Housing Market
The Death Of The Canadian Oil Dream, A Firsthand Account
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 01/08/2016 21:30 -0500"It’s no secret that Alberta’s economy is closely linked to the peaks and craters of oil prices—nominal GDP (not adjusted for inflation) swings in tandem with crude prices. It’s why Fort McMurray is like a wounded beast these days. MacKay’s neighbour got laid off this fall. “I watched the bank come and take his truck,” he recalls—it was that or not feed the kids."
Sweden Prepares For FX "War" With Bloodthirsty Hedge Funds
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 01/05/2016 15:16 -0500Look out Stefan Ingves, the 2 and 20 crowd smells blood: "The market seems eager to challenge the Riksbank and there are rumors that many foreign hedge funds are long kronor and see a weakening of the krona after a possible intervention as a good buying opportunity.”
The Big Short is a Great Movie, But...
Submitted by rcwhalen on 01/05/2016 11:00 -0500- Alan Greenspan
- Apple
- Arthur Levitt
- Bear Stearns
- Bond
- CDS
- Commodity Futures Trading Commission
- Corruption
- Countrywide
- Credit Default Swaps
- default
- Federal Reserve
- Gretchen Morgenson
- Housing Market
- Institutional Investors
- Lehman
- Lehman Brothers
- Market Share
- Meltdown
- Michael Lewis
- Morgan Stanley
- Mortgage Loans
- NASDAQ
- New Century
- New York Stock Exchange
- None
- OTC
- OTC Derivatives
- program trading
- Program Trading
- Subprime Mortgages
- Wachovia
- Washington Mutual
Derivatives like credit default swaps turned a mere bubble in the US housing market into a global financial catastrophe...
Frontrunning: January 4
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 01/04/2016 07:37 -0500- China stocks tank, triggers circuit breaker (Reuters)
- Stocks Slump Across Europe and Asia Following Shanghai's 7% Crash (BBG)
- China Halts Stock Trading After 7% Rout Triggers Circuit Breaker (BBG)
- Iran says Riyadh thrives on tension after relations cut (Reuters)
- Saudis and Bahrain Face Off With Iran in Worst Clash Since 1980s (BBG)
- Syrian rebel group backs Saudi move to cut ties with Iran (Reuters)
Darkness Falls Upon Norway’s Key Figures Going Into 2016
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 12/31/2015 12:16 -0500As we move into winter, darkness has fallen up on us. Oil, ca. 65% of the nation’s economy, will not see the required $70 barrel anytime soon. American innovation, once again, turns a scarce resource into an abundant commodity. Despite optimistic Norwegian media articles, the potential for $20 per barrel looms. Production overwhelms demand while inventories rise to record highs. Although, still considered the best place to live, the cracks, in the oil based economy, are forming.
Technical Analysis of the Lumber Market
Submitted by EconMatters on 12/30/2015 20:48 -0500The last two years rents have been rising primarily due to supply and demand issues.
"2016 Will Be No Fun" - Doug Kass Unveils 15 Surprises For The Year Ahead
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 12/29/2015 11:36 -0500- American Express
- Andrew Ross Sorkin
- Apple
- B+
- BAC
- Bank of America
- Bank of America
- Berkshire Hathaway
- Bernie Sanders
- Bill Gates
- Boeing
- Bond
- Book Value
- Capital Expenditures
- Carl Icahn
- Chesapeake Energy
- China
- Citigroup
- Comcast
- Crude
- dark pools
- Dark Pools
- David Faber
- Donald Trump
- Doug Kass
- Dow Jones Industrial Average
- Elizabeth Warren
- ETC
- European Union
- Federal Reserve
- Florida
- Ford
- Fox Business
- France
- General Motors
- goldman sachs
- Goldman Sachs
- GOOG
- Greece
- HFT
- Housing Market
- Janet Yellen
- Joe Kernen
- JPMorgan Chase
- Morgan Stanley
- MSNBC
- NASDAQ
- NBC
- New York City
- New York Stock Exchange
- New York Times
- Nominal GDP
- President Obama
- Real estate
- Recession
- recovery
- REITs
- Sears
- Stagflation
- Unemployment
- Vladimir Putin
- Warren Buffett
- Wells Fargo
- Yield Curve
My overriding theme and the central drama for the coming year is that unexpected events can take on greater importance as the Federal Reserve ends its near-decade-long Zero Interest Rate Policy. Consensus premises and forecasts will likely fall flat, in a rather spectacular manner. The low-conviction and directionless market that we saw in 2015 could become a no-conviction and very-much-directed market (i.e. one that's directed lower) in 2016. There will be no peace on earth in 2016, and our markets could lose a cushion of protection as valuations contract. (Just as "malinvestment" represented a key theme this year, we expect a compression of price-to-earnings ratios to serve as a big market driver in 2016.) In other words, we don't think 2016 will be fun.
