International Energy Agency

Tyler Durden's picture

Frontrunning: November 16

  • Belgian Police 'Arrest' Public Enemy No.1 (Sky News)
  • France Widens Crackdown at Home as Bombs Rain on Islamic State (BBG)
  • Putin Goes From G-20 Pariah to Player at Obama Turkey Talk (BBG)
  • Paris Attacks: 150 Raids as France Goes to 'War With Terrorism' (NBC)
  • 'Rocket Launcher Found' In French Police Raids (Sky)
  • Geopolitical worries lift oil after Paris attacks, but glut weighs (Reuters)
  • Japan's economy falls back into recession again (BBC)
Tyler Durden's picture

"Oil Bears May Not Hibernate" As Inventories Swell To Record 3 Billion Barrels

In true stop-running algo common sense, WTI crude jumped overnight, back above $42 briefly. However, a double whammy of warnings from IEA (of a "massive cushion" of 3 billion barrels worldwide) and the highest volume of supertankers for this time of year since 2013 has sent crude sliding back below $42.

Tyler Durden's picture

Frontrunning: November 10

  • Bonds Rise as China Drags Down Metals, Selloff in Stocks Resumes (BBG)
  • European Stock Rally Runs Out of Steam Amid China Growth Concern (BBG)
  • Obama's immigration action blocked again; Supreme Court only option left (Reuters)
  • Ukraine: Cyberwar’s Hottest Front (WSJ)
  • With $170.4 Million Sale at Auction, Modigliani Work Joins Rarefied Nine-Figure Club (NYT)
  • IEA Sees OPEC Market Share Growth in 2020 as Rivals Stagnate (BBG)
Tyler Durden's picture

Global Stocks Fall For 5th Day On Disturbing Chinese Inflation Data; Renewed Rate Hike Fears; Copper At 6 Year Low

The ongoing failure of China to achieve any stabilization in its economy, after already cutting interest rates six times in the past year, and the prospect of a U.S. interest rate hike in December, had made markets increasingly jittery and worried which is not only why the S&P 500 Index had its biggest drop in a month, but thanks to the soaring dollar emerging market stocks are falling for a fourth day - led by China - bringing their decline in that period to almost 4 percent, and the global stock index down for a 5th consecutive day.

Capitalist Exploits's picture

What's in Store for the Global Energy Markets?

Why - after commodities - China is set to change the landscape on energy in the coming years

Tyler Durden's picture

New Oil Order: Russia Again Tops Saudi Arabia As China's Largest Crude Supplier

As a desperate Saudi Arabia taps the bond market to mitigate the SAMA drawdown while simultaneously attempting to muscle in on Moscow's Eastern European market share, Russian crude sales to China soared 42% in September. The result: for the second time this year, Russia has overtaken Saudi Arabia as the number one crude supplier to Beijing. 

Capitalist Exploits's picture

There Will Be Blood – Part III

Hedge fund manager exposes the ugly truth about America's energy revolution: it's like the housing bubble but larger!

Tyler Durden's picture

The Shale Delusion: Why The Party’s Over For U.S. Tight Oil

The party is over for tight oil. Despite brash statements by U.S. producers and misleading analysis by Raymond James, low oil prices are killing tight oil companies. Reports this week from IEA and EIA paint a bleak picture for oil prices as the world production surplus continues. EIA said that U.S. production will fall by 1 million barrels per day over the next year and that, “expected crude oil production declines from May 2015 through mid-2016 are largely attributable to unattractive economic returns.” IEA made the point more strongly. “..the latest price rout could stop US growth in its tracks.”

Tyler Durden's picture

WTI Tumbles To $43 Handle As Iran 'Price Cut' Sparks Supply Surge

Having traded above $46 on Friday, WTI Crude is back to a $43 handle as it appears Iran's price cut, as we detailed here, sparked demand from China and India driving up Iran exports to 1 million barrels per day.

Tyler Durden's picture

$20 Oil? Goldman Says It's Possible

"While we are increasingly convinced that the market needs to see lower oil prices for longer to achieve a production cut, the source of this production decline and its forcing mechanism is growing more uncertain, raising the possibility that we may ultimately clear at a sharply lower price with cash costs around $20/bbl Brent prices."

Tyler Durden's picture

Top Factors Undermining Any Oil Price Recovery

Global oil prices have returned to a state of flux. This is hardly news to any who follow the oil markets closely and yet prices continue to drive international headlines. While oil prices are notoriously difficult to predict, it has failed to deter the speculators. There are those warning that the latest dip is a precursor for $40 a barrel, a catastrophe for oil markets in some minds. On the other end of the spectrum are the optimists betting on a return to $100 by 2020. The World Bank has taken a typically middle-of-the-road approach, with forecasts of $57 a barrel in 2015. That said, given Iran’s potential revitalization, Russia’s murky outlook, and U.S. shale supply limits uncertain, prices will be responsive to supply and demand trends; at least in the short to medium term.

Tyler Durden's picture

Strategic Petroleum Reserve No Longer Key Part Of US National Security

The U.S. Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR), once seen as a cornerstone of America’s energy security, is losing its shine in Washington.

Tyler Durden's picture

Biggest Glut In Recorded Crude-Oil History Taking Shape

The world is on the brink of the longest-lasting oil glut in at least three decades and OPEC’s quest for market share makes it almost unavoidable. Oil supply has exceeded demand globally for the past five quarters, already the most enduring glut since the 1997 Asian economic crisis, International Energy Agency data show. But as's Wolf Richter warns, if Iran and world powers reach an accord on the Islamic Republic’s nuclear program by their June 30 deadline, we’ll be watching the most magnificent oil glut ever building up into next year.

Tyler Durden's picture

Frontrunning: June 15

  • Tsipras Hardens Greek Stance After Collapse of Talks (BBG)
  • Obama Fights to Save Trade Bill (WSJ)
  • German Stock Market Pain Seen Just Beginning Should Greece Exit (BBG)
  • Russia to boost forces in western flank if U.S. stations arms in east Europe (Reuters)
  • Lab Nears Settlement Over Pricey Medicare Drug Tests (WSJ)
  • China's $358 Billion in Margin Loans Points to Next Bear Market (BBG)
  • Draghi Faces EU Court Ruling on 2012 Bond Plan as Greece Teeters (BBG)
  • Sex, lies and debt potentially exposed by U.S. data hack (Reuters)
Syndicate content
Do NOT follow this link or you will be banned from the site!