Futures are currently unchanged, but the E-mini was down as much as 12 points less than two hours earlier after the European open when this time it was up to the PBOC to intervene in global markets by pushing the Yuan higher (selling USDCNY via intermediary banks) sending global stocks sharply higher off session lows and leaving the S&P futures virtually unchanged. As Bloomberg reported, there has been increasing USD/CNY selling in afternoon session as Dollar Index edged lower. This is the PBOC entering the building and levitating stocks.
One day after stocks were this close from hitting new all time highs on what have been either ok earnings, if looking at non-GAAP data, or atrocious earnings, based on GAAP, and where any oil headline is now immediately translated as bullish by the oil algos, so far futures are relatively flat, while European stocks were at their moments ago in anticipation of the latest ECB announcement due out in just one hour. However, unlike last month's "quad-bazooka", this time the market expects far less from Draghi. “Having pulled put the monetary bazooka in March, the market is sensibly expecting no further policy measures from the ECB,”
There Are Economic – As Well As Military – False Flag Attacks
- Early Warning Signs of Recession Flash Faintly in U.S. Jobs Data (BBG)
- Who Needs Buybacks? One S&P 500 Variant Just Rallied to a Record (BBG)
- The unpredictable new voice of Saudi oil (FT)
- Saudi's Other Warning Makes Oil Traders Sweat After Doha Failure (BBG)
- U.S. oil investors rush for protection at $35 as Doha talks collapse (Reuters)
- Trump candidacy: Where some fear to tread others see a path to victory (Reuters)
Following yesterday's OPEC "production freeze" meeting in Doha which ended in total failure, where in a seemingly last minute change of heart Saudi Arabia and specifically its deputy crown prince bin Salman revised the terms of the agreement demanding Iran participate in the freeze after all knowing well it won't, oil crashed and with it so did the strategy of jawboning for the past 2 months had been exposed for what it was: a desperate attempt to keep oil prices stable and "crush shorts" while global demand slowly picked up. And whether it is central banks, or chronic BTFDers, just 12 hours after oil opened for trading with a loud crash, the commodity has nearly wiped out all losses, and both brent and WTI were down barely 2%, leading to both European stocks and US equity futures virtually unchanged on the session.
- Gloomy start to results season hits shares (Reuters)
- Stocks Rise Around World as Commodities Advance; Bonds, Yen Drop (BBG)
- Oil hits 2016 high above $43 on producer meeting hopes (Reuters)
- Rosneft chief Igor Sechin says low oil prices will not last (FT)
- Banks Face Massive New Headache on Oil Loans (WSJ)
- Wells Fargo Misjudged the Risks of Energy Financing (BBG)
- Italian Bank Stocks are Surging on the Back of Rescue Reports (WSJ)
- European Stocks Rise Led by Italian Banks; Emerging Markets Gain (BBG)
- Oil price dips on prospects for producers' meeting (Reuters)
- U.S. shale oil firms feel credit squeeze as banks grow cautious (Reuters)
- U.S. banks' dismal first quarter may spell trouble for 2016 (Reuters)
- Miserable Year for Banks: Stocks Suffer as Rates Stay Low (WSJ)
- Stocks up as investors look to end bruising week on a high (Reuters)
- Treasuries Set for Two-Week Gain; Greenspan Warns of Global Risk (BBG)
- Yellen, alongside Fed alum, says rate hikes on track (Reuters)
- Oil Prices Lifted by Fed Comments on U.S. Economy (WSJ)
- China says G20 summit should be about economics, not politics (Reuters)
- Cameron Accused of Hypocrisy for Stake in Father's Offshore Fund (BBG)
While The Donald may come across as 'shooting from the hip', it appears based on this 1990 interview with Playboy that Trump has been thinking about the decline of America, the weakness and corruption of government, and the impact of foreign (Chinese, Mexican, and Japanese) trade practices on the average joe. As he says, "I don’t want to be President. I’m one hundred percent sure. I’d change my mind only if I saw this country continue to go down the tubes."
- Roller-coaster first quarter ends with shares, dollar under pressure (Reuters)
- Oil prices slide as U.S. crude stocks hit record (Reuters)
- GE Files to End Fed Oversight After Shrinking GE Capital (WSJ)
- FDA Eases Rules for Abortion Pill, Making Access Simpler (BBG)
- Kremlin denies report of Russia-U.S. deal on Assad's future (Reuters)
- Thirst for Gasoline Fuels Oil Rally (WSJ)
- Landlords in last-minute rush to beat stamp duty rises (BBG)
Those who forget that “liberty is the mother not the daughter of order, will be tempted to favor state-imposed order. How ironic since the state is the greatest creator of disorder of all.”
All of life’s odds aren’t 3:2, but that’s how you’re supposed to bet, or so they say. They are not saying that so much anymore, or saying that history rhymes, or that nothing’s new under the sun. More and more 'they's seem to be figuring out that past economic and market experiences can’t be extrapolated forward - a terrifying prospect for the social and political order.
It happens at the top of every tech cycle – everyone wants to be a tech company. We’re there now. Tech is clubby - if you’re not inside, you’re outside. But before you try to argue for a higher valuation for a public company just because it claims to be 'Tech', consider our seven point checklist – "You might be a tech company if..."
As if several markets tumbles and heartstopping short squeezes in just the first two months of 2016 have not been enough to turn professional traders' hair prematurely gray and drive all retail daytraders permanently out of the "market", here is a warning from Wedbush's otherwise quite somber repo market analyst, Scott Skyrm, according to whom the volatility is only just starting.