Lloyds

Frontrunning: November 23

  • S&P 500 Futures Signal Rally Ebbing; Bonds Decline in Europe (BBG)
  • Oil prices capped by doubts OPEC-led cut will end glut (Reuters)
  • Fed Minutes to Be Parsed for Insight on Inflation, Jobs (WSJ)
  • Trump keeping 'open mind' on pulling out of climate deal (Reuters)
  • Trump Raises Prospect of Keeping Ties to His Firms (WSJ)

S&P Set To Open At All Time High, Boosted By Rising Crude On More "OPEC Deal Optimism"

European and Asian stocks rose after the early scare from the latest Fukushima quake dissipated, with the global risk on mood spurred by another jump in crude, which was up 1% in early trading, with the commodity complex now enjoying its biggest three-day rally since May, after Nigeria signaled optimism that OPEC will agree a supply-cut deal next week in Vienna. S&P futures are up 0.3%, with the cash index set to open at new record highs.

Frontrunning: November 10

  • Trump Victory Starts New Era for GOP (WSJ)
  • President-Elect Trump Goes to Washington to Begin Transition (BBG)
  • Trump Team Plans First Months (WSJ)
  • The Promises of President-elect Donald Trump, in His Own Words (BBG)
  • Donald Trump Transition Team Planning First Months in Office (WSJ)

Frontrunning: October 27

  • Clinton Foundation’s Fundraisers Pressed Donors to Steer Business to Former President (WSJ)
  • Democrats ask judge to sanction Republicans over Trump (Reuters)
  • Inside the Trump Bunker, With 12 Days to Go (BBG)
  • U.K. Growth Shows an Economy Resilient to Brexit (BBG)
  • Qualcomm to buy NXP Semiconductors for about $47 billion including debt (Reuters)

Frontrunning: October 13

  • Weak China data, stronger dollar send global stocks skidding (Reuters)
  • Oil price gains limited by higher OPEC output, U.S. crude stocks (Reuters)
  • Wells Fargo CEO Stumpf Quits in Fallout From Fake Accounts (BBG)
  • SEC Said to Demand That Cooperman Agree to Hedge Fund Suspension (BBG)
  • FBI, DOJ roiled by Comey, Lynch decision to let Clinton slide by on emails, says insider (Fox)

Global Stocks, US Futures Rebound As Oil Rises, Dollar Drops

Stocks across the board, and US equity futures are broadly in the green this morning as markets shrug off the terror-related events in the NYC area over the weekend.  There wasn’t a single positive “reason” for the green price action but fears about the bond “tantrum” appear to be fading while a stronger dollar helped push oil and the commodity complex higher.

Frontrunning: August 25

  • Stock futures lower as countdown to Yellen speech begins (Reuters)
  • Italy quake death toll nears 250 as rescuers search demolished towns (Reuters)
  • Central bankers eye public spending to plug $1 trillion investment gap (Reuters)
  • Chelsea Clinton Plans to Stay on Board of Family Foundation (WSJ)
  • Bond Traders Are Desperate for Direction From Yellen in Jackson Hole (BBG)

Frontrunning: August 24

  • 'Voices under the rubble' after quake hits Italy; at least 38 dead (Reuters)
  • Turkish tanks, special forces launch first major push into Syria to battle IS (Reuters)
  • A Year After Stocks Armageddon, It’s Smooth Sailing for Markets (BBG)
  • Global stocks ease, dollar holds ground as U.S. rate bets abound (Reuters)
  • Merkel Tells Renzi He Can’t Bend Euro Rules to Boost Growth (BBG)

Portuguese Bonds Slump As Last-Investment-Grade-Standing Falters

The only thing standing between Portugal's insanely decoupled low bond yields and the ugly fundamental reality is a BBB rating from DBRS which enables The ECB to keep buying the nation's bonds. The problem is, pressure is mounting on DBRS (the only 1 of 4 raters to maintain Portugal as investment grade) to drop the hammer... and Portuguese risk is rising.

Frontrunning: August 11

  • Stocks choppy, Kiwi soars after rate cut (Reuters)
  • Putin discusses Crimea security after alleged Ukrainian incursions (Reuters)
  • IEA Sees Oil Glut Easing (BBG)
  • Meanwhile: more oil - Iraq, oil companies agree to restart investment, boost output (Reuters)
  • U.S. Drillers Need $60 Oil to Stage Real Comeback, IEA Say (BBG)