While paper gold traders can't seem to dump the precious metal fast enough, physical gold demand is soaring around the world. India retail premiums are spiking (amid demonetization), local China premiums soar to a 3-year-high (as capital controls loom), and coin sales from the US Mint have risen for the 4th straight month, accelerating post-election to the highest since July 2015 since Trump's victory at the election.
Fear has gripped the bullion market, for one is deemed to be guilty until proven otherwise. People with perfectly legal cash are afraid of cameras recording their purchases and having to pay outrageous bribes. After an adjustment period people will buy more — not less — gold. For now, the gold market has gone mostly underground with the gold price hovering around US$1,700 per ounce. Did Modi want to boost the informal economy?
Following a November to remember, which saw tremendous market gains following the election of Donald Trump, December has started off on the back foot, with US equity futures lower, European stocks halting a two day advance ahead of the Italian referendum, US Treasury yields higher and the US dollar backing away from a 9 month high.
Bankers are bracing for long hours and angry mobs as pay day approaches in India. "We are bracing ourselves for payday and fearing the worst," the chief executive officer at Laxmi Vilas Bank said, concerned the situation has gotten out of control.
The political and financial establishments want you to willingly get on board with the idea of abolishing, or at least reducing, cash. And they’re pumping out all sorts of propaganda to do it, trying to get people to equate crime and corruption with high denominations of cash. Simply put, the data doesn’t support their assertion.
Total fertility rates, which can be defined as the average number of children born to a woman who survives her reproductive years (aged 15-49), have decreased globally by about half since 1960. This has drastically shaped today’s global economy, but a continued decline could have much more severe long-term consequences.