Gross Domestic Product

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Yellen "Do-Over" Speech - Live Feed





When risk sold off last week in the wake of the Fed’s so-called “clean relent,” it signalled at best a policy mistake and at worst the loss of any and all credibility. Tonight, Yellen gets a do-over.

 
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Budget Deficit Explodes Higher In Portugal After Government Throws In Towel On Bad Bank Sale





Newly-upgraded Portugal unleashed a budget bombsell on Wednesday when it revised its 2014 deficit higher by some 60% after a failure to liquidate the predecessor to bailed out Banco Espirito Santo left taxpayers holding a €5 billion bag. 

 
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VW CEO Winterkorn Steps Down Despite Being "Unaware Of Any Wrongdoing"





Despite saying that press reports of the CEO leaving were "utterly ridiculous", he just did:

*VW CEO WINTERKORN STEPPING DOWN OVER WIDENING DIESEL SCANDAL
*VW'S WINTERKORN SAYS UNAWARE OF ANY WRONGDOING ON MY PART

One can only wonder what his "retirement" package will be.

 
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ADB Joins OECD, WTO In Dismal Assessment Of Global Growth





"Softer growth prospects for the People’s Republic of China (PRC) and India, and a slow recovery in the major industrial economies, will combine to push growth in developing Asia for 2015 and 2016 below previous projections."

 
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Why Has Labor's Share Of GDP Declined For 40 Years?





This long-term erosion of earned income and household finances does not enable "growth" that is based on rising spending and borrowing. If these are no longer possible, the status quo has no Plan B.

 
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The Real Reasons Why The Fed Will Hike Interest Rates





With a complex and disaster-prone system of interdependence causing social strife and chaos, why not just simplify everything with a global currency and perhaps even global governance? The elites will squeeze the collapse for all it’s worth if they can, and a Fed rate hike may be exactly what they need to begin the final descent.

 
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Petrostate Cash Crunch Continues Amid Oil Collapse, Proxy Wars





The fallout from the demise of the petrodollar is becoming impossible to sweep under the rug even as Gulf states are keen to downplay the severity of the budget crunch. For the Saudis, who need crude at $100 to plug a budget deficit that’s projected at a whopping 20% of GDP, the situation is becoming particularly acute. For Qatar, the situation isn't quite as dire but that doesn't mean the country's officials aren't acutely aware that the world is now scrutinizing the budgets of petrostates in the wake of collapsing crude and indeed on Monday, Qatari Finance Minister Ali Sherif al-Emadi was at pains to reassure the market.

 
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Frontrunning: September 1





  • Charting the Market: New Month, Same China (BBG)
  • China jitters send stocks tumbling (Reuters)
  • Oil falls on weak China factory data (Reuters)
  • Euro zone factory growth eases in August despite modest price rises (Reuters)
  • Euro-Area Joblessness Falls to Lowest Level Since Early 2012 (BBG)
  • Clinton friend advised on U.S. politics, foreign policy (Reuters)
  • Korea exports slump as Asia's woes deepen (Reuters)
 
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Brazil Throws In Towel On Budget; Citi Compares Fiscal Outlook To "Bloody Terror Film"





"In the meantime, in our (un)beloved country, there is something scarier than Freddy Krueger: our growth / fiscal outlook."

 
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Why Devaluing The Yuan Won't Help China's Economy





The economic slowdown in China was set in motion a long time ago when the yearly rate of growth of the money supply fell from 39.3 percent in January 2010 to 1.8 percent by April 2012. The effect of this massive decline in the growth momentum of money puts severe pressure on bubble activities and in turn on various key economic activity data. Any tampering with the currency rate of exchange can only make things much worse as far as the allocation of scarce resources is concerned.

 
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The End Of "The Permanent Lie" Looms Large





For the moment, to paraphrase Alexander Solzhenitsyn, the “permanent lie [has become] the only safe form of existence”.

But the world cannot postpone, indefinitely, dealing decisively with the economic, resource management, social and political challenges we face.

 
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