Candidate Trump loved a strong dollar, said the Fed's low interest created inequality and a false economy and hinted Janet Yellen needed to go. Now that he’s the president, he loves all three and wants them to stay.
The week ahead will be a busy one, with a plethora of events including the Davos shindig, where particular focus will be on Chinese President Xi Jinping, the first Chinese president to attend. China will also announce GDP on Friday, which also marks the inauguration of Donald Trump as the 45th US president. Tuesday brings Theresa May's long-awaited Brexit speech.
Sterling fell, equities slid, Chinese markets got a helping government intervention hand again, and gold climbed over concerns U.K. Prime Minister Theresa May is prepared to lead Britain out of the European Union’s single market and as the U.S. President-elect suggested other countries could break from the bloc.
"Returns will likely do worse under the new administration than under the departing one, and where exceptions to this may be. That statement is linked to a simple idea. Good market environments often involve a shift from economic despair to optimism, and a shift in psychology from ‘fear’ to ‘greed’. Both occurred over the last eight years, producing returns well above the long-run average."
One month after his webcast titled optimistically "Drain the Swamp", which may have been an unduly optimistic look at the impact of the upcoming Trump administration, today at 4:15pm ET (1:15pm PT), bond king Jeff Gundlach kicks off the new year by holding his first for 2017 monthly DoubeLine webcast, titled "Just markets."
As of January 16th, 2017, British Columbia (B.C) residents will have access to some “free money”. In effect, what this is doing is further inflating the already over heated housing bubble, and exacerbating its imminent pop!
Starting Tuesday Americans will be subjected to what will feel like endless hours of torture as Senate Democrats get their opportunity to question Trump cabinet appointees. Given that Republicans control a 52-48 majority in the Senate and that Democrats eliminated the 60-vote threshold in 2013, the Democrat theatrical displays will ultimately amount to nothing more than an attempt to discredit and shame Trump's appointees but should be fun nonetheless.
European, Asian stocks fall and U.S. equity-index futures traded mixed on Monday with fresh memories of the Dow Jones rising to under 1 point of 20,000 on Friday. The dollar has rebounded on fresh geopolitical concerns, while the pound extends its decline from Friday and has slide to 10 week lows on a Sunday interview from Theresa May which suggested a "Hard Brexit" may be in the cards.
The false recovery narrative will indeed die in 2017, and it will be because the globalists WANT it to die while nationalists are at the helm. This is perhaps the biggest con game in recent history; with conservatives as the fall guy and the rest of the public as the gullible mark.
Since The Fed decided unanimously to hike rates in mid-December, bonds, banks, and bullion are best but the broad stock market is lower. The key area of today's minutes was on the impact of Trump's policy agenda (which was the focus of Yellen's press conference), and they did note that there were "upside growth risks from fiscal policy" and this might mean Fed "needs to raise rates faster."
While mortgage applications tumbled across the two-week holiday period - even seasonally-adjusted - it was the complete collapse in the refinancings that is most notable. Down over 60% since August, the refi index crashed over 22% over the xmas/new year period to its lowest since the post-Lehman collapse in Oct 2008.
OneWest Bank, which Donald Trump’s nominee for treasury secretary, Steven Mnuchin, ran from 2009 to 2015, repeatedly broke California’s foreclosure laws during that period, according to a previously undisclosed 2013 memo from top prosecutors in the state attorney general’s office. Meanwhile, Mnuchin told Senator Sherrod Brown he declines to answer questions about his views on financial regulations, sanctions and his time as head of a bank
The American people have been punked by their own government and their central bank, the Federal Reserve, for years and the jig is now up. In 2017 both will lose their authority and legitimacy, a very grave matter for the survival of this republic.