Lloyds

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Frontrunning: February 9





  • Investors dump stocks (Reuters)
  • Global Bond Rally Near `Panic' Level With Japan Yield Below Zero (BBG)
  • Global Growth Fears Hit Bank Stocks (WSJ)
  • GOP Race for Second in New Hampshire Intensifies (WSJ)
  • N.H. Primary: Where Each 2016 Candidate Needs to Place to Build Momentum (WSJ)
 
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"People In The Market For Many, Many Years Have Been Replaced By An Algorithm"





“I don’t think there’s a whole lot from my generation that are still in the industry"..."The business has to be downsized,” said Keith Underwood, a foreign-exchange consultant who ended a 25-year trading career, including at Lloyds Banking Group Plc, in 2014. But it’s not easy “for people who have been in a market for many, many years to see that they’ve been replaced by an algorithm.”

 
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Frontrunning: February 8





  • European stocks plunge as Lunar New Year offers no cheer (Reuters)
  • European Stocks Fall, Credit Weakens as Signs of Distress Abound (BBG)
  • Management trouble at world's biggest hedge fund: Bridgewater succession plan in flux as heir Greg Jensen steps back (FT)
  • U.S. athletes should consider not attending Olympics if fear Zika - officials (Reuters)
  • Geithner Gets JPMorgan Credit Line to Invest With Warburg Pincus (BBG)
  • Top Clinton Donor Wants a Law Against $1 Million Gifts Like His (BBG)
 
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Frontrunning: February 2





  • Punxsutawney Phil Does Not see shadow, signifying an early spring (CBS)
  • Front-Runners Give Ground as Rivals Make Mark in Iowa (WSJ)
  • Republican Cruz bests Trump in Iowa race, Clinton edges out Sanders (Reuters)
  • Iowa Narrows the Field (BBG)
  • Global stocks snap winning streak as oil pressure returns (Reuters)
  • ‘Dark Pool’ Settlements Bring Tangled Relationships to Light (WSJ)
 
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Frontrunning: February 1





  • Stocks cautious after rocky China data, bonds fly high (Reuters)
  • Oil falls on China data, fading prospect of OPEC action (Reuters)
  • Republican Vote in Iowa Caucus Hinges on Newcomer Turnout (WSJ)
  • When Trump tells supporters not to donate, they mostly listen (Reuters)
  • Goldman Sachs Employees Shift to Rubio as Bush Support Fades (BBG)
  • Four Theories on How Oil Has Hypnotized the Global Stock Market (BBG)
 
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Frontrunning: January 29





  • World shares heat up as Bank of Japan goes sub-zero (Reuters)
  • Stocks Rally With Bonds as BOJ Ends Grim January on High Note (BBG)
  • Japan Follows Europe Into Negative Interest Rate Territory (WSJ)
  • Decision On Oil Cut Only Possible If All Exporters Agree, Russian Energy Minister Says (BBG)
  • Trump overshadows Republican debate even as he sits it out (Reuters)
  • Trump skips debate, wins on social media (Reuters)
 
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Wall Street Reacts To The Lifting Of Iran Oil Sanctions





After years of U.S. sanctions, Iran is now free to export as much of its oil as it wants after the International Atomic Energy Agency said the country had curbed its ability to develop a nuclear weapon leads to lifting of international sanctions. And while the end of sanctions also opens the door to foreign investors into country’s oil sector, most importantly it allows the country to flood the world with its oil. As a result the first thing the Iran oil ministry did today was to issue a notification order to boost oil production by 500k b/d.Below, courtesy of Bloomberg, is a summary of the world's, and Wall Street's reactions, to the lifting of the Iran oil embargo.

