massive problem, let’s not make them worse.  Massive handouts have never solved any economic problems, and never will.

The American Dream, Twice Removed

"The demise of America comes in small steps. But it’s unstoppable. The same is true for every other housing bubble. When no-one can afford to buy a home anymore but a bunch of Russians and Chinese, rental prices surge. And then shortly after that the whole thing goes up in smoke."