Market Sentiment

Bill Blain: "Welcome To The Second Half In Which Many Are Very Concerned About A Bubblicious Market Reversal"

"Lots of participants remain very concerned on the prospects for bubblicious stock market reversal later this year, but others point to yet more upside. There are clear signals of concern about what the withdrawl of “extraordinary monetary policy” will mean. Normalisation is seen as a threat by some, but by others as a very useful “reset” to get markets back on a properly priced realistic track."

Euro Surges, Yields And Stocks Rise As Central Banks Deliver Coordinated Message

The euro soared to the highest level in over a year while bond yields and global shares also climbed, as an ongoing barrage of coordinated hawkish comments from central banks signaled the era of easy money might be coming to an end for more than just the United States. S&P futures were fractionally in the green following the best day for US equities in two months.

Citi: Here Comes The V-Shaped Rebound In Oil

"Investors should position now for a potential V-shaped rebound in crude oil prices, as price risk seems asymmetrically skewed to the upside.... once market sentiment turns, prices could rally sharply."

Oil Plunges To November Lows On Sudden Volume Spike

"It feels like were seeing some panic that we could shoot through the YTD lows here as we retest the levels seen last November pre the OPEC meeting, with decent volumes going through the market."

Deutsche Bank Downgrades European Banks To Underweight

In what some may find an amusing change in outlook by the bank that less than a year ago was on insolvency's door, its stock at record lows, this morning Deutsche Bank downgraded its peers, other (ostensibly more sound) European banks, to underweight from benchmark on expectations that fading euro-area growth momentum will weigh on the sector over coming months.

What Is Causing China's Yield Curves To Invert: UBS Answers

The inverted curve reflects a contradiction between market expectations on policies and economic fundamentals. On one hand, the slowdown of economic growth may prevent the back end of the yield curve from further going up. On the other hand, financial institutions' funding costs have kept rising but the financing costs for the real economy measured by loan rates have not risen that much.

S&P Futs Near All Time High On Strong Euro Data; Oil Drops On Trump's SPR Sale Plans

S&P futures rose alongside European stocks as Asian shares posted modest declines. The euro set a new six-month high and European bourses rose as PMI data from Germany and France signaled that the ECB will have to tighten soon as Europe's recovery remains on track, with the German Ifo business confidence printing at the highest level on record, and hinting at a GDP print in the 5% range.

Crushed Vol Boosts Dollar, Commodities; Futures Flat

Asian stocks declined, while European stocks rose to the highest since 2015, led by a rebound in commodities and basic resource stocks. U.S. stock-index futures were little changed at 2,395 - just shy of all time highs - as investors focused on corporate earnings after the French election, while the VIX hovered near its lowest level since 1993.