Irrational Exuberance

BofA: "Central Banks Are Now In A Desperate Dilemma"..."Start Buying Volatility"

"Central banks, the reason behind high asset prices and low vol, are now in desperate dilemma: politically unacceptable for bubble on Wall St, but central banks will be tightening into deflation; inflection point for volatility is upon us and we recommend investors buy volatility....Fed tightening in 2017 could easily be followed by easing in 2018, in our view."

A Record Number Of Market Participants Says The Market Is Overvalued, Surpassing 1999 Bubble Highs

The latest monthly Fund Managers (FMS) survey from Bank of America is out, and continuing the trend noted in previous months when the number of active managers who said that stocks are overvalued hit the highest in nearly two decades, the latest version reveals that the number of respondents saying that equities are overvalued has just hit a record high, surpassing the all time high set during the 1999 bubble.

Animal Spirits Are A Late-Stage Event

“While the temptations are great, and the pressures strong, illusions in numbers are only that - ephemeral, and ultimately self-destructive.

New Home Prices Are Over 50% Higher In Canada Than The US

The price of new homes is quickly diverging in Canada and the US. Are Americans being overly cautious on homeownership, or are Canadians demonstrating irrational exuberance for homeownership, much like the US did in a pre-2006 America?

Cryptocurency Chaos: Bitcoin Bounces Back After Crashing As Asian Fever Re-Emerges

After crashing $500 from its intraday highs today, Bitcoin has bounced back $300 off its intraday lows extending gains into what is likely to be another frenetic Asian session. While there are numerous drivers of the recent action, 'scaling' and 'asian fever' are the greatest factors with Japanese and Korean premia exploding.

ECB Warns Of "Excessive Exuberance" In House Prices; Sees Financial Instability Due To Higher Yields

In an unexpected two-part warning from the ECB, the European Central Bank warned of “excessive exuberance” in some European housing markets, driven by offshore buyers, that could spread to other areas in a “ripple effect.” Separately, the ECB also said "debt-sustainability concerns" have risen in the past six months amid a potential increase in yields and political uncertainty in some countries.

BofA Finally Asks "Is The Tech Bubble Happening Again?"

"US growth stocks just surpassed 2000 “bubble” highs vs global value stocks; data on valuation, flows, and the relationship between equities and bond yields are all good clues that a speculative overshoot has begun; there are nascent signs we are in the very early stages of an overshoot."