• EconMatters
    11/30/2015 - 16:21
    The ISIS group sells most of its crude directly to independent traders at the wellhead for $20-$45 a barrel earning the group an average of $1.5 million a day.

General Motors

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Frontrunning: November 10

  • Bonds Rise as China Drags Down Metals, Selloff in Stocks Resumes (BBG)
  • European Stock Rally Runs Out of Steam Amid China Growth Concern (BBG)
  • Obama's immigration action blocked again; Supreme Court only option left (Reuters)
  • Ukraine: Cyberwar’s Hottest Front (WSJ)
  • With $170.4 Million Sale at Auction, Modigliani Work Joins Rarefied Nine-Figure Club (NYT)
  • IEA Sees OPEC Market Share Growth in 2020 as Rivals Stagnate (BBG)
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Why A Rate Hike Might Result In A 'Double Whammy' For Mainstream Investors

The potential outcomes are looking increasingly worrisome for financial markets across the board...

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Frontrunning: November 5

  • BOE Stays Cautious on Rate-Hike Timing as Inflation Outlook Cut (BBG)
  • China Enters Bull Market (WSJ)
  • Britain says Islamic State likely brought down Russian plane (Reuters)
  • Dollar jumps as markets fix on December rate expectations (Reuters)
  • Activist Investor Bill Ackman Plays Defense (WSJ)
  • BOJ Survey Data Reveals Signs of Growing Inequality in Japan (BBG)
  • UAW Warns of General Motors Strike If Workers Fail to Approve Contract (WSJ)
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Frontrunning: November 2

  • Baffle with BS: German Bonds Decline Along With Peers as Draghi Cools QE Talk (BBG)
  • And yet... ECB's Nowotny says low inflation forces ECB to act (Reuters)
  • Stocks fall on China data, but stronger euro zone lifts gloom (Reuters)
  • Global factories struggle as stimulus fails to spur (Reuters)
  • Russian airline rules out technical fault, pilot error in Egypt crash (Reuters)
  • Turkey returns to single-party rule in boost for Erdogan (Reuters)
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Frontrunning: October 30

  • World stocks on course for best month in four years (Reuters)
  • Global Stocks Up Amid Stimulus Hopes (WSJ)
  • BOJ Refrains From Adding Stimulus Even as Inflation, Growth Wane (BBG)
  • U.S. Avoids Debt Default as Congress Passes Fiscal Plan (BBG)
  • China naval chief says minor incident could spark war in South China Sea (Reuters)
  • Exclusive Club: No High-Frequency Traders Allowed at Luminex (WSJ)
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Frontrunning: October 29

  • Fed puts December rate hike firmly on the agenda (Reuters)
  • Charting the Markets: A More Hawkish Fed Rattles Investors (BBG)
  • China to modernize and improve fiscal and tax systems (Reuters)
  • Deutsche Bank to Cut 35,000 Jobs in Overhaul (WSJ)
  • Deutsche Bank Said to Near $200 Million Sanctions Settlement (BBG)
  • Barclays profits drop as it abandons cost-cutting targets (FT)
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Frontrunning: October 28

  • Global shares rise as Riksbank helps ease Fed wait (Reuters)
  • Asian Stocks Retreat Before Fed as Material Shares Lead Losses (BBG)
  • For Fed, a Rates Puzzle Looms (WSJ)
  • What the Superforecasters Say About When the Fed Will Lift Rates (BBG)
  • U.S. Looks at Proposals to Step Up Fight Against Islamic State (WSJ)
  • China Steel Head Says Demand Slumping at Unprecedented Speed (BBG)
  • VW slumps to first quarterly loss in at least 15 years (Reuters)
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Frontrunning: October 27

