India

Goldman Calls It For Oil: "OPEC Freeze Insufficient To Support Prices; The Price Rally Should Stall"

"Supply continues to feature the cross currents of rising low-cost supply, declining high-cost production, and new project ramp up. In fact, marginally more bearish data recently than we had assumed suggests in our view that the recent price rally should stall... While discussions of an OPEC freeze and a weakening dollar have been catalysts for the sharp reversal in oil prices this month, we believe neither will be sufficient to support prices much further"

Frontrunning: August 22

  • Oil falls as China fuel exports jump, U.S. rigs rise (Reuters)
  • Fischer Signals 2016 Rate Hike With Economy Nearing Fed Goals (BBG)
  • Show of European unity: Merkel, Hollande, Renzi meet to discuss gameplan (Reuters)
  • Rainy Rio wraps up challenging Games on upbeat tropical note (Reuters)
  • Japan's Abe Plays Super Mario in Rio to Promote 2020 Tokyo Games (BBG)
  • Donald Trump the Mortgage Broker Was in Trouble From Moment One (BBG)

US Futures Fall, European Stocks Rise As Stronger Dollar Sends Oil Lower

European stocks rose and US S&P futures fell after the dollar strengthened following the latest hawkish comments from Fed vice-chair Stanley Fischer signalled that a 2016 rate hike is still being considered and again boosted speculation that US rates will rise this year. The rising dollar pressured commodities and notably oil, which dropped 2% breaking a 7 days stretch of increases; emerging markets retreated. 

Multipolar World Order: Economics Vs. Politics

The transition from a unipolar to a multipolar reality has already changed many aspects of international relations. A revolution that will change everything like nothing in recent history is taking place, forever altering the delicate balance upon which international relations hitherto rested.

Oil Rally At Risk After Niger Delta Advisors Announce Ceasefire

Nigeria's militant Niger Delta Avengers announced overnight on their website, that the would cease “hostilities in the Niger Delta against all interest of the multinational oil corporations,” to support talks with govt to end conflicts adding that it promises "to fight more for the Niger Delta, if this opportunity fails."

'Not My Fault!' Merkel Claims Islamic Terrorism Existed In Germany Before Refugee Influx

In a somewhat stunningly desperate effort to change the narrative (after being hit by numerous recent terror attacks claimed by ISIS), German Chancellor Angela Merkel proclaimed today that "islamist terror in Germany wasn't imported with refugees" adding that "terror existed in Germany before the refugee influx." Roughly translated, this Junckerian "don't blame me" lie is the latest effort to regain some public support in her nation (which has plummeted), continuing to position anti-immigrant sentiment as the biggest danger.

Spectacular Chinese Gold Demand Fully Denied By GFMS And Mainstream Media

Gold investors around the world continue to be fooled about Chinese gold demand. For some reason GFMS is restrained in disclosing that any individual or institution in China can directly buy and withdraw gold at the Shanghai Gold Exchange, which is the most significant reason for the discrepancy in question. According to calculations, true Chinese gold demand in 2015 must have been north of 2,250 tonnes.

S&P Futures Unchanged As Europe Rises; Dollar Slide Sends Oil Above $47

In the latest quiet trading session, European shares rose while Asian stocks fell and S&P futures were little changed. Minutes of the Fed’s last meeting damped prospects for a U.S. interest-rate hike, sending the Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index doen 0.3%, approaching a three-month low. Dollar weakness continues to buoy commodities, with the Bloomberg Commodity Index set for the most enduring rally in more than two months, as WTI flirted with $47

Venezuela's Oil Crisis Is Opening Old Wounds With Colombia

Last week, Venezuelans lined up at their westerly border to visit Colombia for just a few hours and buy the essential everyday supplies once offered to them at low, subsidized prices by their prosperous socialist government. But, as oil prices slowly and steadily recover, will this model of brotherly cooperation prove to be sustainable in the long run?

Why An OPEC Production Cap Is Unlikely

The initial reaction to the announcement of the September OPEC meeting is premature, however. There are several reasons why it is unlikely any action will be taken by OPEC at the meeting to restrain output. Nevertheless, continued speculation prior to the meeting in late September will likely hold oil prices above $40 per barrel for now.