Ice Age

Frontrunning: May 11

  • After Comey, Russia Probe Escalates (WSJ)
  • Comey Firing Distracts Trump White House, Risking His Agenda (BBG)
  • Trump wanted to preview Comey's Senate testimony (Reuters)
  • Traders Ask What Will Rouse Markets When Trump and Twitter Can't (BBG)
  • EU Raises Growth Forecasts but Cites Threats From Brexit, Trump (WSJ)

It's 1994 Again: Why Albert Edwards Expects An Imminent "Bond Market Bloodbath"

"Accelerated Fed rate hikes will cause tremors in the Treasury bond markets, forcing rates up, most especially in the 2 year – just like 1994. But as yet another central bank-inspired global recession unfolds, I  believe US 10y bond yields will ultimately converge with Japanese and European yields well below zero"

War Gaming - Part 1: Nukes & Terrorism

We will examine American hegemony from a foreign nation’s perspective. In other words, if a nation wanted to attack the U.S. to either replace the U.S. as global superpower or to create conditions that would allow it to act freely to establish regional hegemony, how would this be accomplished?

The Epidemic Of Bad Ideas

Our education begins within a few minutes of arriving on planet Earth. That’s when we begin to learn that crying and carrying on is rewarded with coddling and nourishment. That particular lesson stays with us throughout our lives, more so with some people than others. But once our parents hand the keys to our brains to professional teachers, any number of factors come to play in our education... and even terrible ideas can spread virulently.

Against The Tyranny Of The So-Called Experts

America’s elite – that collection of puffed up mediocrities who until recently held the undisputed command of the heights of our politics and culture – is in crisis. Its unbroken track record of failure has finally stirred the rest of America from its coma.

Dave Collum's 2016 Year In Review - "And Then Things Got Really Weird..."

"Markets don’t have a purpose any more - they just reflect whatever central planners want them to. Why wouldn’t it lead to the biggest collapse? My strategy doesn’t require that I’m right about the likelihood of that scenario. Logic dictates to me that it’s inevitable..."