JPMorgan Chase

US Futures Flat, Rebound From Session Lows On Rising Election Jitters

Asian stocks, S&P futures and European shares trade flat as a tightening race for the U.S. presidency spurs demand for haven assets including the yen while weighing on stocks and Mexico’s peso. A turbulent overnight session saw some early risk off following the plunge in Facebook shares and the Fox News report that an FBI probe into the Clinton foundation may lead to a "likely indictment."

Waking Up In Hillary Clinton's America

With less than two weeks to go before E-day -- despite the Trumptilian upheaval of the last year -- the high probability of a Clinton win means the establishment remains intact. When we awaken on November 9th, it will undoubtedly be dawn in Hillary Clinton’s America and that potentially means four years of an economic dystopia that will (as would Donald Trump’s version of the same) leave many Americans rightfully anxious about their economic futures.

AT&T Purchase Of Time Warner Greeted By Skepticism On Wall Street, Scrutiny In Congress

15 years after it was part of one historic merger, Time Warner is getting bought again, and while the current deal is roughly half the size of AOL's historic $164 billion acquisition of Time Warner in 2000 it's still a big enough deal that it's drawing attention on the campaign trail from both candidates, and to generate millions in revenues for Wall Street banks eager to sell the $40 billion in debt needed to fund the deal.

Global Stocks, Futures Jump On Strong China Inflation; Oil Rises Above $51

One day after a slump in Chinese trade sparked a global market selloff on concerns the world's second biggest economy had once again hit a downward inflection point, overnight China surprised once again, this time to the upside when the latest inflationary data printed hotter than expected, sending European and Asian stocks higher and pushing the yen lower after China’s producer price index rose for the first time since March 2012.

Deutsche Bank Implements Hiring Freeze, Stock Slides

While much attention in recent weeks has fallen on Deutsche Bank's balance sheet, today we got a timely reminder that the bank also has substantial income statement problems when Bloomberg reported that the biggest German lender is implementing a companywide hiring freeze as CEO John Cryan "seeks to lower costs and shore up investor confidence."

Frontrunning: October 10

  • Rancorous Debate Gets Personal (WSJ)
  • In debate, Trump signals aggressive close to his campaign (AP)
  • Trump Ends Nightmare Weekend With Over-the-Top Debate (BBG)
  • Trump vs Clinton: He calls her a devil, she says he abuses women (Reuters)
  • Ryan discussed revoking Trump endorsement (Politico)
  • Trump's body language during debate raises social media eyebrows (Reuters)

Turkey Lashes Out At Moody's After Downgrade To "Junk" Sends Turkish Assets Plunging

Turkish assets plummeted the most since an attempted coup in July and credit risk climbed after Moody’s Investors Service cut the country’s sovereign rating to junk. The immediate response by the Turkish administration was to lash out at Moody's calling the decision "politically-motivated", after a similar downgrade by S&P led Erdogan to acuse the agency of siding with coup plotters.

Deutsche Bank Stock Plunges To All Time Low After Merkel Rules Out State Bailout; Default Risk Surges

As reported over the weekend, in an unexpected announcement Angela Merkel announced that she has ruled out state aid for Deutsche Bank, and the market reaction has been swift and brutal, with the bank's shares tumbling to a new all time low, sliding more than 6% this morning to €10.70, as the company's default risk has soared higher and is now the widest name in the Markit iTraxx index.

Frontrunning: September 23

  • Futures slip after three-day rally as oil dips (Reuters)
  • Charlotte protests diminish early on Friday as family views video (Reuters)
  • Undecided Voters Are Proving a Tough Sell for Clinton and Trump (BBG)
  • Facebook Overestimated Key Video Metric For Two Years (WSJ)
  • Trump received $1.6 million from Secret Service (Politico)

Global Stocks, US Futures Rebound As Oil Rises, Dollar Drops

Stocks across the board, and US equity futures are broadly in the green this morning as markets shrug off the terror-related events in the NYC area over the weekend.  There wasn’t a single positive “reason” for the green price action but fears about the bond “tantrum” appear to be fading while a stronger dollar helped push oil and the commodity complex higher.