Housing Market

Paulson Shutters Long-Short Equity Fund Amid Massive Healthcare Losses

It seems that John Paulson is finally willing to admit what the market has been telling him for quite some time now, namely that he just might have been exactly wrong on his massive healthcare bet.  As Bloomberg points out today, this inevitable capitulation from Paulson has resulted in a "re-focusing" of his firm and the shuttering his first ever separately managed fund run by Guy Levy.

Frontrunning: July 27

  • Healthcare showdown (Reuters)
  • Tax Overhaul in Doubt With House Stuck on Budget Disagreements (BBG)
  • Dollar steadies after Fed skid, shares hit new highs (Reuters)
  • Samsung Is Closing In on Apple as World’s Most Profitable Tech Firm (WSJ)
  • Sweden's PM Refuses to Resign After Cyber-Security Scandal (BBG)

Global Stocks Jump, Crude Booms As Yellen Looms

S&P futures were fractionally higher (+0.1% to 2,476) with all eyes on the Fed's rate decision as investors await another earnings deluge from companies including Facebook, Coca-Cola and Boeing. Asian and European shares were also higher, the Dollar rebound continued while oil rose above $48 as copper hit a two year high.

This Recovery Isn't All That Resilient, Here's Why

Most economists today applaud the resilience of the current recovery, which has stretched into its eighth year, the third-longest in postwar history. Resilience and rising household defaults, though, don’t tend to go hand in hand.

When Does A Home Become A Prison?

Rising mortgage rates and the fear of not being able to find something affordable to buy is imprisoning homeowners and causing the inventory shortages that are seen in practically every market across the country. So, what gives in a market short of supply relative to demand? Prices.

The New "Supply-Side Economics" Fueling Asset Bubbles

No, we are not talking about President Reagan’s supply-side economics... We now have a new kind of supply-side economics, just the opposite of Reagan’s, which effectively restricts, removes and shifts the supply curve to the left, increasing prices and fueling asset bubbles in risk-free bonds, stocks, and housing.

Slowdown In China's Tier 1 Housing Market Accelerates; First Beijing Price Drop Since 2015

China's overall housing market remained resilient in June according to official NBS data on Tuesday, even as the decline in Tier 1 cities accelerated and home prices in Beijing fell for the first time in more than two years, while Shanghai declined further and Shenzhen stalled, pointing to significant cooling in China's biggest real estate markets.

Bill Blain: "The US Is Now Looking Like A Deflated Drunken Uncle"

"With the US now looking like a deflated drunken uncle, the focus is firmly fixed on what Mario Draghi says on Thursday at the ECB meeting. Does he confirm Euro strength with a bullish assessment of Eurozone recovery, and hint at an early taper and normalisation… Or does he step back, go soft and mushy, and make some “kick that can down that strasse” comments?"

Dollar Tumbles, Euro Soars After Obamacare Repeal Dies; China Intervenes To Halt Rout

The Bloomberg Dollar Index tumbled to a fresh 10-month low after two more Republican defections on Monday night doomed the proposed GOP healthcare plan in the Senate. And while Treasuries rose on concerns about inflationary pressures and the viability of the Trump stimulus agenda, S&P futures rebounded gingerly from session lows, and were up 0.1%

Key Events In The Coming Week: The Summer Doldrums Arrive

With little on the US economic docket in the coming days, this week's focus is on the ECB and BoJ meeting along with minutes from the RBA and the Riksbank. In the US The key economic release this week is housing starts on Thursday. There are no scheduled Fed speaking engagements this week.

Sleepy Overnight Session Interrupted By Chinese Market Turmoil

While it was indeed a generally quiet session (with Japan markets closed), US equity futures continued their run into record territory (ES up 0.1% to 2,458.50), and Europe fractionally lower, the early Monday focus was on the previously discussed turmoil for Chinese markets where despite a solid set of Chinese data small caps tumbled, selling off into the close after further warnings of regulatory scrutiny and deleveraging,