Housing Market

Frontrunning: January 27

  • Mexico Dispute Could Overshadow May’s Free-Trade Message (BBG)
  • NATO, Russia and trade top the agenda for Trump talks with Britain's May (Reuters)
  • Trump's plan for import tax worsens crisis with Mexico (Reuters)
  • Nafta’s U.S. Impact is Modest (WSJ)
  • Republicans Are Making Little Progress on Their Obamacare Repeal Strategy (BBG)

New Home Sales Collapse In December As Trump Rate Surge Hits

With soaring mortgage rates and plunging mortgage applications, it should be no surprise that new home sales crashed in December. Analysts expected a modest 0.7% decline but sales crashed 10.4% - the most since March 2015 - and at 536k SAAR, this is the lowest since Feb 2016.

Americans Are Flipping Houses Like It's 2006 All Over Again

Unfortunately, at least for those of us that prefer not to day trade our primary residence, America's home flippers are making a big come back in 2016 with home flips accounted for 6.1% of all U.S. home sales, the highest share since 2006 when flips accounted for 7.3% of sales.

One Hour After Taking Office, Trump Suspends FHA Mortgage Fee Cut

In a move that has sparked controversy among some economists, within an hour of being sworn in, Trump undid one of Barack Obama’s last-minute actions, a mortgage-fee cut under a government program catering to first-time home buyers and low-income borrowers.

Global Stocks Dip; Bond Yields, Dollar Rise After Yellen's Rate Guidance; All Eyes On Draghi

European and Asian shares, and S&P futures slipped, while government bond yields jumped to multi-week highs on Thursday after Yellen's hawkish speech. Oil rose after API reported a drop in crude inventories. The euro rebounded as investors look to Mario Draghi to address rising European inflation that make the ECB's stimulative policies look increasingly out of sync.

China Housing Bubble Finally Pops: First Slowdown After 19 Months Of Acceleration

Today we got the first confirmation that the latest Chinese housing bubble has finally popped, as housing prices across the 70 cities were up 12.7% Y/Y, below the 12.9% annual growth rate in November. This was the first moderation in year-over-year housing price growth after 19 months of continued acceleration.

"Everything Is A Partial Reversal Of Yesterday" - Stocks, Dollar Rebound Following Trump Scare

European shares decline led by a plunge in Pearson shares, S&P futures were modestly in the green as Asian and EM stocks gained. The dollar rebounded against most major currencies after retreating 1.3% on Tuesday to the lowest in a month following Trump's "strong dollar" comments and halted a seven-day drop against the yen. "Everything is just a partial reversal of the price action yesterday," RBC Capital Markets currency strategist Adam Cole said.

Key Events In The Coming Week: Trump Inauguration, Davos, Theresa May, ECB, China GDP

The week ahead will be a busy one, with a plethora of events including the Davos shindig, where particular focus will be on Chinese President Xi Jinping, the first Chinese president to attend. China will also announce GDP on Friday, which also marks the inauguration of Donald Trump as the 45th US president. Tuesday brings Theresa May's long-awaited Brexit speech.