The carnage always comes by surprise, often on an otherwise ordinary Saturday morning... The government declares a surprise bank holiday. It shuts all the banks. It imposes capital controls to stop citizens from taking their money out of the country. At that point, the government is free to help itself to as much of the country’s wealth as it wants. It’s an all-you-can-steal buffet. This story has recently played out in Greece, Cyprus, Argentina, and Iceland. And those are only a few recent examples. It’s happened in scores of other countries throughout history. And we think it’s inevitable in the U.S.
Some things to ignore; some things not to ignore. The inevitable will occur. Supply and demand will cross. The question is will Wall Street notice? Some of the analysts caught the cross in early 2014 but most didn’t.
Having recently explained his "greatest investment opportunity for the next 3 to 5 years," Kyle Bass expands on his China discussions to focus on Emerging Markets more broadly and specifically The BRICs. As Benzinga summed up, Bass Warns "we still have three tough innings to go, maybe four," he warning that emerging markets will "see a lot more pain before things are okay."
This has not been a good year for emerging markets since many of the emerging economies are commodity-reliant (mainly crude oil).
"There is hope of more stimulus in March and potential for even more stimulus in Japan and China, so if we get concrete positive economic news the rebound could last into next week,” said John Plassard, senior equity- sales trader at Mirabaud Securities. “I told my clients to fasten their seatbelts and wait for better news, and this is finally happening."... "The turnaround in sentiment came amid signs central banks may be prepared to act after $7.8 trillion was erased from the value of global equities this year on China’s slowdown and oil’s crash."
It's official. More than 50% of the "wealth" effect created from the 2011 lows to the 2015 highs has been destroyed (despite the world's central banks going into money-printing overdrive over that period). Almost $17 trillion of equity market capitalization has evaporated in just over 6 months with over 40 global stock indices in bear markets...
Things are looking increasingly shaky for central planners around the globe.
- Oil slump rocks markets again in equity rout (Reuters)
- Global Stocks on Brink of Bear Market as Oil Slides; Ruble Drops (BBG)
- Global Stocks Slide on Oil Rout (WSJ)
- Emerging Markets Roiled as Stock Selloff Surpasses Asian Crisis (BBG)
- Rising Debt in Emerging Markets Poses Global Threat (WSJ)
- China shares slip as oil slides, outweighing stimulus hopes (Reuters)
In “freedom and democracy” America, the government and the economy serve interests totally removed from the interests of the American people. The sellout of the American people is protected by a huge canopy of propaganda provided by free market economists and financial presstitutes paid to lie for their living. It is unclear that the US economy can be revived. When America fails, so will Washington’s vassal states in Europe, Canada, Australia, and Japan.
As BofA admits, "this sell-off differs from a typical growth scare in that parts of the recession playbook are failing miserably." So until we have clarity on whether or not this is a garden variety correction or a true bear market, here is BofA's advice on what to own in an "equity death spiral"
“I think ageing demographics is a bigger issue in China than people think. And the problems it creates should be become evident as early as 2016.” – Stan Druckenmiller, 2013
Throughout history government has served as a vehicle for the organization of hatred and oppression, benefitting no one except those who are ambitious and ruthless enough to gain control of it. That’s not to say government hasn’t, then and now, performed useful functions. But the useful things it does could and would be done far better by the market.
How do you view your country relative to others? Chances are if it’s based on most world maps, your view is distorted.
Russia has just taken significant steps that will break the present Wall Street oil price monopoly, at least for a huge part of the world oil market. The move is part of a longer-term strategy of decoupling Russia’s economy and especially its very significant export of oil, from the US dollar, today the Achilles Heel of the Russian economy.