Housing Market

Frontrunning: October 12

  • UK's May offers lawmakers scrutiny of Brexit process, no Article 50 vote (Reuters)
  • For or Against Trump, GOP Fears Intensifying Civil War If He Loses (BBG)
  • Podesta: 'Reasonable Belief' WikiLeaks Tipped Off Trump Campaign (BBG)
  • Obama says Trump's comments on women disqualifying (Reuters)
  • Samsung slashes third quarter profit estimate by a third after pulling plug on Note 7 (Reuters)

Aussie Property Bubble On A Scale Like No Other

The size of the Australian property bubble is old news. What is less well understood is how such a large and sustained bubble has distorted the Australian political economy. 

Hangzhou, We Have A Problem: "Over 71% Of New Chinese Loans Went To Fund Mortgages"

Last week, the IMF warned that China's growing debt "posed risks to financial stability." Here's why: new loans in August reached 948 billion yuan ($142 billion), more than double the figure a month before, data from the People's Bank of China showed. And the punchline: over 71% of the loans went to households, mainly to fund mortgages.

Frontrunning: October 6

  • Millions flee as Southeast U.S. braces for Hurricane Matthew (Reuters)
  • Hurricane Matthew Is a $15 Billion Threat Headed to Florida (BBG)
  • Three Risks to the Global Financial System as Debt Hits Record Levels (WSJ)
  • Deutsche Bank’s $14 Billion Scare (BBG)
  • Deutsche Bank Mismarked 37 Deals Like Paschi’s, Audit Says (BBG)
  • Monte Paschi Said to Plan Debt-Swap Deadline Before Italian Poll (BBG)

Canada Moves To Burst Housing Bubble, Closes Foreign-Buyer Loophole

In a move which many Canadians, especially those who have been persistently priced out of the housing market, welcomed with open arms, overnight Finance Minister Bill Morneau unveiled new measures aimed at slowing the flood of foreign money pouring into overheated housing markets like Vancouver and Toronto, a move which some dubbed an unprecedented federal intervention in the sector.

Frontrunning: September 30

  • Asia stocks slide as Deutsche sours mood, oil pulls back (Reuters)
  • Deutsche Bank Drops to Record as Some Clients Reduce Exposure (BBG)
  • Deutsche CEO tries to reassure staff as shares plunge (Reuters)
  • Oil falls as investors cash in on OPEC deal rally, dollar rises (Reuters)
  • Three Chinese fishermen killed in confrontation with South Korea coastguard (Reuters)

The Global Housing Bubble Is Biggest In These Six Cities

In the latest report by UBS wealth Management, which compiles the bank's Real Estate Bubble Index,  it found a new champion for the title of "world's biggest housing bubble", namely a familiar name, Vancouver, but also that as many as six cities had made the "bubble" category, up from last year's two.

What Do We Know?

"These linear thinkers can’t understand why their playbook of lies, misinformation, pointless social justice issues and a myriad of other inane distractions aren’t working this time. They fail to acknowledge that history is cyclical and we’ve entered the phase when generational cohorts are aligned for dramatic sweeping change. The data is there for all to see, but those benefiting from the current perverted paradigm will not be swept aside without a bloody fight."

"Home Prices Are Out Of Hand Again"

"Since 1999 year-end through 2015 home prices have risen 76% while household mean real income has grown less than 2%; the millennium-to-date gap between the two growth rates peaked at 84% during 2005-2006 and has risen back to 74% as of 2015 year-end. Gap at year-end 2007 was 75%."

Foreign Buying Plummets In Vancouver: Sales To Foreigners Crash 96%

Overseas buyers accounted for a paltry 0.7% of the C$6.5 billion of residential real estate purchases in August in Metro Vancouver; this represents a 96% plunge from the seven weeks prior, when foreigners were responsible for 16.5% of transactions by value.