Investor Sentiment

The Global Housing Bubble Is Biggest In These Six Cities

In the latest report by UBS wealth Management, which compiles the bank's Real Estate Bubble Index,  it found a new champion for the title of "world's biggest housing bubble", namely a familiar name, Vancouver, but also that as many as six cities had made the "bubble" category, up from last year's two.

Global Central Bank-Driven Stock Rally Fizzles; Crude Rebounds On Saudi Oil Production Cut Report

Until minutes ago, this week's rebound in global equities appeared to be running out of steam as oil retreated from a two-week high and a dollar slide ended.  However, as noted just around 6am, Reuters reported, citing as it usually does various "anonymous sources", that in a radical departure from its long-held policy of not cutting production, Saudi Arabia was prepared to cut production on condition that Iran freezes output, which led to an instant spike in crude.

Traders Quickly Get Comfortable With Stocks Again. But...

Short-term volatility expectations plummeted during Wednesday’s post-Federal Reserve meeting stock market rally. However, considering this rush out of the VXST occurred from an already relatively low level (17.22), prior similar occurrences suggest the upside is perhaps limited here for the S&P 500.

Frontrunning: September 22

  • Stocks Advance in Unison With Bonds as Fed Inspires Global Rally (BBG)
  • Soothing Fed gives stocks their mojo (Reuters)
  • Yellen helps Clinton dodge a bullet (Politico)
  • State of emergency called to quell Charlotte unrest over police shooting of black man (Reuters)
  • Hillary Clinton Leads Donald Trump by Six Points in Latest WSJ/NBC Poll (WSJ)

5 Charts For Fully Invested Bears

“The funny thing is there is a disconnect between what investors are saying and what they are doing. No one thinks all the problems the global financial crisis revealed have been healed. But when you have an equity rally like you’ve seen for the past four or five years, then everybody has had to participate to some extent. What you’ve had are fully invested bears.”

Italy Funding Panic? Target2 Liabilities Unexpectedly Soar To Record High

In the latest Target2 monthly update, Bank of Italy's liabilities toward other eurozone nation soared by €35 billion in August, just shy of the biggest monthly increase on record, and reached an all time high of €327 billion, surpassing the previous records set in 2012, just prior to Draghi's infamous "whatever it takes" speech.

Former Barrick Gold President: "A Big Move Has Begun. There's Something Fundamentally Wrong With The Economy"

"I think a move has begun... When you have bonds at negative interest rates you know there’s something fundamentally wrong with the economy. That’s a statement of the relative safeness of currencies... when people actually feel they can buy that bond and pay money to keep it in that bond just because it’s a safer haven than other investments then that’s pretty bad."

Tumbling Dollar Sends USDJPY Under 100, Oil Over $46 As Gold Spikes; Futures Flat

Overnight, John Williams' latest uberdovish paper "Monetary Policy in a Low R-star World", which we profiled yesterday, and which suggests lower rates for far longer, made the rounds and has led to a steep 0.8% drop in the Bloomberg Dollar spot Index, which sank to its weakest since June while the yen strengthened 1.2 percent, slipping briefly below 100 against the greenback for the first time since June 24, pushing oil and gold higher, and Asian shares lower.

Global Stocks Rise, US Futures Near All Time Highs As Flood Into Emerging Markets Continues

European shares advanced, with gains in automakers  helping Germany’s benchmark DAX Index turn positive for the year for the first time. Stocks rose around the world, led by emerging-markets, as oil climbed further after its best week since April and traders pushed back bets on higher U.S. interest rates. S&P futures advance and Asian stocks little changed as rising oil prices bolstered investor sentiment.