Italy

The Coming Bond Market Crash - An Interview With Eric Hadik

"I believe 2017--2021 will represent the end and reversal of that multi-decade trend - as the debt bubble bursts and bond markets begin to crash... Each phase was a desperate battle between centralized, governmental control of currency versus universal, hard-asset based currency. And each phase saw the acceleration and intensification of that battle take hold in the ‘7’ year."

Global Stocks Drop On Poor Earnings, Bond "Bloodbath" Ahead Of US Q3 GDP

S&P futures and Asian stocks were little changed while European shares fell as the global bonds sell-off deepened on speculation major central banks are moving closer to reining in stimulus, while stocks retreated after disappointing results from companies including Amazon.com and AB InBev.

Frontrunning: October 27

  • Clinton Foundation’s Fundraisers Pressed Donors to Steer Business to Former President (WSJ)
  • Democrats ask judge to sanction Republicans over Trump (Reuters)
  • Inside the Trump Bunker, With 12 Days to Go (BBG)
  • U.K. Growth Shows an Economy Resilient to Brexit (BBG)
  • Qualcomm to buy NXP Semiconductors for about $47 billion including debt (Reuters)

Strong 5.4 Magnitude Quake Hits Central Italy, Rattles Rome

A strong, 5.4 magnitude earthquake hit a rural region in central Italy on Wednesday evening, and rattled Rome, just two months after a powerful temblor toppled villages in central Italy, killing nearly 300 people. According to AP, there were no immediate reports of damage. But the quake shook centuries-old palazzi in Rome's historic center.

Frontrunning: October 26

  • Florida Once Again a Focus in 2016 Campaign (WSJ)
  • Trump Has Slim Edge in Bloomberg Poll of Florida (BBG)
  • NATO seeks troops to deter Russia on eastern flank (Reuters)
  • Arbs Stay on Sidelines of AT&T-Time Warner Deal (WSJ)
  • Holiday Forecast for Apple Crumbles (BBG)
  • Saudi Arabia Faces Tough OPEC Equation With Mounting ‘Exemptions’ (BBG)

Adoption Of The Euro Has Been 'Unequivocally Bad' For Southern European Economies

Some say that the common currency prevents less productive economies from cheating by weakening their national currencies and forces them to become more efficient and competitive. Industrial production data shows that it is not the case. Italy, France, Greece and Portugal have not only stopped producing more; they are producing now less than in 1990! The decay started immediately after the introduction of the euro in 2002!

Austria Sells €2 Billion In 70 Year Bonds, Pushes Global Duration Risk To Record High

The latest evidence of the unprecedented scramble for yield and duration came yesterday when it was revealed that Austria would join the rest of the Eurozone in selling ultra-long dated debt in the form of 70 Year bonds. It didn't take long to find willing buyers, and moments ago Bloomberg reported that this offering has just priced to yield 53 bps more than that on the February 2047 security.

Monte Paschi Plunges As Much As 39% On Debt-For-Equity Fears After Surging In Past Week

After a furious rally in the past week on hopes that Italy's oldest, and most insolvent, bank, Siena's Monte Paschi has turned the corner and would return to profitability while outside investors would finally help it in its seemingly endless quest to find $5 billion in outside capital, today BMPS shares plunged after first opening limit up in what can only be characterized as a roller coast market.

US Futures, Global Stocks, Metals Rise On Economic Confidence, Upbeat Earnings

European, Asian stocks and S&P futures are all up again in early trading, a repeat of the Monday session, buoyed by a generally upbeat corporate earnings season, rising economic confidence and signs of improvement in the world’s biggest economies. After Charles Evans' hawkish comments on Monday, the market is now pricing in a 71% chance of a rate increase this year, up from 68% last week.