Market Conditions

Global Stocks Rise As Oil Dips; US Stock Futures And Dollar Flat

European and Asian markets rose, while U.S. index futures were little changed, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average pushing for yet another record, as traders digested the Italian referendum news, await the ECB's Thursday announcement and reflect in a notably quieter overnight session.  Oil slipped from a 16-month high after 4 straight days of gains.

Fed Labor Market Conditions Index Contracts For 5th Straight Month

Despite a small rise MoM, The Fed's own Labor Market Conditions Index has now deteriorated year-over-year for 5 straight months, despite significant upward revisions over the last 6 months, most notably in September and October. As Deutsche's Jo Lavorgan notes,"the upshot is that the economic outlook remains fragile despite the ostensible robustness of the labor market."

Key Events In The Coming Weeks: Italy Aftermath, ECB, ISM, Consumer Confidence

The key economic releases this week are ISM non-manufacturing on Monday and University of Michigan consumer sentiment index on Friday. Away from the US economic calendar, initially focus will be on the Italian referendum result, which appears to have been mostly digested by the market as bullish. It will then shift quickly to a critical ECB meeting.

European Stocks Soar, US Futures, Euro Jump After Failed Italian Referendum

Another miraculous overnight recovery has eliminated all the bearish aftertaste from the failed Italian referendum. As Guillermo Sampere of MPPM EK put it: "After Brexit, it took three days for markets to shake it off, with Trump it took three hours, with Italy it took three minutes.The fast money, who expected markets to fall further with this outcome, are now covering their positions."

Beige Book Finds Modest Economic Slowdown: Strong Dollar "Headwinds" Cited

The Fed's latest Beige Book released Wednesday found seven regional Fed districts reporting economic activity as growing at a modest or moderate pace, a decline from 11 in the last report, with strong dollar headwinds among one of the more frequently cited reasons for the weakness.

Here Are The Details From The OPEC Production Cut Deal

The much anticipated headline is out and, as Bloomberg reports, OPEC has reached a deal agreeing to cut oil production by 1.2 million barrels per day to 32.5mmbpd from the current level of 33.6mmbpd. This would be OPEC's first production cut since 2008.

Germany's NordLB Bank: "40% Of Our Shipping Loan Book Is Non-Performing"

Germany's second-largest shipping lender, German Landersbank NordLB warned it was facing a loss of “more than €1bn” this year, as a result of the latest shoring up of reserves against losses on its portfolio of shipping loans, and that a whopping €8 billion, or 40%, of its shipping loan book was now non-performing.

Empire Fed Rebounds But Employment Indicators Tumble, Optimism Declines

Manufacturing firms in New York State reported that business activity was essentially flat in November, with the general business conditions index climbed out of negative territory for the first time in four months, rising eight points to 1.5 above the expected -2.5. However, in a troubling sign, both employment indicators declined notably, while inventory levels hit a 4 year low, as optimism about the future posted a modest decline.

Markets In Turmoil: Global Bond Bloodbath, Currency Rout Accelerates As Stocks Erase Early Gains

Monday started off where Friday left off, with the dollar surge continuing, pushing the DXY above 100 for the first time since December, global bond yields soaring, emerging market currencies tumbling, and the Yuan slammed below 6.85 for the first time. However, where Monday is different is that while European stocks and US index futures started off far higher, E-minis have now faded the entire overnight rally and are now red for the session, on concerns that the spike in yields will cap any more stock upside.

The Day Arrives: Global Stocks Higher, US Futures Lower As America Begins Voting

The day has finally arrived and as of minutes ago voters in eastern states have begun voting for the next US president. Polls are open in eight states, including battlegrounds Virginia and New Hampshire, as well as in New York, where Clinton votes at a public school in Chappaqua, Trump at a public school in Manhattan.