Goldman Downgrades S&P 500, Stoxx 600 To Sell, Cites "Elevated Valuations And The Risk Of Shocks"

After tactfully warning clients for months that staying invested in US stocks and bonds is an unacceptable risk, overnight Goldman's Peter Oppenheimer finally changed Goldman's official "tactical" bias, and as of this moment recommends selling not only bonds, as well as the S&P500 and Europe's Stoxx 600 "due to elevated valuations across assets and the risk of shocks."

US Futures, European Stocks Rebound, Bonds Fall Ahead Of US Data Deluge

The overnight session started with more weakness out of Asia, where chatter that the BOJ may end up doing nothing despite all the trial balloons (as we hinted yesterday), sent the USDJPY sliding, pushing the Nikkei lower, leading to a 7th consecutive decline in the Topix, the longest such stretch since 2014 even though the BOJ is now actively buying a record amount of ETFs. However, the modest dip in S&P futures and European stocks proved too much for BTFD algos, and risk promptly rebounded.

European Leaders Discuss Plan For European Army

"We are going to move towards an EU army much faster than people believe." But the creation of a European army, a long-held goal of European federalists, would entail an unprecedented transfer of sovereignty from European nation states to unelected bureaucrats in Brussels, the de facto capital of the EU.

IMF's Lagarde Slams Globalization, Warns Of A "Groundswell Of Discontent"

"... growing inequality in wealth, income, and opportunity in many countries has added to a groundswell of discontent, especially in the industrialized world—a growing sense among some citizens that they “lack control,” that the system is somehow against them. Financial institutions are being seen as unaccountable to society.... Corruption remains endemic."

Dow Futures Slide Over 100 Points Despite Fed's Dovish Relent; Oil Drops On IEA Pessimism

After yesterday's torrid rally, which sent stocks higher the most in 2 months on the back of Lael Brainard surprisingly dovish comments, we have seen an unexpected profit-taking session overnight in ES, with US equity futures down 0.6%, driven largely by a renewed drop in oil prices which slid after the IEA said a surplus in global markets will last longer than initially estimated, persisting well into 2017 as reported previously.

Frontrunning: September 12

  • Selloff gathers pace as stimulus pullback fears deepen (Reuters)
  • Clinton's bout of pneumonia raises worries for Democrats (Reuters)
  • Google's Self-Driving Car Project Is Losing Out to Rivals (BBG)
  • OPEC sees more oil supply from rivals, implying larger 2017 surplus (Reuters)
  • Oil falls as U.S. drills more (Reuters)

Negative Rates & The War On Cash, Part 4: "Financial Totalitarianism"

Governments and central banks would very much like to frighten people away from cash, but that only underlines its value under the current circumstances. Cash is king in a deflation. The powers-that-be know that, and would like the available cash to end up concentrated in their own hands rather than spread out to act as seed capital for a bottom-up recovery. Holding on to cash under one’s own control is still going to be a very important option for maintaining freedom of action in an uncertain future.

Why One Hedge Fund Is Once Again Preparing For The End Of The Euro

"The time for treating the EUR-peg as a taboo may soon be past us, and an open discussion become the dominant narrative, in pursuit of a long-term durable solution to economic stagnation, in an attempt to save the European Union, so to orderly drive the process as opposed to end up being overwhelmed by the trending course of events."

The American Golden Calf

Time and gradualism can change a system all the way from human liberty to slavery (the animal farm) over a few generations without anyone being aware except a very few, those who ask questions. “America, love it or leave it,” is a tired canard.

Why The Eurozone Will Self-Destruct

Fireworks are going off in Germany again in yet another battle between Wolfgang Schaeuble, Germany’s finance minister, and the ECB.

A Political Hurricane Is About To Sweep Across Europe

If you’ve been paying attention, you could see this coming a mile away. Brexit is just the start of a much, much bigger trend..."The backlash we are witnessing represents a worldwide revolt against globalism and the disconnected and hopelessly corrupt status quo."

Stock Market Bubble Will Pop, Social Mood Will Get Extremely Ugly

Buying equities will put additional pressure on corporate CEOs to cut expenses and to postpone investments, fostering even greater Main Street resentment toward the financial elite. Consumer confidence won’t rise as consumption and economic growth stagnate. Having so clearly sided with owners of capital, rather than the employees of capital, global central banks are likely to become an easy target for populist ire.