I strongly suspect that Ms. Holmes' delusions that she's going to pull herself out of this mess will, at long last, be dismissed when the reaction she gets to this "3 for 1" offer is the sound of crickets.
More than a year after hyperinflating banana republic Venezuela stopped reporting official inflation data, Venezuela has stopped publishing money supply data, depriving the general public of the last, and best, available tool to ascertain soaring inflation in what has become the world's worst-performing economy.
Logic and current trends suggest that declining output growth accompanied by higher prices will begin hitting economies and facing policy makers in the coming years. Markets should begin sniffing out this stagflationary macroeconomic setup this year.
European shares and S&P futures are modestly lower this morning, dragged down by fresh geopolitical concerns out of North Korea which last night fired 4 ballistic missiles, by renewed political jitters ouf of France where Alain Juppe announced he would not run in the presidential election, from Deutsche Bank whose aggressive equity offering has weighed on local stocks, and from China's announcement over the weekend in which it modestly cut its economic outlook.
"This much is clear - if President Trump fails to keep his word, he’s toast. And he should be - we’ve spent decades being lied to, bamboozled, and swindled by both fork-tongued liberals and fake 'conservatives'...There’s no more slack to give; we’re done with leeway and wiggle room. The president has two choices: Keep his promises, or fail disastrously."
Starting Sunday is a two-week period of heightened political discourse, if not exactly debate, among the top echelons of China's Politburo, also known as China's "two sessions." Its outcome will likely have major economic (and thus political) consequences for the rest of the world.
In the latest warning that Beijing hopes to tighten financial condition, Reuters reported that China plans to target broad money supply growth of around 12% in 2017, down from the 13% target in 2016, signaling a bid to contain debt risks while keeping growth on track.
Over the past few months interest rates and the value of the dollar have risen sharply, and monetary policy’s quantitative indicators have contracted. These monetary restrictions have worsened the structural impediments to U.S. economic growth that existed before the election and continue today...
74-year-old bond guru Lacy Hunt is among a rare breed in finance today: people who actually traded during a period when bonds continuously lost value. Today, as hints of inflation start to bubble and calling the next bear market becomes the industry’s favorite pastime, Hunt says no, "I’m still long bonds, especially the long-end."
"The news conference was a far cry from the market friendly, pro-growth "presidential" comments that Trump delivered at his acceptance speech," wrote analysts at Westpac, adding it left a "veritable laundry list" of questions unanswered.
"From a growth rate perspective, the speed of credit expansion is alarming. The current pace of credit growth in China is realistically in a range between 19% and 20%, well above the reported official TSF growth of 12.4% and new loan growth of 13.0% in September. Relative to GDP, China’s credit-to-GDP ratio currently in a range from 260% to 275% of GDP as of September 2016" - Barclays