JPMorgan Chase

AT&T Purchase Of Time Warner Greeted By Skepticism On Wall Street, Scrutiny In Congress

15 years after it was part of one historic merger, Time Warner is getting bought again, and while the current deal is roughly half the size of AOL's historic $164 billion acquisition of Time Warner in 2000 it's still a big enough deal that it's drawing attention on the campaign trail from both candidates, and to generate millions in revenues for Wall Street banks eager to sell the $40 billion in debt needed to fund the deal.

Global Stocks, Futures Jump On Strong China Inflation; Oil Rises Above $51

One day after a slump in Chinese trade sparked a global market selloff on concerns the world's second biggest economy had once again hit a downward inflection point, overnight China surprised once again, this time to the upside when the latest inflationary data printed hotter than expected, sending European and Asian stocks higher and pushing the yen lower after China’s producer price index rose for the first time since March 2012.

Deutsche Bank Implements Hiring Freeze, Stock Slides

While much attention in recent weeks has fallen on Deutsche Bank's balance sheet, today we got a timely reminder that the bank also has substantial income statement problems when Bloomberg reported that the biggest German lender is implementing a companywide hiring freeze as CEO John Cryan "seeks to lower costs and shore up investor confidence."

Frontrunning: October 10

  • Rancorous Debate Gets Personal (WSJ)
  • In debate, Trump signals aggressive close to his campaign (AP)
  • Trump Ends Nightmare Weekend With Over-the-Top Debate (BBG)
  • Trump vs Clinton: He calls her a devil, she says he abuses women (Reuters)
  • Ryan discussed revoking Trump endorsement (Politico)
  • Trump's body language during debate raises social media eyebrows (Reuters)

Turkey Lashes Out At Moody's After Downgrade To "Junk" Sends Turkish Assets Plunging

Turkish assets plummeted the most since an attempted coup in July and credit risk climbed after Moody’s Investors Service cut the country’s sovereign rating to junk. The immediate response by the Turkish administration was to lash out at Moody's calling the decision "politically-motivated", after a similar downgrade by S&P led Erdogan to acuse the agency of siding with coup plotters.

Deutsche Bank Stock Plunges To All Time Low After Merkel Rules Out State Bailout; Default Risk Surges

As reported over the weekend, in an unexpected announcement Angela Merkel announced that she has ruled out state aid for Deutsche Bank, and the market reaction has been swift and brutal, with the bank's shares tumbling to a new all time low, sliding more than 6% this morning to €10.70, as the company's default risk has soared higher and is now the widest name in the Markit iTraxx index.

Frontrunning: September 23

  • Futures slip after three-day rally as oil dips (Reuters)
  • Charlotte protests diminish early on Friday as family views video (Reuters)
  • Undecided Voters Are Proving a Tough Sell for Clinton and Trump (BBG)
  • Facebook Overestimated Key Video Metric For Two Years (WSJ)
  • Trump received $1.6 million from Secret Service (Politico)

Global Stocks, US Futures Rebound As Oil Rises, Dollar Drops

Stocks across the board, and US equity futures are broadly in the green this morning as markets shrug off the terror-related events in the NYC area over the weekend.  There wasn’t a single positive “reason” for the green price action but fears about the bond “tantrum” appear to be fading while a stronger dollar helped push oil and the commodity complex higher.

A Chinese "Mystery" Has Become The Biggest Wildcard For The Price Of Oil

As attention turns to what is now the biggest wildcard in global oil demand, one which could directly lead to the evaporation of up to 1 mmbpd in demand, Bloomberg writes that "the world is puzzling" over China's Strategic Oil Reserve, and with good reason:  if 1mm barrels of oil demand were to disappear, the price of oil would plunge as the already oversupplied market would find itself with an unprecedented glut of excess production.

Global Stocks Decline Along With The Dollar, As Jackson Hole Begins

Global stocks declined broadly, led by European equities which fell for the first time this week while currency markets continued their subdued tone even as the recent 4-day rally in the USD appears to have topped out, as investors took to sidelines ahead of the Jackson Hole meeting which begins tonight. Japanese and Chinese stocks had suffered modest drops in Asia.  S&P 500 Index futures slipped 0.2%, continuing yesterday's modest selloff.