India

Frontrunning: August 9

  • Search for yield drives stocks higher, pound falls vs dollar (Reuters)
  • China's slowing wholesale deflation takes pressure off central bank (Reuters)
  • Rajan Holds India Rates in Final Move as Inflation Quickens (BBG)
  • Brent above $45 on U.S. inventories, producer action speculation (Reuters)
  • Republican national security experts: Trump would be 'dangerous' president (Reuters)

Moscow, Beijing, & Washington: A Complicated Triangle

The aspirations to global dominance of the American deep state have resulted in pushing China and Russia to adopt a comprehensive shared strategy in which they place at the center of their relations common interests rather than differences. The maneuvers towards de-dollarization are already being conducted. This for Washington is an existential threat that can hardly be ignored. Equally improbable is the possibility of America halting this drift.

Stunning Images From America's Most Important Aquifer

If history is any guide, warnings regarding excessive global groundwater depletion will not result in any material change in consumption behavior until it's too late. What happens after that is anyone's guess but there is a saying in California that "whiskey is for drinking and water is for fighting"...we suspect that's not too far off. 

S&P Futures Flat As Europe, Asia Lifted By Banks, Yen; All Eyes On The Bank Of England

In a mostly quiet session, European and Asian stocks rose, pushed higher by financial stocks and the USDJPY which initially dipped on some hawkish comments by BOJ deputy governor Iwata, only to rebound later in the session, lifting the Nikkei 1.1%, while the Stoxx 600 rose 0.4% led higher by the banking sector. S&P futures are unchnaged after yesterday's last hour ramp. The key event is the BOE decision due in half an hour.

Emirates Boeing 777 Crash Lands In Dubai

Emirates Airline reported that its flight EK521 was involved in an "accident" which occurred at 12:45pm local time (08:45 GMT) on Tuesday, without giving further details. Gulf News reported that an Emirates flight from India made an emergency landing at the airport and all passengers were escorted to safety.

Saudis Slash Oil Prices For Asian Markets; So Much For Solving That Banking Liquidity Crisis

Shortly after we spoke yesterday about the banking liquidity crisis in Saudi Arabia caused by the "Saudi circ ref" (low oil prices -> budget deficits -> more oil pumping -> even lower oil prices), almost on cue, the state-owned Saudi Aramco, the worlds largest oil exporter, announced the largest price cut for Arab light sweet crude sold into Asian markets in 10 months.

Euro Stocks Reverse Early Gains Dragged Lower By Slumping Banks; US Futures Flat; Crude Slides

Following last Friday's shocking weak US GDP print, Asian stocks jumped to an 11 month high on reduced prospects of a near-term rate hike, while the region also digested mostly encouraging in conflicting Chinese PMI data. European bank stocks initially rose following the release of the 2016 stress test then declined, tempering gains in global equity indexes, amid investor skepticism over the usefulness of stress-test results and weaker oil prices.

Is War Inevitable In The South China Sea?

The indispensable nation’s military hegemony over the whole South China Sea must always be undisputed. Always. But already it is not. China is positioning itself as a cunning, asymmetrical aspirant to “peer competitor”. For the moment Beijing ranks second in the Pentagon’s list of “existential threats” to the US. Were not for Russia’s formidable nuclear power, China would already be number one. At the same time China does not need to launch any military offensive against an ASEAN member; it’s bad for business. But make no mistake; at some point in the future, there will be a serious confrontation between the US and China over “access" to the South China Sea.

Seven Places Where WW3 Could Start At Any Time

It seems like you can’t watch the news anymore without stumbling onto a story that contains terrifying global implications. Not since the Cold War have tensions been so high among the nations of the world. You can strike sparks just about anywhere. The threat of another global war is downright palpable.

DoD Admits US Global Hegemony Threatened By China, Russia In "Persistently Disordered World"

"Rising powers including for example, China, Russia, India, Iran, or Brazil have increasingly expressed dissatisfaction with their roles, access, and authorities within the current international system... The future world order will see a number of states with the political will, economic capacity, and military capabilities to compel change at the expense of others..."

Exposing Hillbama's Big Lie: The Central Issue In The U.S. Presidential Campaign

Obama’s ‘mono-polar world’ is a fiction, and the sooner that he and his Big Lie can be exposed (by the Western press, to the Western publics), the safer everyone will be. Discomforts on the parts of those who have promulgated and propagandized that lie will be vastly less than the disastrous alternative, which would destroy the world for everyone.

Amazon Smashes Expectations As Cloud Profits Soar; Stock Dips Then Jumps

Amazon has done it again. Moments ago Jeff Bezos' company reported Q2 earnings that blew away expectations, when it printed revenues of $30.4 billion, well above the expected $29.6 billion, up 31% Y/Y, and generating EPS of $1.78 more than 50% higher than the $1.12 expected.

Previewing The Day's Big Event: What To Expect From The Apple's Earnings Report

When it comes to AAPL, the company is truly in a class of its own. And while in the past it helped propel the S&P500 profitability almost singlehandedly (it was responsible for 7% of total S&P earnings in 2015), this has reverse, and now AAPL is set to be the single biggest detractor from S&P growth. Here is what to look for and what Wall Street expects when AAPL reports earnings at 1:30pm Pacific today...