International Monetary Fund

Frontrunning: April 21

  • Attack overshadows last campaign day in France (Reuters)
  • Paris Gunman Was Questioned by Police in February (WSJ)
  • French PM knocks Le Pen, Fillon stance on security after Paris shooting (Reuters)
  • Battle zone scenes at Paris Champs Elysees (Reuters)
  • In ‘Buy American’ Push, Trump Is Starting in a Hole (WSJ)

European, US Stocks In Eerie Calm As French Vote Looms

Global markets were oddly calm on Friday, the last day of trading before the first round of France's closely fought presidential election, with European stocks posting modest declines ahead of Sunday's main event, Asian shares rising, and set for first weekly gain in the past month, while U.S. futures were unchanged.

A Ukraine On The Verge Of Disaster Benefits No One

All the provocateurs in Ukraine should be aware that playing the nationalist card can be dangerous and can even result in a defeat that, when compared to 2014-2015, would be dramatically worse, condemning Ukraine to an economic, social and political crisis without precedent or a way out. It literally could be the beginning of the disintegration of Ukraine as we know it today.

Frontrunning: April 19

  • As Trump warned N. Korea, 'armada' headed to Australia (Reuters)
  • Threat of Carrier Heading to Koreas Wasn’t All It Seemed (WSJ)
  • Markets Start to Ponder the $13 Trillion Asset Gorilla in the Room (BBG)
  • Investors’ Nightmare Scenario Takes Shape in French Election (WSJ)
  • Venezuelan opposition to hold 'mother of all marches' against Maduro (Reuters)

Europe Gets Its Doomsday Scenario

In France, the right feels betrayed by open borders and excessive regulation, the left by an unaccountable elite that always seems to profit at everyone else’s expense. And both sides suffer from soaring debt at every level of society. So if a fringe candidate doesn’t win this time around, the mainstream will just make an even bigger mess, raising the odds of a fringe victory next a few years hence.

Distracted Nation "Buys The Dip"

The military frolics of spring have distracted the nation’s attention from the economic and financial dynamics that pose the ultimate mortal threat to business as usual.

Brandon Smith Warns The Next World War "Will Be Economic... Not Nuclear"

"The elite appear to have a great deal in store for President Trump’s first four years... quite a few tricks up their sleeves, if you will. The wars are already being manifested; but the larger elements of financial upheaval may take years to play out, even if there are a number of chaotic events, a bit of panic, and more of the great squeeze that is sucking the vitality of the country dry. Get ready for some big potential downturns."

Frontrunning: April 7

  • U.S. fires missiles at Assad airbase; Russia denounces 'aggression' (Reuters)
  • Congress Supports the Airstrikes, Debates What Happens Next (WSJ)
  • Trump’s Syria Strike Sends Not-So-Subtle Warning to U.S. Rivals (BBG)
  • Russia Halts Cooperation With U.S. on Syrian Air Operations (WSJ)
  • Syria Says Strike Kills Five, Damages Air Base (WSJ)

Frontrunning: April 4

  • Europe stocks rise but bond yield falls show investor caution (Reuters)
  • Danger of Sell-Off in U.S. Stocks Grows as Auto Sales Disappoint (BBG)
  • Battle Over Gorsuch Confirmation Is Set to Hit Senate Floor (WSJ)
  • U.S. business seeks action, not trade war, in Xi-Trump summit (Reuters)
  • Uncovering the Secret History of Wall Street’s Largest Oil Trade (BBG)