JPMorgan Chase

VIX Tumbles, S&P Futures, Global Stocks Rebound Sharply As Korea Fears Fade

Global stocks and S&P futures rebounded sharply on Monday as tensions over an imminent conflict with Pyongyang receded after U.S. officials played down the likelihood of a nuclear conflict with North Korea, recovering from fears of a U.S.-North Korea nuclear standoff drove them to the biggest weekly losses of 2017, while the dollar too rose off four-month lows it had hit against the yen.

Frontrunning: August 7

  • Futures slightly higher after Dow's record run (Reuters)
  • Tillerson says U.S., Russia can settle differences (Reuters)
  • Hot-Stock Rally Tests the Patience of Value Investors (WSJ)
  • ‘Good Conservative’ Grassley Ramps Up His Panel’s Trump-Russia Probe (BBG)
  • Brands Strike Back: Seven Strategies to Loosen Amazon’s Grip (WSJ)

Zuckerberg's Recent Hires Tell Us A Lot About His Worldview And It's Not Good

"All of this proves that Mark Zuckerberg has absolutely no creativity or genuine insight when it comes to political thinking. He runs straight to the same neoliberal strategists and corporate Democrats that Americans are sick and tired of, and offers nothing new other than a technocratic face on a failed and expired political class. Ten million cross country road trips to Iowa will never alter this reality."

Earnings Beat "Fist Pumps" Very Muted This Quarter

"...shares of companies that have reported both better-than-expected profits and sales for the second quarter have barely budged this earnings season. It’s the least fist-bumping investors have done for great quarters in 17 years."

Frontrunning: July 27

  • Healthcare showdown (Reuters)
  • Tax Overhaul in Doubt With House Stuck on Budget Disagreements (BBG)
  • Dollar steadies after Fed skid, shares hit new highs (Reuters)
  • Samsung Is Closing In on Apple as World’s Most Profitable Tech Firm (WSJ)
  • Sweden's PM Refuses to Resign After Cyber-Security Scandal (BBG)

Barclays Exit Of Energy Business Triggers Surge In Oil Options Trades

Several hours before the US stock market opened on Monday, the commodity world was shaken by an unexpected surge in crude options trades, with traders noting that "someone is either moving positions, blown up or getting out of commodities. MASSIVE amount of blocks going through in crude options." As it turns out they were right: Barclays was exiting the last part of its oil book.

Euro Surges To 2-Year High In "Bipolar" Draghi Reaction; Futures Flat

"Draghi tried to talk the Euro down, even going so far as to suggest that ECB’s quantitative easing could be increased and prolonged," said Swissquote Bank's Yann Quelenn. "But the currency markets were not buying Draghi’s line, and neither are we. Available bonds are too scarce, and turn to a taper is too clear to disguise."

When A "Black Swan" Will No Longer Do: China Warns Beware The "Gray Rhino"

In surprisingly stark commentary, China issued a warning that the economy finds itself in a backdrop of growing enterprise debt, an overheating real estate market, and overcapacity in such sectors as low-end manufacturing, and cautioned investors that a "gray rhino" may be coming.

KKR Names Successors To Co-Founders Henry Kravis, George Roberts

Iconic Private Equity firm Kohlberg Kravis Roberts i.e., KKR, has appointed two executives to succeed co-founders Henry Kravis and George Roberts, in what the FT dubs is a "rare move for an industry where succession plans have not been set out publicly."