Phoenix Capital Research's picture

One by One the Central Banks Are Losing Control

The fact of the matter is that despite public opinion, there are problems that are so big that the Central Banks cannot fix them. We’ve seen this in Switzerland and China and now in Europe. It will be spreading to other countries in the near future.

Tyler Durden's picture

"Economic" Advice To The President (Laissez-Faire Austrian Vs. Anti-Market Keynesian)

Dear Mr. President, your country faces a stagnating economy... The truth is it is too late for our politicians to act, because the speculative peak that precedes the crisis is already upon us.

Tyler Durden's picture

Permabulls Whistling Past The Grave

The Fed was out in force yesterday peddling some pretty heavy-duty malarkey about the up-coming rate liftoff at the December meeting..."If we begin to raise interest rates, that’s a good thing." That’s not a bad thing." Goldman is putting out the final mullet call for this Bubble Cycle because it knows that this bull is dying; that insiders still have massive amounts of stock winnings to unload; and that the clock is fast running out. The expiring clock is evident in the S&P 500’s one-year round trip to nowhere. Despite the fact that the Fed has ponied-up a stick save at every single meeting this year, the market’s 27 separate efforts to rally have all failed for the simple reason that the jig is up.

Tyler Durden's picture

Frontrunning: November 12

  • Stock futures little changed as Yellen comments awaited (Reuters)
  • Draghi stimulus hint underpins stocks, knocks euro (Reuters)
  • Black Friday's Losing Its Mojo and Retailers Might Be Relieved (BBG)
  • Macy’s Fights Downward Spiral With Bet on Off-Price Backstage Stores (WSJ)
  • Greece Comes to a Standstill as Unions Turn Against Tsipras (BBG)
  • Euro zone production falls more than expected in September (Reuters)
  • Valeant played a key role in building, operating Philidor RX (Reuters)
Tyler Durden's picture

Euro Crushed By Draghi's Latest "Whatever It Takes" Moment; Fed Speaker Barrage On Deck

The biggest event overnight came from Europe, where Draghi managed to once again jawbone the Euro lower by ober 50 pips when he told European lawmakers in a prepared testimony that downside economic risks are "clearly visible," repeating his October press conference statement, adding that the ECB will reexamine degree of accommodation in December as "inflation dynamics have somewhat weakened." And the statement that crushed the Euro: "If we were to conclude that our medium-term price stability objective is at risk, we would act by using all the instruments available within our mandate to ensure that an appropriate degree of monetary accommodation is maintained." I.e., another "whatever it takes" moment.

Tyler Durden's picture

"Currency War By 1000 Cuts" Continues - PBOC Weakens Yuan For Longest Streak Since Lehman

Amid warnings from Daiwa Capital Markets that policy-makers "will sacrifice Yuan stability" in order to manage the deterioration in the economy (trade and industrial production data confirming the weakness), The PBOC weakened the Yuan fix for the 8th straight day. This is the longest streak of weakness since August 2008.

Tyler Durden's picture

Chinese Stocks Longest Win Streak Since Bubble Peak After CPI, Commodities Tumble; Philippines Exports Crash

A busy night in Asia began with a total collapse in Philippines Exports (-24.7% YoY - the biggest miss since Lehman). This was quickly followed by a 0.3% drop (deflation) in CPI MoM (thanks to a drop in pork -1.9%, eggs -6.9%, and veggies -5.6%) which sparked buying in stocks (because moar stimulus). Chatter of a few large fund houses under investigation stymied the rally quickly but as nobody was summoned stocks recovered, then rallied strongly back into the green on renewed chatter of Stock Connect occurring sooner than expected. With CSI-300 (China's S&P 500), up at the break, this is the longest winning streak since the peak of the bubble in May. And finally Shanghai Copper and Nickel tumbled to new multi-year lows, dragging Bloomberg's Commodity Index to fresh 16-year lows.

Tyler Durden's picture

Frontrunning: November 9

  • Global Stocks Slip Lower (WSJ)
  • Dollar sits pretty, bond yields rise as Fed bets firm (Reuters)
  • Takeover Loans Have Few Takers on Wall Street (WSJ)
  • Chinese Buyers Seek Dollar Assets as Promise of Yuan Gains Fades (BBG)
  • Banking Giants Learn Cost of Preventing Another Lehman Moment (BBG)
  • Eurozone Finance Ministers Won’t Release $2.15 billion Loan to Greece (WSJ)
Tyler Durden's picture

Emerging Markets Slide On Strong Dollar; China Surges On Bad Data, IPOs; Futures Falter

Once again, the two major macroeconomic announcements over the weekend came from China, where we first saw an unexpected, if still to be confirmed, increase in FX reserves, and then Chinese trade data once again disappointed tumbling by 6.9% while imports plunged 18.8%. So how did the market react? The Shanghai Composite Index rose for a fourth day and reached its highest since August 20because more bad data means more easing from the PBOC, and just to give what few investors are left the green light to come back into the pool, overnight Chinese brokers soared after Chinese IPOs returned after a 5 month hiatus. Elsewhere, Stocks and currencies in emerging markets slump on prospect of higher U.S. borrowing costs before year-end and after data underscored slowdown in Asia’s biggest economy. Euro strengthens.

Tyler Durden's picture

The Next Level of John Law Type Central Planning Madness

The cries for going totally crazy are growing louder... the lunatics are running the asylum. One shouldn’t underestimate what they are capable of. The only consolation is that the day will come when the monetary cranks will be discredited again (for the umpteenth time). Thereafter it will presumably take a few decades before these ideas will rear their head again (like an especially sturdy weed, the idea that inflationism can promote prosperity seems nigh ineradicable in the long term – it always rises from the ashes again). The bad news is that many of us will probably still be around when the bill for these idiocies will be presented.

Tyler Durden's picture

Wholesale Money Markets Are "Perverted" - US Swap Spreads Hit Record Lows

At the height of the financial crisis, the unprecedented decline in swap rates below Treasury yields was seen as an anomaly. The phenomenon is now widespread, as Bloomberg notes, what Fabozzi's bible of swap-pricing calls a "perversion" is now the rule all the way from 30Y to 2Y maturities. As one analyst notes, historical interpretations of this have been destroyed and if the flip to negative spreads persists, it would signal that its roots are in a combination of regulators’ efforts to head off another financial crisis, massive corporate issuance (which we are seeing), China selling pressure (and its impact on repo markets) and "broken" wholesale money-markets.

Tyler Durden's picture

US, Japanese Stocks Extend Losses; Turkish Lira Soars Most In 7 Years As Gold Mini-Flash-Crashes

Despite the world seemingly exuberant at Turkey's fraud election, sparking the biggest rally in the Lira since Nov 2008 (confirming once again that "markets love totalitarian governments,") it appears the centrally-planned machinations of the US equity markets are not living up to their promises of wealth for all (and rate-hikes don't matter). US and Japanese equity futures are opening notably lower, erasing all of the post-Fed exuberance with Dow Futs down over 200 points from pre-BoJ hope highs. Finally, gold futures were hammered lower at the Asia open (on heavy volume) only to rip back to practically unchanged.

Tyler Durden's picture

ISIS Releases Video Of Alleged Russian Airplane Mid-Air Exposion After It Claims Responsibility For Disaster


In other words, a proxy organization of US "shadow government destabilizing operations", trained in U.S. ally Turkey, and openly funded by both U.S. allies Saudi Arabia and Qatar, just took down a Russian plane.

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