Lehman

Frontrunning: May 19

  • Dollar remains weak as beating eases for global stocks (Reuters); Global Stocks Edge Higher as Commodity Prices Rise (WSJ)
  • Trump Mideast Trip Aims to Bolster Ties, Shift U.S. Spotlight (WSJ)
  • Trump Heads Abroad With White House in Crisis (BBG)
  • Russia Probe Heats Up as Trump Tries to Limit Damage (WSJ)
  • Iranians queue up to vote in fiercely-contested presidential election (Reuters)

Frontrunning: May 15

  • Oil Jumps Over Output Deal (BBG), Saudi Arabia, Russia Favor Extending Oil Cuts Through Next March (BBG)
  • Trump Doctrine Confounds G-7 as Ministers Kick Can to Sicily (BBG)
  • Senate GOP’s agenda is at a moment of reckoning with unpredictable Trump (WaPo)
  • White House Races to Fill FBI Job (WSJ)
  • Former Trump Employees Say He Taped Phone Conversations (WSJ)
  • Monday morning blues as 'WannaCry' hits at workweek's start (AP)

How To Stick It To Your Banker, The Fed, & The Whole Doggone Fiat Money System

Through his insane quantitative easing policies Bernanke inflated the Fed’s balance sheet from under $1 trillion to over $4.5 trillion. In Bernanke’s mind, this was his great courageous act. We’ve all been living with the results of his courage – low growth, low bond yields, high debt, inflated asset prices, stagnant wages, currency erosion, and more – for nearly a decade.  Quite frankly, it stinks. What can you do about it?

Axiom: "Red Flags" Suggest China Credit Event Is "Closer Than It Appears"

The more recent red flags are among the most profound we’ve seen in years – in short, we agree with fresh observations made by some of the world’s most famous iron ore bears. Thus, while it is nearly impossible to pinpoint exactly when the credit bubble will definitively pop in China, a number of recent events, in our view, suggest the threat level is currently at red/severe

China's Plan To Subvert The Global Dollar Standard

The instability brought into the geopolitical equation by the Trump presidency, and the early signs the US economy is grinding to a halt under the sheer weight of consumer and government debt, are increasingly likely to prompt China and Russia into firm financial action, if only to protect themselves in an unstable financial and monetary environment.

Of Bunkers, Bankers, & Black Swans

And suddenly the storms of early Trumptopia subside, or seem to. Rest easy America… oh, and buy every dip... But be warned, a calm surface is exactly what Black Swans like to land on...

It's Different This Time...

Throughout history, financial bubbles have only been recognized in hindsight when their existence becomes “apparently obvious” to everyone. Of course, by that point is was far too late to be of any use to investors and the subsequent destruction of invested capital. This time will not be different. Only the catalyst, magnitude, and duration will be.

Chinese Stocks Give Up Trump Gains As $1.7 Trillion Source Of Funds Unwinds

The Chinese and U.S. stock markets are going in opposite directions, as an intensifying crackdown against leverage has slammed the recently 'stable' Shanghai Composite over the past week, erasing all post-Trump gains. The relatsionship between the two markets is the weakest since August 2008 - just before the collapse of Lehman unleashed chaos on the global financial system.