Gross Domestic Product

3 Things: Exuberance, Small Caps, & 6% Realities

"...there is a long way to go between President-elect taking office, drafting bills and getting them passed. There is even a further period of time before any actions actually passed by the Trump administration actually create perceivable effects within the broader economy. In the meantime, there are many concerns, from a technical perspective, that must be recognized within the current market environment."

OECD Boosts Global Growth Forecasts On Trump Optimism

The details of any Trump growth plan may not be available for a long time, but the general sentiment that Trump's fiscal spending boost will be good for global growth was enough for the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development which on Monday said that U.S. and global economic growth would be boosted by increases in spending and tax cuts promised by the President-elect.

Who Pays What Taxes In The US

Why does every election bring renewed focus on the taxes paid by the rich? Simple: while those American who declare $500,000 and above in income represent less than 1% of total tax returns, they account for a quarter of taxable income and - more importantly - are responsible for 37% of government revenues collected through individual income taxes.

Fed's Kashkari Releases Plan To End "Too Big To Fail", Compares Banks To Terrorists

In the latest reminder that 7 years after the financial crisis, the US banking system still remains a systemic risk, Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari today released four-step plan to end too-big-to-fail problem. The reason for the proposal: America's "biggest banks continue to pose a significant, ongoing risk to our economy" and "One analogy that helps highlight the trade-off of costs and benefits is the risk of terrorism."

Trump Or No Trump - Why The Next 8 Years Will Be The Worst Economic Period In US History

Regardless who was chosen as president for the next two terms, 80% of the population growth in the US will come from 65+yr/olds. This is the inverse from Bill Clinton's presidency which was the benefactor of the strongest demographic and population changes. The Fed has been dropping rates ever since to incentivize the decelerating growth among the young to spend more... but the population growth to consume(r) our way out of this debt bubble is never coming.

Global Stocks Drop On Poor Earnings, Bond "Bloodbath" Ahead Of US Q3 GDP

S&P futures and Asian stocks were little changed while European shares fell as the global bonds sell-off deepened on speculation major central banks are moving closer to reining in stimulus, while stocks retreated after disappointing results from companies including Amazon.com and AB InBev.

Rajoy To Form Minority Government Thanks To Abstentions: Expect No Stability

Mariano Rajoy is headed for another term as Spanish prime minister following two inconclusive elections. However, should the socialists reorganize, Rajoy could easily find himself facing a vote of no confidence in a year or so. Rajoy is corrupt as they come. Ciudadanos had to hold its nose to enter this fragile minority coalition. There is nothing at all stable about this setup.

 

Paul Volcker Explains Why The Fed Can't Raise Rates

"Our current debt may be manageable at a time of unprecedentedly low interest rates. But if we let our debt grow, and interest rates normalize, the interest burden alone would choke our budget and squeeze out other essential spending. There would be no room for the infrastructure programs and the defense rebuilding that today have wide support."

"The Outcome Is Undeniable" - Global Debt Investors Face Reality Of A World Devoid Of Options

A recent, reluctant re-viewing of the film, 'Silence of the Lambs', fed fresh food for thought. The image of captives rejecting their freedom brought to mind another flock of corralled and stunned lambs - bond market investors. They too have been given the opportunity to escape their fate. But so many choose instead to stay. Such is the reality of a world devoid of options, with time ticking ruthlessly by.