Housing Market

The Stock Market's Big Lie: "I'll Take The Under"

One of the biggest “lies” in the financial world is that if you just invest your money in the markets over the long-term, you will average 7, 8 or 10% a year. Asset-gatherers don't give enough credence to the long-term effects of the “when” you start your investing cycle. The primary problem is that investors DO NOT have 100-years to invest BEFORE their disbursement cycle begins. Unfortunately, with stock valuations pushing the second highest level in history, forward return expectations (before inflation, taxes, and expenses) are extremely low.

"The Deals Are Collapsing" - Vancouver's Housing Bubble Has Burst

As a new dawn breaks in Metro Vancouver’s real estate market, realty companies are reporting the first anecdotes of deals falling through as foreign buyers forfeited deposits on binding deals rather than pay the new tax, while local buyers withdraw offers in expectation that the market will tumble. In short: the Vancouver housing bubble has burst.

D-Day For Australia's Real Estate Bubble?

This rotting shack in Sydney and its tiny plot of land sold for nearly $1 million in May of 2014 – more than two years ago. Since then, house prices in Australia have increased even further. Yes, it is an insane bubble, no doubt about it... and now, it appears, the banks are finally realizing, and are pulling back.

Global Shares Slide As Japan Stimulus Disappoints, RBA Underwhelems, Italy Bank Fears Return

European stocks slid to a two-week low amid mixed earnings, as bank stocks extended yesterday’s decline as fears that Italy is not "fixed" have reemerged, not helped by an adverse market reaction to a disappointing Japanese fiscal stimulus announcement, while the AUD first dropped but then jumped after the RBA's priced in rate cut was announced, seen as underwhelming.

NY Fed Finds 15% Of Americans Have Negative Net Worth; Student Loans Contibute To Record US Wealth Inequality

"There has been much discussion about the growth in wealth inequality over the past three decades. Given the importance of student debt in explaining negative household wealth, it is likely that the steady growth in student debt and borrowing, combined with the very slow rate of student loan repayment we have documented elsewhere, has materially contributed and will continue to contribute to negative household wealth and wealth inequality"

Why MainStreet Isn't Buying Obama's Economic Story

Last night, President Obama took a victory lap for his economic achievements while in office. With the 2016 Presidential Election fast approaching, this was one of the final chances the President will have to try and divert attention away from Hillary’s “trustworthiness” problem following continued revelations surrounding Benghazi, email scandals and the Clinton Foundation which is now under investigation by the IRS. The question is whether the majority of the voting public will agree with the President’s message? Let’s take a look at some charts...

Frontrunning: July 28

  • Fed caution hits dollar as Japan anticipation builds (Reuters)
  • Obama asks U.S. voters to 'carry' Clinton to White House, defeat Trump (Reuters)
  • Democrats skewer Trump (Politico)
  • Obama, Biden Toss Barbs at Trump and Say Clinton Is Only Choice (BBG)
  • Did Donald Trump’s Executives Violate the Cuban Embargo? (BBG)

Global Stocks, Futures Continue Rise On Apple, Japan Stimulus; Yellen On Deck

The markets were following a rollercoaster night for the Japanese Yen, when after several media headlines Abe was said to have announced a stimulus package that would be more than JPY28 trillion, sending Japanese stocks higher 1.7% while the USDJPY spiked but well off overnight highs, pushing risk assets higher. Europe and US futs were also in the green on optimism from AAPL's earnings, but all eyes will be on today's FOMC announcement.

Frontrunning: July 26

  • Priest killed in French church before police shoot dead hostage-takers (Reuters)
  • On raucous opening night, Democratic stars make a pitch for Clinton (Reuters)
  • Sanders Backs Clinton After Fractious Opening of Convention (BBG)
  • Some in Sanders' army seem determined to march on without him (Reuters)
  • Yen hits two-week high as Japanese stimulus expectations dialled back (Reuters)

Vancouver Finally Cracks Down On Chinese Home Buyers With 15% Real Estate Tax

The British Columbia government finally took our advice to stem hot money inflows into real estate by announcing a 15% transfer tax on foreign nationals who buy real estate in Metro Vancouver.  Finance Minister Mike de Jong unveiled the tax, which will take effect on August 2nd, after recent housing data revealed that foreign nationals spent more than $1 billion on British Columbia property between June 10 and July 14, or a mere $28.6mm per day.