  • Hilsenrath - The Fed Strives for a Clear Signal on Interest Rates (WSJ)
  • Tentative Budget Deal Reached, Raising Debt Limit (WSJ)
  • China Calls U.S. Challenge Over Island Threat to Regional Peace (BBG)
  • UK economy slows more than expected in third quarter (Reuters)
  • In China’s Alleyways, Underground Banks Move Money (WSJ)
  • Inside the Secretive Circle That Rules a $14 Trillion Market (BBG)
  • A Frustrated Koch Brother Decides It’s Time to ‘Spout Off’ (WSJ)
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Frontrunning: October 26

  • European shares slip as easing expectations fade (Reuters)
  • Valeant and Pharmacy More Intertwined Than Thought (WSJ)
  • The Pawn Isolated: Valeant, Philidor and the Annals of Fraud (WSJ)
  • Strongest Afghan Quake Since 1949 Triggers Search for Survivors (BBG)
  • EU Agrees To Tighten Border Controls And Slow Migrant Arrival (AP)
  • Volkswagen Suspends More Employees (WSJ)
  • Volkswagen Loses Global Sales Lead to Toyota Amid Diesel Scandal (BBG)
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Frontrunning: October 23

  • China's central bank cuts rates for sixth time since November (Reuters)
  • Global stocks hit two-month high on dovish Draghi message (Reuters)
  • $6.5 Billion in Energy Writedowns and We're Just Getting Started (BBG)
  • Alphabet, formerly Google, sets share buyback, shares jump (Reuters)
  • Hurricane Patricia, Stronger Than Katrina, Nears Mexico (BBG)
  • TVA Cleared to Start First New U.S. Nuclear Power Plant in Nearly 20 Years (WSJ)
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Futures Firm On Hope Draghi Will Give Green Light To BTFD

After yesterday's dramatic late day market rout catalyzed by the tumble in the biotech sector in general, and Valeant in particular, and foreseen in its entirety by Gartman who went bullish just hours before, this morning US equity futures and European stocks have recouped some losses on the recursive, and traditional, hope that Mario Draghi will say something to push risk higher when he speaks in 2 hours at the ECB's press conference in Malta. And yet, just like Yellen a month ago, Draghi faces the paradox of reflexivity that after years of being ignored, is the "new thing" in town: how does he intervene and demonstrate he is readier than ever to set up stimulus, without panicking investors over euro area’s health.

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It's Back To The Future As Stocks, Futures Jump On The Latest Abysmal Economic News; China Tremors Return

26 years ago, today was envisioned as day when cars flew, holographic movies were box office hits, hoverboards roamed, and people were fired by fax. None of the happened. Instead the only "back to the future" moment this morning is a deja vu one we have seen every day for the past 7 years: bad economic news leading to surging stocks.

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Key Events In The Coming Week: Little Macro, Lots Of Micro

It is a generally quiet week on the economic front, with updates mostly on the housing front where following today's euphoric NAHB Housing Market Index, we have housing start and permits, blaims and existing home sales. Elsewhere, Fed speakers continue to speak, with Lacker, Dudley (again) and Powell confusing traders once more. The big news this week is earnings as some of the most prominent companies report, including IBM, Verizon, GM, Ebay, Coke, Boeing, Amazin, AT&T, CAT, Microsoft and P&G.

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Frontrunning: October 16

  • McDonald’s Close to Deciding Whether to Change Structure of U.S. Real Estate (WSJ)
  • Stocks Rise as Stimulus Bets Spur $4.1 Trillion Gain; Oil Climbs (BBG)
  • Wall Street bonuses likely to plunge as trading revenue drops (Reuters)
  • Syrian army launches Aleppo offensive with Iranian support (Reuters)
  • Malaysia’s Najib Razak Played Key Role at Troubled 1MDB Investment Fund (WSJ)
  • VW Loses Market Share in Europe as Diesel-Motor Recalls Loom (BBG)
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Goldman "Picks Apart" The Labor Paradigm: 50 Years Of A Productivity Paradox

"We simply exhausted the productivity benefits of prior innovations. In the late 19th century, hugely important 'general purpose' technologies, like electricity and the internal combustion engine, were invented."

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