 
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Frontrunning: January 7





  • China turmoil sends oil, stocks sliding (Reuters)
  • China's Stock Traders Go Home After 29 Minutes (BBG)
  • Yuan hits weakest since Feb 2011 on fresh low midpoint (Reuters)
  • Stocks Extend Rout, Oil Slides on China as Soros Warns of Crisis (BBG)
  • China's 29 Minutes of Chaos: Stunned Brokers and a Race to Sell (BBG)
  • North Korea Uses Bomb Test to Boost Dictatorship (WSJ)
 
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Frontrunning: January 6





  • Obama, wiping tears, makes new push to tighten gun rules (Reuters)
  • Global stocks hit by China worries, North Korea nuclear test (Reuters)
  • Oil hits 11-year low, Saudi-Iran row cuts chances of output restraint (Reuters)
  • North Korea says successfully conducts first H-bomb test (Reuters)
  • Valeant Planning to Appoint New Leader as CEO Remains Hospitalized (WSJ)
  • Treasuries Extend 2016 Winning Start With Growth Outlook Clouded (BBG)
 
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Frontrunning: January 4





  • China stocks tank, triggers circuit breaker (Reuters)
  • Stocks Slump Across Europe and Asia Following Shanghai's 7% Crash (BBG)
  • China Halts Stock Trading After 7% Rout Triggers Circuit Breaker (BBG)
  • Iran says Riyadh thrives on tension after relations cut (Reuters)
  • Saudis and Bahrain Face Off With Iran in Worst Clash Since 1980s (BBG)
  • Syrian rebel group backs Saudi move to cut ties with Iran (Reuters)
 
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Futures Rebound On Hope Today's "Most Important Ever" Jobs Number Will Not "Draghi" The Market





Optimism in US equity futures appears to have returned, and as of this moment US equity futures are higher by 9 points to 2060 as the attention shifts to what, according to BofA, is truly the most important ever. It is unclear just how the algos would take a second consecutive major disappointment in a row: should today's NFP print be well below the 200,000 consensus, December rate hike odd will tumble and the EUR will surge even more after declining modestly from overnight highs just below 1.10, leading to even more losses in European equities and spilling over to the US. 

 
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Demand 'Stimulus' Has Not Worked - It's Time To Tell The Truth About Debt





Repeated dosages of quantitative easing to kick-start economic recovery have proved totally ineffective everywhere. Yet central bankers are talking about doing it again – in larger amounts. The obsession with spending rather than saving has led governments everywhere to suppress interest rates to near zero. Under this destructive economic model governments are the worst offenders. In their craze to spend cheap money they allocate resources blindly into projects of dubious viability, for which there was no public demand in the first place. Result: huge taxpayer-borne losses.

 
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MOMO Rules: In A "World Of Disappointments" Trade Like An Idiot, Citi Recommends





In a "world of disappointments", where beta is king and where alpha has become a joke (or, now that equity is a risk-free asset and debt is risky, is outright punished) where growth no longer exists, drowning under the weight of $200 trillion in debt, and where value strategies have been all but forgotten replaced instead with "stories" about companies that have no cash flows but just might be "the next big thing" (one day), what should one to do? Why, engage in the most idiotic of strategies: chase momentum.

 
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Frontrunning: October 29





  • Fed puts December rate hike firmly on the agenda (Reuters)
  • Charting the Markets: A More Hawkish Fed Rattles Investors (BBG)
  • China to modernize and improve fiscal and tax systems (Reuters)
  • Deutsche Bank to Cut 35,000 Jobs in Overhaul (WSJ)
  • Deutsche Bank Said to Near $200 Million Sanctions Settlement (BBG)
  • Barclays profits drop as it abandons cost-cutting targets (FT)
 
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Frontrunning: October 16





  • McDonald’s Close to Deciding Whether to Change Structure of U.S. Real Estate (WSJ)
  • Stocks Rise as Stimulus Bets Spur $4.1 Trillion Gain; Oil Climbs (BBG)
  • Wall Street bonuses likely to plunge as trading revenue drops (Reuters)
  • Syrian army launches Aleppo offensive with Iranian support (Reuters)
  • Malaysia’s Najib Razak Played Key Role at Troubled 1MDB Investment Fund (WSJ)
  • VW Loses Market Share in Europe as Diesel-Motor Recalls Loom (BBG)
 
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