Maybe it is a good thing markets are closed in the US today, as the world is certainly not sharing America's festiveness. The ES was down 22 at last check. The FTSE (yes, the entire index) was halted for more than 3 hours earlier, in expectation of the second coming of Jerome Kerviel. The FTSE futures, however, continued trading, and are now at the lows of the day, down 128. And all bets are off in Dubai where CDS for Dubai World, and its linked Dubai sovereign, were wider by about 120 bps. Dubai World hit 612 bps while Dubai is at 545. The spread between the two entities, which Bloomberg describes as "Dubai World is a holding company for the Government of Dubai", is converging by the second, as can be seen on the chart below. With everyone expecting the next domino to come out of Eastern Europe, it is only fitting that it would instead appear in the Persian Gulf.