Gold futures saw a massive $1.5 billion liquidation in one minute yesterday which had all the hallmarks of a "non profit" liquidation - a large seller trying to manipulate gold futures lower rather than maximise profits.
Amid the sound and fury of the presidential campaigns, one thing that is crucially unimportant appears to be policies... but in case you need to actually understand the actual differences between 'the crook' and 'hitler' actually are, HSBC has provided a handy cheatsheet...
Despite denials, yesterday's oil price rally sustained on the back of rumors that Iran was willing to support a production freeze. However, an unexpected crude build overnight from API combined with news that Angola has overtaken Saudi Arabia as the number 1 seller of oil to China (more supply at the margin) has sunk WTI Cride back to $47 - erasing all of yesterday's gains...
Amid the volatility of crude prices, inventory levels, and headline hockey; API printed a surprisingly large 4.464mm crude build (against expectations of a 850k draw). Having spiked early in the day on Iran rumors (and failed to fall on denials), WTI kneejerked lower after the API data showed the biggest crude build in over 4 months (and a bigger than expected build at Cushing).
While the summer doldrums continue, with little market-moving newsflow overnight and zombified volumes, US futures crept higher and European shares rose after EU PMIs printed modestly better than expected, while a return to dollar weakness pushed emerging markets higher, even if it failed to boost oil which as we noted last night was downgraded by Goldman on various fundamental reasons.
How much longer will the citizens of the world put up with a situation in which warmongers with ties to the military-industrial complex are allowed to stoke up international tensions? The next time you read or hear someone issue stark warnings about the “Russian threat” - and why NATO needs to hike its spending to deal with it - just follow the money trail. It’s likely to be revealing.
Unless the U.S. wants to confront these players directly, it has no choice but to accept that they have lost a war they directly and indirectly started through covert CIA operations that began in 2011 (and as some would argue, well before that).
"Supply continues to feature the cross currents of rising low-cost supply, declining high-cost production, and new project ramp up. In fact, marginally more bearish data recently than we had assumed suggests in our view that the recent price rally should stall... While discussions of an OPEC freeze and a weakening dollar have been catalysts for the sharp reversal in oil prices this month, we believe neither will be sufficient to support prices much further"
Market confusion remains following Fischer's hawkish tone yesterday at J-Hole. Despite market-implied rate-hike odds have barely budged but the USDollar, stocks, VIX, bonds, and commodities are moving notably.
European stocks rose and US S&P futures fell after the dollar strengthened following the latest hawkish comments from Fed vice-chair Stanley Fischer signalled that a 2016 rate hike is still being considered and again boosted speculation that US rates will rise this year. The rising dollar pressured commodities and notably oil, which dropped 2% breaking a 7 days stretch of increases; emerging markets retreated.
The past week saw the biggest crude oil short squeeze on record as money managers cut bets on falling prices by the most ever. Hedge funds trimmed their short position in WTI by 56,907 futures and options during the week ended Aug. 16,the most in data going back to 2006. As a result WTI soared nearly 10% in the past week, pushing it into a bull market just three weeks after it tumbled into a bear market.