Italy

Frontrunning: December 9

  • Futures rise as 'Trump rally' rolls on (Reuters), Oil Advances as European Stocks Extend Gains; Korean Won Slides (BBG)
  • Syrian government forces press attack in east Aleppo (Reuters)
  • Trump: China Will Have to ‘Play by the Rules’ (BBG)
  • Trump’s Cabinet Picks Signal Coming Deregulation Moves (WSJ)
  • Russia’s Military Buildup on the Baltic to Test Trump on NATO (WSJ)
  • OPEC’s Historic Deal Won’t Be Enough to Drain Oil Stockpiles (BBG)

Russia-Europe Relationship: On The Threshold Of A New Era

The calls to lift the sanctions and improve the relationship with Moscow are growing stronger. The EU has started turning toward Russia. The trend is becoming increasingly apparent. The recent events clearly demonstrate that Russia and Europe are on the threshold of a new era in the history of their relationship.

Presenting SocGen's "Most Frightening Credit Chart"

"I sometimes feel like ‘The Grim Reaper’, scouring the research savannah in a ghoulish quest to harvest bad news with a forceful sweep of my scythe. Imagine then my perverse delight when our credit team produced what is one of the scariest charts I have seen for a very long time." = Albert Edwards

The Globalization Genie's Long Left The Bottle

Empty labels, fake news and oceans of debt keep the systems - somewhat - going for now. But the genie’s long left the bottle. The ‘incumbents’ have failed their people for far too long, most of all economically. And they keep on claiming that everything will be alright, everyone will be better off if only we execute more globalization, and give them all a few pennies more.

Global Equity Euphoria Prepares To Meet Mario Draghi

There’s seemingly no stopping the equity side of the “Trumpflation” trade in what may be developing into an epic year end blow-off top. The euphoria which took the S&P 500, Russell 2000 and the Transports to all-time highs yesterday, and the Dow to less than 500 points away from 20,000 carried over into Asian stocks (+0.8%) as they followed bullish trend, while European stocks rose for a fourth day.

The Next Domino Falls As Predicted... Here's What Comes Next

A populist tsunami is washing through Europe. It will drastically change the Continent’s political landscape in a way not seen since before World War II. This wave will flush away traditional “mainstream” parties and usher in anti-establishment populists who want to leave the euro currency and the European Union.

ECB Preview: The Market's All-In But "There's A Significant Chance Draghi Disappoints"

Blackrock's chief multi-asset strategist summed up tomorrow's anxiously awaited ECB meeting best by noting that "what’s priced into markets is a fully fledged extension of the [bond-buying] program," but warns that, thanks to a muted reaction to the Italy vote and recent encouraging data, "there’s a significant chance the ECB disappoints markets." As bond traders bet on a six-month QE extension, Citi warns, anything less will be seen as hawkish and send EUR surging.

Moody's Cuts Italy Ratings Outlook To Negative

Moody's has cut Italy's long-term senior unsecuredd government debt rating outlook from 'stable' to 'negative', leaving it at Baa2 for now. Citing "slow and halting progress" on economic and fiscal reform in Italy, noting that reduction in Italy’s large debt burden will be further postponed given subdued medium-term growth prospects, recent fiscal slippage.

Italy Threatens ECB With Blackmail; Demands More Time For Monte Paschi Rescue

Rome is demanding the ECB give it more time to rescue the third largest Italian bank. That was to be expected, what is surprising, however, is that as the FT adds, Italy is "preparing to blame the bank for losses imposed on bondholders if Rome is forced into an urgent state bailout", a negotiating tactic some could call blackmail.

Italy PM Renzi To Resign Today After Approval Of Budget Bill

In what appears to be an unexpected development, following yesterday's news that Renzi would hold off resigning for the immediate future, moments ago the Italian prime minister tweeted that he would formally resign at 7pm local time, well ahead of expectations, following passage of the budget bill.

Gold & Silver Spike, Erase Italy Vote Losses

After puking over $30 from post-Italy vote highs, gold prices are jumping this morning and have erased the losses. Silver is soaring, breaking back above $17, well above pre-Italy levels...