International Energy Agency

Today's Stunted Oil Prices Could Cause Oil Price Shock In 2020

"What I don’t hear people asking is, ‘then what?’ Are the Saudis going to maintain these production cuts forever, or at some point do they have to start reversing that? I think in 2018 they will be reversing those production cuts..."

Do Saudi Arabia And Russia Really Want Higher Oil Prices?

The Saudis and the Russians want to appear as though they are "doing something" about low oil prices. But they and their fellow producers simply aren't doing enough to push prices higher. And, that may actually suit the Saudis and the Russians just fine.

Oil Stumbles Back To $50 Handle As Saudi/OPEC Jawboning Fails

Oil prices limped higher overnight as desperate jawboning of OPEC production cut deal extensions by the Saudis supported a recovery from yesterday's post-inventories plunge. However, confirming the market's lack of faith in OPEC (and Saudi's ability to hold the deal together), WTI prices are sliding back towards a $50 handle as jawboning half-lives slump.

Are Mexico’s Oil Reserves Almost Depleted?

Mexico’s oil and gas regulator said last week that the country’s proved hydrocarbon reserves will drop by 10.6 percent in 2017. This forecast, coupled with the lower oil production that state company Petroleos Mexicanos (Pemex) reported for yet another year in 2016, is painting a rather bleak picture of Mexico’s reserves.

Hedge Funds Have Never Been This Long Crude Oil

Despite record gluts in crude and gasoline amid resurgent US crude production, hedge funds boosted their net long position in WTI last week to a new record high.  For the first time ever, hedge funds hold more than a billion barrels of bets that crude oil prices will rally.

Why Sub $50 Oil Is More Likely Than $70 Oil

Comparative inventory analysis suggests that the current ~$53 per barrel WTI oil price is at least $6 per barrel too high. Don’t hold your breath for $70 oil prices.

US To Sell 10 Million Barrels Of Oil From Strategic Petroleum Reserve In February

Following a January announcement according to which the DOE planned to sell 8 million barrels of oil from the Strategic Petroleum Reserve, and which some speculated was the reason for the big buildup in crude inventories in the past several weeks, today the U.S. Energy Department said it will sell 10 million barrels of oil from the government's emergency crude reserve in late February. 

Oil Tumbles After Unexpected Crude Inventory Build

A mixed bag of crude draw and gasoline builds from API combined with IEA comments on rising US Shale output offset by Saudi jawboning about more production cuts possible has pushedoil green before today's DOE data. However, oil prices tumbled when DOE printed an unexpected 2.347mm barrel crude build (1mm draw expected) and another major build in gasoline inventories. US crude production remains at 9-month highs.