General Motors

Einhorn: "The Longs Say Stocks Can Only Go Up, Seemingly To Infinity And Beyond. We Have Seen This Before"

"The bulls explain that traditional valuation metrics no longer apply to certain stocks. The longs are confident that everyone else who holds these stocks understands the dynamic and won’t sell either. With holders reluctant to sell, the stocks can only go up – seemingly to infinity and beyond. We have seen this before. It’s painful for the shorts, as the TSLA CEO has been happy to remind everyone via Twitter."

Frontrunning: April 25

  • Trump’s 15% Corporate Tax Push Sets Stage for Clash With Ryan (BBG)
  • U.S. and North Korea Flex Military Muscles (BBG)
  • Le Pen's father criticizes her presidential campaign as she steps back from party (Reuters)
  • Eight Maps That Explain France’s Macron-Le Pen Election (BBG)
  • Alphabet’s Waymo Offering Families Rides in Self-Driving Cars (WSJ)

Visualizing The Evolution Of The American Economy Over The Past 50 Years

If you’re curious about the story of modern humanity, you’ll find few things more fascinating than the shapeshifting ways of our markets and industries, over many years and decades. These shifts reflect our whole society, our inspiration, our impulses, and our shortcomings.

Frontrunning: April 21

  • Attack overshadows last campaign day in France (Reuters)
  • Paris Gunman Was Questioned by Police in February (WSJ)
  • French PM knocks Le Pen, Fillon stance on security after Paris shooting (Reuters)
  • Battle zone scenes at Paris Champs Elysees (Reuters)
  • In ‘Buy American’ Push, Trump Is Starting in a Hole (WSJ)

Venezuela Seizes General Motors Car Plant

"Yesterday, GMV's (General Motors Venezolana) plant was unexpectedly taken by the public authorities, preventing normal operations. In addition, other assets of the company, such as vehicles, have been illegally taken from its facilities," GM said in a statement.

Frontrunning: April 19

  • As Trump warned N. Korea, 'armada' headed to Australia (Reuters)
  • Threat of Carrier Heading to Koreas Wasn’t All It Seemed (WSJ)
  • Markets Start to Ponder the $13 Trillion Asset Gorilla in the Room (BBG)
  • Investors’ Nightmare Scenario Takes Shape in French Election (WSJ)
  • Venezuelan opposition to hold 'mother of all marches' against Maduro (Reuters)
Knave Dave's picture

After years of trying to create a "wealth effect", the Federal Reserve is slowly dialing down its special-effects machine. Yet, this week, the stock market provided dot-com-era proof of completely iirrational exuberance -- the kind of stupid stuff that happens when cheap money follows free money.

What's Left To Drive The Recovery? Not Much

"These are some serious headwinds, and it’s not clear what offsets them. Could be that the only source of future growth is the government, which means the Fed will soon have to reverse course, cutting interest rates and buying up even more of what used to be known as the free market."

Frontrunning: April 4

  • Europe stocks rise but bond yield falls show investor caution (Reuters)
  • Danger of Sell-Off in U.S. Stocks Grows as Auto Sales Disappoint (BBG)
  • Battle Over Gorsuch Confirmation Is Set to Hit Senate Floor (WSJ)
  • U.S. business seeks action, not trade war, in Xi-Trump summit (Reuters)
  • Uncovering the Secret History of Wall Street’s Largest Oil Trade (BBG)

The Auto Industry Is About To Drive Off A Cliff, Again

We knew cheap money would be too much for auto executives to refuse and oversupply was a sure bet! So will be the industry's return to the Washington "substance abuse center".  Expect the industry to be back at the government feeding trough asking for help.