Insider Trading

Widening Probe Snags Most Senior Chinese Banker Yet, Sends Stocks Lower; RBA Sparks Commodity Slide, FX Turbulence

It's a busy night in AsiaPac. The ubiquitous Japanese stock buying-panic at the open quickly faded. China weakened the Yuan fix quite notably and injected another CNY10bn of liquidity but news of the arrest of the President of China's 3rd largest bank and a graft investigation into Dongfeng Motor's general manager sparked greater uncertainty and Chinese stocks extended the losses from yesterday. Commodities had started to creep lower, with Dalian Iron Ore pushing 2-month lows with its biggest daily drop in 3 months, were extended when the Aussie central bank kept rates steady (as expected) but sparked turmoil in FX markets with forward guidance of th epotential for more easing.

Futures Rebound From Overnight Lows On Stronger European Manufacturing Surveys, Dovish ECB

On a day full of Manufacturing/PMI surveys from around the globe, the numbers everyone was looking at came out of China, where first the official, NBS PMI data disappointed after missing Mfg PMI expectations (3rd month in a row of contraction), with the Non-mfg PMI sliding to the lowest since 2008, however this was promptly "corrected" after the other Caixin manufacturing PMI soared to 48.3 in October from 47.2 in September - the biggest monthly rise of 2015 - and far better than the median estimate of 47.6, once again leading to the usual questions about China's Schrodinger economy, first defined here, which is continues to expand and contract at the same time.

How To Profit From Oprah Winfrey Gaining Weight

Far more importantly for arbitrageurs, there is now a direct way to profit from Oprah's weight gain, because if WTW surges simply on Oprah "losing" weight, then logically it has become the short of the century for every incremental pound in weight that Oprah gains.

Frontrunning: October 23

  • China's central bank cuts rates for sixth time since November (Reuters)
  • Global stocks hit two-month high on dovish Draghi message (Reuters)
  • $6.5 Billion in Energy Writedowns and We're Just Getting Started (BBG)
  • Alphabet, formerly Google, sets share buyback, shares jump (Reuters)
  • Hurricane Patricia, Stronger Than Katrina, Nears Mexico (BBG)
  • TVA Cleared to Start First New U.S. Nuclear Power Plant in Nearly 20 Years (WSJ)

Frontrunning: October 6

  • Asian shares rise on fading Fed rate views (Reuters)
  • U.S. Equity Futures Fall, Risking S&P 500 Rally as Copper Slides (BBG)
  • More biotech pain, this time from the WSJ: For Prescription Drug Makers, Price Increases Drive Revenue (WSJ)
  • VW Will Delay or Cancel Non-Essential Investments Due to Scandal (BBG)
  • Russia Rejects No-Fly Zone Over Syria as Clerics Urge Reprisals (BBG)
  • Historic Pacific trade deal faces skeptics in U.S. Congress (Reuters)
  • German Factory Orders Unexpectedly Fall Amid Economic Risks (BBG)

Frontrunning: September 23

  • Global Stocks Steady Despite China Slowdown (WSJ)
  • European Recovery Saves Markets From China Gloom as Stocks Rally (BBG)
  • Pope starts U.S. trip with tone of conciliation (Reuters)
  • FBI Said to Recover Personal E-Mails From Hillary Clinton Server (BBG)
  • Volkswagen chief faces grilling by board over diesel scandal (Reuters)
  • 'European Detroit' Fear Grips VW Company Town as Scandal Widens (BBG)
  • Berlin finds itself caught up in Volkswagen scandal (FT)

Head Of China's 'Goldman Sachs' Probed For Insider Trading As "Market Purification" Continues

Imagine for a moment the sentiment shock for mainstream Americans if Goldman Sachs' Lloyd Blankfein was probed for insider-trading and publicly scapegoated for causing a nation's equity market (and economy) to collapse. While it may be true, it would never happen in America... But in China, as part of what authorities call "purifying the markets," the president of China’s biggest brokerage has been swept up in a widening campaign to root out financial wrongdoing and assign blame for the nation’s $5 trillion stock rout. As Bloomberg notes, shares are falling further in today's markets as the probe of Citic Securities President Cheng Boming comes after the state-run Xinhua News Agency reported last month that four executives at Citic had admitted to so-called insider trading.

Frontrunning: September 15

  • China stocks resume sharp slide as economic worries mount (Reuters)
  • OECD head says sees further cut to global growth forecasts (Reuters)
  • The U.S. Dollar Is Gaining Like It's the 1980s — For Better or Worse (BBG)
  • Glencore Slumps to Record Low, Erasing Gains Since Debt Plan (BBG)
  • Woman killed, 400 homes destroyed by California wildfire (Reuters)
  • Why Morning Is the Worst Time to Trade Stocks (WSJ)
  • German Investor Confidence Damped by Weaker Emerging Markets (BBG)

ECB Bans Media From 'Behind-Closed-Doors' Speech To Hedge Fund Managers

Fool me once, shame on me; fool me twice, shame on you; fool me a third time, you must think we are all just idiots!! Following The ECB's Benoit Coeure "internal procedure error" where he leaked the imminent actions of the central bank to a group of well-heeled hedge fund managers - who proceeded to dump EURUSD ahead of the announcement, The ECB has decided - in all its arrogant wisdom - to decamp to Luxembourg to speak, once again, to participants in the world of high finance behind closed doors. The media aren’t invited (though the ECB will publish some prepared remarks from the board members.).

This Hedge Fund Made 15% Yesterday As The Market Tumbled

"Artemis Vega Fund LP and associated institutional managed accounts gained approximately +15.49% gross of fees on September 1, 2015 on a day the S&P 500 index lost -2.96%. Please note this performance was for the day....  Our models currently register a 30% probability the VIX will re-test highs above 40 in the next 21 days."