Global Stocks, U.S. Futures Slide As Oil Resumes Drop, China Stocks Tumble Most In One Month
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 12/28/2015 06:57 -0500The last trading week of 2015 begins on a historic precipice for stocks: as reported over the weekend, the U.S. stock market has not been lower for any year ending in a “5? since 1875. That streak is now in jeopardy, because following Thursday's shortened holiday session which ended with an abrupt selloff, the overnight session has seen continued weakness across global assets in everything from Chinese stocks which tumbled the most since November 27, to commodities (WTI is down 2.5%) to European stocks (Stoxx 600 -0.4%), to US equity futures down 0.4% on what appears to be an overdue dose of Santa Rally buyers' remorse.
Guest Post: Has There Ever Been A More Selfish Generation?
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 12/27/2015 22:20 -0500Because we squandered our opportunity to correct our own problems, our problems shall be our legacy. It’s wretched how dumb we are in our greed to have everything right now in the cheapest way possible and how willing we are to force the debts of that consumption upon our grandchildren and to pretend that won’t hurt them. We live in economic denial.
The Number Of Young Adults Living With Their Parents Has Never Been Higher (But It Could Be Worse)
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 12/25/2015 19:13 -0500Three years after 2012, Goldman has finally admitted that all the talk about a major exodus of your Americans from parental houses and into the harsh crony capitalist world, was nothing but hot air. As the chart below shows, the share of 18-34-year-olds living with their parents has never been higher.
China Proposes A Fix For Its Crashing Housing Market: "Transplant" 100 Million Farmers Into Its Cities
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 12/24/2015 07:46 -0500There is just one very big problem with this "solution"...
This Is Canada's Depression: Surging Crime, Soaring Suicides, Overwhelmed Food Banks "And The Worst Is Yet To Come"
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 12/23/2015 23:44 -0500The news out of Canada - and especially out of Alberta, the heart of the country's oil patch - has just gone from disturbing to downright terrifying.
The Big Short: "Every American Should See This Movie & Be F##king Pissed Off"
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 12/23/2015 21:32 -0500"This is a dangerous movie for Wall Street, the government, and the establishment in general. ... cuts through the crap and reveals those in power to be corrupt, greedy weasels who aren’t really as smart as they want you to think they are. The finale of the movie is sobering and infuriating."
"Canadians Should Be Concerned" As Energy Sector Job Losses Spike To 100,000 This Year
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 12/22/2015 18:50 -0500It's grim up north... and getting grimmer. Amid soaring suicide rates, Canada's once-booming oil patch is rapidly accelerating its downward trajectory. "Canadians should be concerned in times like these," warned Tim McMillan, president and chief executive of the Canadian Association of Petroleum Producers, noting that the oil and gas sector will see 100,000 job losses by the end of this year. Apart from the protracted price declines, Alberta’s oil and gas sector has also had to contend with a 20 per cent hike in corporate taxes, increased provincial royalties, a carbon tax and new regulatory policies to limit rein in carbon emissions... and now a new competitot from US exports.
Futures Rise, Drop, Then Rise Again In Illiquid Session After China Promises More Stimulus
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 12/22/2015 06:55 -0500- Apple
- Australia
- Bond
- Carry Trade
- China
- Citigroup
- Copper
- Credit Suisse
- Crude
- Crude Oil
- Deutsche Bank
- Falcon
- FINRA
- fixed
- Ford
- France
- goldman sachs
- Goldman Sachs
- High Yield
- Hong Kong
- Housing Market
- Japan
- Monetary Policy
- national security
- Netherlands
- Newspaper
- Nikkei
- Personal Consumption
- Price Action
- Redstone
- Richmond Fed
- Unemployment
- Yuan
It has been a seesaw session with U.S. stock index futures following their dramatic buying burst in the last half hour of market trading yesterday by first rising, then falling, then rising again alongside European equities both driven almost tick for tick with even the smallest move in the carry trade of choice, the USDJPY, even as Asian shares trade near intraday highs after China’s leaders signaled they will take further steps to support growth.




