Housing Inventory

Existing Home Sales Slump As Prices Soar To Record Highs

Following yesterday's collapse in new home sales, NAR reports that existing home sales in April also disappointed - dropping 2.3% (and March revised lower). This drop happens as median home prices spiked 6.0% YoY to record highs as sales declines are blamed once again on a lack of supply (forget affordability?).

Frontrunning: March 28

  • U.S. stock futures up as investors look beyond failed healthcare bill (Reuters)
  • Ryan's Tax Plan May Get Familiar Foes: GOP's Conservative Caucus (BBG)
  • Congress to Battle Over Spending After Failed Health Bill (WSJ)
  • Trump to End Obama Policies for Paris Climate Accord (BBG)
  • Trump to sign order sweeping away Obama-era climate policies (Reuters)

Existing Home Sales Tumble As NAR Warns Prices Becoming Increasingly Unaffordable

"The affordability constraints holding back renters from buying is a signal to many investors that rental demand will remain solid for the foreseeable future. Investors are still making up an above average share of the market right now despite steadily rising home prices and few distressed properties on the market,

NAR Stumped As Existing Home Sales Slide Continues; Lack Of Household Income Growth Blamed

"It's very concerning to see that inventory conditions not only show no signs of improving but have actually worsened in recent months from their already suppressed levels a year ago," said the NAr's Larry Yun. "While recent data from the U.S. Census Bureau (shows that household incomes rose strongly last year, home prices are still outpacing incomes."

NYC Rent Stabilization - Why "The Rent Is Too Damn High"

"So if you’re the latest sucker moving to NYC looking for a cheap place to live, and you’re wondering why “the rent is too damn high” for your 350 sqft studio? Now you know why; your high rent and high taxes are just paying for the guy’s stabilized 2 bedroom down the hall, that he probably still rents for less than you."

Pending Home Sales Disappoint, Realtors Fear Unhealthy Price Appreciation

Following New Home Sales rebound to their highest since 2008, amid record high prices, Pending Home Sales disappointed with a mere 0.2% MoM rise (versus +1.2% expectations) showing very little bounce off May's tumble. Northeast sales saved the day with a 3.2% surge but The South and West both continued to slide. As NAR's Larry Yun noted however: "home prices are showing little evidence of slowing to a healthier pace that more closely mirrors wage and income growth."

Existing Home Prices Hit Record High As Sales Growth Slowest In 4 Months

Despite a better than expected 1.1% MoM rise in June (thanks to notable downward revisions), existing home sales growth is the slowest since February. Of course, NAR's Larry Yun gloated of "sustained job growth" driving an "impressive streak of sales gains," although he cautions " it's unclear if this current sales pace can further accelerate." Median home prices soared to new record highs driven by soaring demand for condo/co-ops (+3.2% vs just 0.8% for single-family homes).

Existing Home Sales Highest Since Feb 2007 As Prices Hit Record High

On the heels of FHFA reporting a disappointing 0.2% home price appreciation in April (the weakest since Jan 2015), May existing home sales rose, as expected by 1.8% MoM to 5.53mm SAAR - the highest since February 2007. All regions saw median home prices rise MoM (but Northeast -0.1% YoY) but The Midwest stood out with a 6.5% drop in sales. Median home prices jumped to a record $239,700 (up 4.7% YoY) but first time homeowners are disappearing, as NAR's Larry Yun notes a lack of inventory is "pushing prices out of reach for plenty of prospective first-time buyers."